EverHint Lens - The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) - Stock Analysis - March 05, 2026

Analysis Date: 2026-03-05
Sector: Technology
Industry: Software - Application
Exchange: NASDAQ

Executive Summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. is currently trading at $29.65 (🟢 +17.80% today) with a market capitalization of $14.50B.

Trade Desk, Inc. operates as a technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates a self-service cloud-based platform that allows buyers to create, manage, and optimize data-driven digital advertising campaigns across various ad formats and channels, including display, video, audio, native, and social on various devices, such as computers, mobile devices, and connected TV.

Price & Valuation

Current Price: $29.65 (at 11:36 AM ET)
Current Volume: 49.8M
Day Range: $29.27 - $32.90
52-Week Range: $21.08 - $91.45
P/E Ratio: N/A

DCF Valuation: Undervalued

• Intrinsic Value (Unlevered DCF): $34.50
• Current Price: $29.65
• Discount/Premium: +16.3%

Levered DCF: $39.59 (+33.5%)

DCF analysis suggests the stock may be trading at a 16.3% discount to its intrinsic value.

DCF values calculated as of 2026-03-05. Underlying assumptions are not disclosed by the data provider. Levered vs unlevered can diverge materially for highly levered companies.

Market Context

Technology Sector: 0.66548% | Sector P/E: 44.62

Major Indices:

• S&P 500: $6818.13 (🔴 -0.75%)
• NASDAQ Composite: $22714.23 (🔴 -0.41%)
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: $47963.49 (🔴 -1.59%)

Peer Comparison

Peer comparison (11 companies):

• TTD - The Trade Desk, Inc. ($29.65, +17.8%, $14.50B) ← Current
• MSTR - Strategy Inc ($141.15, -3.6%, $39.19B)
• JBL - Jabil Inc. ($254.07, -0.4%, $27.14B)
• ZM - Zoom Communications, Inc. ($78.61, +0.8%, $23.53B)
• FLEX - Flex Ltd. ($62.77, -1.8%, $23.21B)
• VRSN - VeriSign, Inc. ($238.44, -0.2%, $22.10B)
• PTC - PTC Inc. ($165.93, +1.8%, $19.75B)
• SSNC - SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($76.16, +1.3%, $18.59B)
• GRAB - Grab Holdings Limited ($4.07, -0.9%, $16.15B)
• TYL - Tyler Technologies, Inc. ($370.49, +0.6%, $15.93B)
• FIG - Figma, Inc. ($29.87, +0.8%, $14.56B)

Financial Performance

Latest Quarter (2025-12-31):

• Revenue: $846.79M
• Net Income: $186.95M
• EPS: $0.39
• Revenue Growth (QoQ): +14.5%

Stock Split History

TTD has executed 1 stock split(s) historically

• 2021-06-17: 10-for-1 split

Cumulative Split Factor: 10x (1 share in 1987 = 10 shares today)

Most recent split: 10-for-1 on 2021-06-17

Earnings Calendar

Next Earnings Report: 2026-05-13 (After Market Close)

• EPS Estimate: $0.13
• Revenue Estimate: $0.69B

Most Recent Report: 2026-02-25

• EPS: $0.39 (Est: $0.59) ✗ Miss
• Revenue: $0.85B

Historical Data: 45 earnings events tracked

Analyst Outlook

Analyst Price Target Consensus:

• Target: $44.89 (+51.4% upside)
• Range: $22.00 - $80.00
• Median: $42.00

Next Quarter Estimates (2028-12-31):

• Revenue: $1.23B
• EPS: $0.63

Analyst Consensus

Overall Rating: Buy

Rating Distribution (593 total ratings):

• 🟢 Buy/Outperform: 431 (72.7%)
• ⚪ Hold/Neutral: 94 (15.9%)
• 🔴 Sell/Underperform: 15 (2.5%)

Recent Analyst Actions:

• Piper Sandler (2026-03-02): Maintained Neutral
• Keybanc (2026-03-02): Maintained Overweight
• BMO Capital (2026-02-26): Maintained Outperform
• Rosenblatt (2026-02-26): Maintained Buy
• Truist Securities (2026-02-26): Maintained Buy

Consensus based on 593 analyst ratings from major financial institutions

Trading Signals

Our technical analysis identified 1 trading signal(s) in the last 60 days:

• 2026-01-08: Ema10 Ema30 - EMA10_x_EMA30_Sell @ $37.30

Insider Activity

Recent Transactions (Last 10):

• Buys: 6
• Sells: 4

Notable Transactions:

• 2026-03-04: Green Jeffrey Terry - Buy (Purchase, 2,314,304 shares @ $25.08)
• 2026-03-03: Green Jeffrey Terry - Buy (Purchase, 1,685,696 shares @ $24.97)
• 2026-03-02: Green Jeffrey Terry - Buy (Purchase, 1,472,676 shares @ $24.16)

Congressional Trading Activity

Tracking recent stock transactions by U.S. Congress members

House of Representatives: 41 transactions tracked

Recent Activity:

• 🔴 Byron Donalds (FL19): Sale on 2026-01-08 @ $37.30, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🔴 Byron Donalds (FL19): Sale on 2026-01-08 @ $37.30, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Byron Donalds (FL19): Purchase on 2025-10-09 @ $54.09, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Byron Donalds (FL19): Purchase on 2025-10-09 @ $54.09, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🔴 Josh Gottheimer (NJ05): Sale on 2025-09-11 @ $45.24, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000

U.S. Senate: 6 transactions tracked

Recent Activity:

• ⚪ John W. Hickenlooper: Sale (Full) (Spouse) on 2023-04-28 @ $64.34, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• ⚪ John W. Hickenlooper: Sale (Full) (Spouse) on 2023-04-28 @ $64.34, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• ⚪ John W. Hickenlooper: Sale (Partial) (Spouse) on 2021-11-08, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• ⚪ John W. Hickenlooper: Sale (Partial) (Spouse) on 2021-11-08, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• 🟢 John W. Hickenlooper: Purchase (Spouse) on 2021-05-10, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000

Congressional trading data sourced from official disclosure filings

News Sentiment Analysis

AI Analysis (based on 30 recent articles):

Recent headlines highlight a sharp rebound in The Trade Desk (TTD) stock, surging 19-21% on March 5 due to insider buying by CEO Jeffrey Green and optimism around potential OpenAI ad partnerships. This follows a 15-16% plunge after Q4 earnings beat but weak Q1 guidance in late February, amid ongoing concerns over decelerating growth and competition. Overall sentiment has turned positive with beaten-down shares seen as a buy opportunity.

Key Themes:

• Insider Buying Boost
• OpenAI Partnership Hype
• Earnings Guidance Concerns

Sentiment: Positive (82% confidence)

Reddit Sentiment

Community Discussion (last 30 days from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks, r/investing):

Overall Sentiment: Bullish 📈 (Score: 0.226)

Post Analysis:

• Total posts: 18
• Bullish: 11 (61.1%)
• Bearish: 6 (33.3%)
• Neutral: 1 (5.6%)
• Total engagement: 3,236 (upvotes + comments)

Note: Sentiment score ranges from -1.0 (very bearish) to +1.0 (very bullish), weighted by post engagement.

Recent News

5 most recent articles covering TTD:

• Monster insider trade alert for Trade Desk stock (finbold.com, 2026-03-05) — Read more
• Trade Desk Stock Scores Major Rally on OpenAI Optimism (schaeffersresearch.com, 2026-03-05) — Read more
• KG: "Might Just be Getting Started" in Energy Volatility, AVGO & TTD Movers to Watch (youtube.com, 2026-03-05) — Read more
• Trade Desk Stock Jumps. Why the Beaten Down Shares Are Getting a Big Boost. (barrons.com, 2026-03-05) — Read more
• Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Ad Deal Buzz Lifts Trade Desk (seekingalpha.com, 2026-03-05) — Read more

Full news analysis based on 30 recent articles

Generated by Everhint Lens - Quantitative Stock Analysis
Last updated: 2026-03-05 08:37:02 AM PST

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.