EverHint Signal — Breakout Standard (Small/Mid-/Large-Cap Momentum) - November 12, 2025

November 12, 2025

Experimental Signal — Breakout Standard (Small/Mid-/Large-Cap Momentum)

What this signal is (quick)

This “Breakout Standard” screen looks for liquid names pressing into fresh highs with confirmation from volume and medium-term volatility:

• Price within ~3% of the 52-week high (near_high_pct = 0.03)
• Strong volume thrust (today’s dollar volume vs 20-day average ≥ 1.5×)
• 20-day volatility in a “tradable” band (vol63 between 0.20 and 0.80)
• Market cap between ~$1B and $1T, price between $5 and $10,000
• Earnings buffer of at least 7 days to avoid immediate event risk

Today’s signals use end-of-day data for November 12, 2025, and this breakout scanner remains experimental while we build live performance history.

How we ranked today (reader version)

• Trend posture: Price pinned near 52-week highs with supportive 10/21/50-day moving averages.
• Momentum score: Blend of recent returns (10/21/63 days), relative strength (RS-21), and volatility band fit.
• Overlays:
  • Insider Net (USD, 90d): Open-market buys minus sells (none detected here → neutral).
  • Days → Earnings: Distance to the next scheduled report where known.
  • Analyst Updates (30d): Count of recent estimate refreshes as a proxy for Street attention.
• Headlines: Same-day or very recent news to confirm or challenge each breakout.

Note: Signals are for educational use and back-testing, not trading advice.

📈 Buy-Side Signals — Breakout Standard

Field notes

• Concentration: 4 of 6 names are Tech (TSEM, AMBA, ESE, AMD) plus an industrial battery play (ENS) and a consumer defensive outlier (COKE).
• Near-highs: TSEM, AMBA, ENS, ESE, and AMD are all effectively at or just under 52-week highs; COKE appears as a data outlier on the % of 52-week high metric despite qualifying on volume and other momentum factors.
• Volatility band: All six sit in the 0.20–0.80 vol63 band, suggesting trend strength without “untradeable” chaos.
• Insiders: No material open-market buy/sell imbalance in the last 90 days for this list → insider overlay is neutral.
• Analyst activity: All six show dense estimate update activity over the last month, led by ESE, TSEM and AMD.

Recent Headlines (insert or summarize)

TSEM — Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

• Shares have surged roughly 40% over the last month and set a new 1-year high, reflecting renewed enthusiasm for its specialty foundry positioning in analog and RF as investors look for AI-adjacent semiconductor capacity beyond the megacaps. (MarketBeat)

AMBA — Ambarella, Inc.

• Ambarella has ripped higher (roughly high-teens percent in the past week and near 30% for the month) as reports surface that the edge-AI chip designer is exploring strategic options, including a potential sale. The rally rides both deal speculation and optimism around its vision/AI roadmap. (Finviz)

COKE — Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

• COKE recently agreed to repurchase 18.8 million shares from The Coca-Cola Company at $127 per share (≈$2.4B transaction), simplifying its ownership structure and shrinking the float. The name has also picked up fresh “buy” ratings from multiple research outlets. (The Coca-Cola Company)

ENS — EnerSys

• EnerSys has been in a momentum phase, advancing around 27% over the last month and roughly 40% over the past year, supported by stronger earnings and a recent dividend announcement. Estimate revisions have turned favorable, earning the stock high-ranked ratings in some factor models. (Simply Wall St)

ESE — ESCO Technologies Inc.

• ESCO is heading into its Q4 2025 earnings release (expected November 20, EPS consensus about $2.12, revenue around $306M), with technicals showing short-term chop (intraday “death cross” signals on some charts) after a multi-month climb. (MarketBeat)

AMD — Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

• AMD jumped sharply after its analyst day, where management laid out an aggressive roadmap: targeting ~$100B in annual data-center revenue and >35% overall CAGR driven by AI accelerators, with improved margin targets. The stock is hovering just below record highs as investors weigh its ability to claw share from Nvidia in AI chips. (Reuters)

📉 Sell-Side Signals — Breakout Standard

This particular run of the Breakout Standard setup did not generate separate short or “breakdown” candidates. Today’s action is skewed toward upside momentum rather than failed breakouts.

Carlo’s Take (EverHint)

For classic breakout plays like this, I treat the list as a starting universe, not a buy list:

• Initial bias:
  • TSEM, AMBA and AMD sit at the core: clean 52-week highs, strong volume thrust, and intense analyst attention, supported by very clear news catalysts (foundry rerating, strategic review buzz, and AI-driven guidance, respectively). (Simply Wall St)
  • ENS and ESE round out the group as steadier industrial/engineering names with solid estimate revision trends and upcoming catalysts (dividends and earnings). (investor.enersys.com)
• How I’d trade the structure (not advice, just process):
  • Avoid chasing the first spike. I prefer partial entries after 2–3 daily closes above the breakout zone, ideally with volume thrust still >1.0 and RS-21 not rolling over.
  • Scale out into extremes: trim into strong extensions (e.g., RS-21 pushing toward the top decile or price going parabolic against its 10-day MA).
  • Use ATR-aware stops anchored on prior swing lows/highs rather than the 52-week level alone; that gives the trade room to breathe without turning it into a “bagholder” position if the breakout fails.
• Risk flags:
  • COKE’s low %-of-high reading makes it an outlier for a “pure” breakout basket; if you touch it at all, treat it as a special situation around the large buyback rather than a textbook momentum chart. (The Coca-Cola Company)
  • AMD is deeply tied to the AI narrative; any wobble in AI-capex enthusiasm or pushback on its long-term targets can hit the name hard even if fundamentals remain fine. (AP News)

Today’s rotation snapshot: Breakout flows are clustering in AI/semis and industrial electrification (TSEM, AMBA, AMD, ENS, ESE), with one consumer-staples outlier (COKE), while the broader tape grinds near record highs and AI leaders remain the main volatility engine. (AP News)

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