EverHint Lens - Global Payments Inc. (GPN) - Undervalued Growth Stock Analysis - February 18, 2026

Analysis Date: 2026-02-18
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Specialty Business Services
Exchange: NYSE

Executive Summary

Global Payments Inc. is currently trading at $79.18 (🟢 +13.49% today) with a market capitalization of $18.75B.

Global Payments Inc. provides payment technology and software solutions for card, electronic, check, and digital-based payments in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through three segments: Merchant Solutions, Issuer Solutions, and Business and Consumer Solutions.

Price & Valuation

Current Price: $79.18 (at 11:49 AM ET)
Current Volume: 4.2M (avg 3.0M)
Day Range: $76.11 - $80.42
52-Week Range: $65.93 - $107.27
P/E Ratio: 12.02

DCF Valuation: Undervalued

• Intrinsic Value (Unlevered DCF): $395.49
• Current Price: $79.18
• Discount/Premium: +399.5%

Levered DCF: $348.89 (+340.6%)

⚠️ DCF shows extreme valuation gap (>100%)

DCF analysis suggests the stock may be trading at a 399.5% discount to its intrinsic value.

Levered vs unlevered can diverge materially for highly levered companies.

Market Context

Industrials Sector: 0.94533%

Major Indices:

• S&P 500: $6900.11 (🟢 +0.83%)
• NASDAQ Composite: $22865.71 (🟢 +1.27%)
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: $49797.24 (🟢 +0.53%)

Peer Comparison

Peer comparison (11 companies):

• GPN - Global Payments Inc. ($79.18, +13.5%) ← Current
• FTAI - FTAI Aviation Ltd. ($294.82, +3.2%)
• CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. ($182.07, +2.6%)
• RBA - RB Global, Inc. ($108.89, +4.6%)
• EXPD - Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. ($148.63, +1.0%)
• SNA - Snap-on Incorporated ($385.14, +0.9%)
• LII - Lennox International Inc. ($557.60, -1.4%)
• PNR - Pentair plc ($101.42, +1.7%)
• RTO - Rentokil Initial plc ($31.37, +1.7%)
• ULS - UL Solutions Inc. ($70.42, -0.3%)
• ACM - Aecom ($93.19, +2.1%)

Financial Performance

Latest Quarter (2025-12-31):

• Revenue: $1.33B
• Net Income: $217.52M
• EPS: $0.92
• Revenue Growth (QoQ): -33.8%

Dividend Analysis

Dividend Status: Active dividend-paying stock

Latest Dividend:

• Amount: $0.25 per share
• Ex-Dividend Date: 2025-12-12
• Payment Date: 2025-12-26
  Annual Metrics:
• Annual Dividend (TTM): $1.00
• Dividend Yield: 1.26%
• Payment Frequency: Quarterly
• Payment History: 99 dividend payments tracked

Consistency: GPN has a consistent quarterly dividend payment history.

Stock Split History

GPN has executed 2 stock split(s) historically

• 2015-11-03: 2-for-1 split
• 2005-10-31: 2-for-1 split

Cumulative Split Factor: 4x (1 share in 1987 = 4 shares today)

Most recent split: 2-for-1 on 2015-11-03

Earnings Calendar

Next Earnings Report: 2026-05-05 (Before Market Open)

• EPS Estimate: $3.05

Most Recent Report: 2026-02-18

• Revenue: $1.33B

Historical Data: 102 earnings events tracked

Analyst Outlook

Analyst Price Target Consensus:

• Target: $93.57 (+18.2% upside)
• Range: $80.00 - $109.00
• Median: $93.00

Next Quarter Estimates (2028-12-30):

• Revenue: $2.63B
• EPS: $4.22

Analyst Consensus

Overall Rating: Buy

Rating Distribution (813 total ratings):

• 🟢 Buy/Outperform: 546 (67.2%)
• ⚪ Hold/Neutral: 127 (15.6%)
• 🔴 Sell/Underperform: 10 (1.2%)

Recent Analyst Actions:

• JP Morgan (2026-02-12): Maintained Neutral
• Seaport Global (2026-01-14): Neutral → Buy
• Truist Securities (2025-11-13): Maintained Hold
• TD Cowen (2025-11-05): Maintained Hold
• RBC Capital (2025-11-05): Maintained Sector Perform

Consensus based on 813 analyst ratings from major financial institutions

Trading Signals

Our technical analysis identified 3 trading signal(s) in the last 60 days:

• 2026-01-23: Sma20 Sma50 - SMA20_x_SMA50_Sell @ $75.21
• 2026-01-15: Ema10 Ema30 - EMA10_x_EMA30_Sell @ $74.99
• 2026-01-15: Ema10 Sma50 - EMA10_x_SMA50_Sell @ $74.99

Insider Activity

Recent Transactions (Last 10):

• Buys: 4
• Sells: 5

Notable Transactions:

• 2026-01-09: GTCR W Aggregator LP - Other (, 0 shares)
• 2025-12-11: SHEFFIELD DAVID M - Sell (Sale, 2,016 shares @ $81.41)
• 2025-12-11: BALDWIN ROBERT H B JR - Buy (Purchase, 10,392 shares @ $81.42)

Congressional Trading Activity

Tracking recent stock transactions by U.S. Congress members

House of Representatives: 53 transactions tracked

Recent Activity:

• 🔴 Gilbert Cisneros (CA31): Sale on 2025-12-10 @ $80.39, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• 🔴 Gilbert Cisneros (CA31): Sale on 2025-12-19 @ $80.85, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Gilbert Cisneros (CA31): Purchase on 2025-11-18 @ $72.03, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Ro Khanna (CA17): Purchase on 2025-09-05 @ $87.78, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Ro Khanna (CA17): Purchase on 2025-07-25 @ $85.76, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000

Congressional trading data sourced from official disclosure filings

News Sentiment Analysis

AI Analysis (based on 30 recent articles):

Recent headlines show strong positive sentiment around Global Payments' Q4 2025 earnings that met estimates, with robust full-year 2026 guidance exceeding expectations and driving an 8%+ stock surge. Analysts highlight GPN as deeply undervalued with multi-bagger potential, strong growth attributes, and favorable comparisons to peers. Institutional buying and partnerships like Worldpay's with Regions Bank add to the optimistic outlook.

Key Themes:

• Strong Earnings and Guidance
• Undervaluation and Buy Ratings
• Stock Surge and Growth Potential

Sentiment: Positive (95% confidence)

Recent News

5 most recent articles covering GPN:

• Global Payments: Deeply Undervalued With Multi-Bagger Potential (seekingalpha.com, 2026-02-18) — Read more
• Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Global Payments (GPN) Q4 Earnings (zacks.com, 2026-02-18) — Read more
• Global Payments Stock Heads for Largest Percent Increase Since Early 2025. What's Fueling the Gains. (barrons.com, 2026-02-18) — Read more
• Global Payments (GPN) Q4 Earnings Meet Estimates (zacks.com, 2026-02-18) — Read more
• Top 5 Bargain P/B Stocks Investors Should Watch Now (zacks.com, 2026-02-18) — Read more

Full news analysis based on 30 recent articles

Generated by Everhint Lens - Quantitative Stock Analysis
Last updated: 2026-02-18 08:49:17 AM PST

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.