EverHint Signal — EMA10 × EMA30 Crossover — December 15, 2025

What This Signal Is (Quick)

The EMA10 × EMA30 crossover is a short-to-medium term trend-following signal. It looks for fresh crossovers between the 10-day and 30-day exponential moving averages:

• Buy when EMA(10) crosses above EMA(30): short-term momentum is accelerating faster than the medium-term trend, often the start of a new upswing.
• Sell when EMA(10) crosses below EMA(30): short-term strength is rolling over, hinting at either a pause or a deeper trend reversal.

Because both moving averages are exponential, the signal reacts faster than EMA/SMA combinations. That means:

• More responsive to recent price action
• More signals, but also more whipsaw risk in choppy markets

This is an experimental scanner designed for idea generation and back-testing, not a plug-and-play trading system.

How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

For today’s report (signals dated 2025-12-15):

• Ranking logic
  • Buy signals: ranked by RSI(14) from lowest to highest (favoring names where momentum has turned up but isn’t yet overbought).
  • Sell signals: ranked by RSI(14) from highest to lowest (favoring names rolling over from relatively stronger momentum).
  • Liquidity and size (20-day average dollar volume and market cap) act as tie-breakers.
• Overlays on top of the crossover:
  • Insider Net (USD): net value of open-market insider buying vs. selling over the last 90 days (P vs S transactions only).
  • Days → Earnings: days from today’s signal date to the next scheduled earnings release (within the next ~90 days).
  • Trend context: comparison to the 200-day SMA to see if the name is in a longer-term uptrend or downtrend.

Use this as educational research: combine it with your own charts, fundamentals, and risk management before doing anything with real money.

📈 Buy-Side Signals — EMA10 Just Crossed Above EMA30

Today there are 19 buy signals. They skew toward Consumer Cyclical, Industrials, and defensive/steady names like staples and insurance:

Quick read on the buy list

• Sector tilt: 6 of 19 buy signals are Consumer Cyclical (YUM, CAKE, LKQ, NCLH, HMC, CCK), 3 are Industrials, and 2 each come from Financial Services and Consumer Defensive. This leans toward consumer spending and real-economy cyclicals rather than speculative growth.
• Momentum level: Average RSI ~63 on the buy list, so most names are in healthy uptrends, not deep oversold territory.
• Trend vs. 200-day: 10 of 19 buys trade above their 200-day SMA, 9 are below, so you’ve got a mix of established trends and potential early recoveries.
• Insiders: The clearest net insider buying shows up in:
  • DASH with multi-million net purchases.
  • NCLH with seven-figure net buying.
    Many other buy names actually have net insider selling, so the crossover is not always aligned with what management is doing.
• Earnings timing: Most buy names report in roughly 31–73 days. Tightest windows:
  • UNH: next earnings in about 31 days.
  • MKC: earnings in about 38 days.
    These may see rising volatility as they approach those dates.

Recent buy-side headlines to note

(Headlines from the last week for names that appear both in the signal list and recent news.)

• YUM – Yum! Brands: Recent coverage highlights a steady pickup in restaurant sales, supporting the idea of resilient consumer spending in quick-service dining.
• CAKE – Cheesecake Factory: Articles note large institutional positions and some portfolio rebalancing (position trims) among fund holders, suggesting active but not extreme sentiment around the name.
• WCN – Waste Connections: One report points to institutional accumulation, and another calls it a momentum stock, consistent with the EMA crossover signal.
• UNH – UnitedHealth: Coverage focuses on defensive growth in managed care, with emphasis on earnings consistency and strong analyst coverage.

📉 Sell-Side Signals — EMA10 Just Crossed Below EMA30

There are 26 sell signals, with a heavy tilt toward Technology, Energy, and Financial Services, often in names that had strong runs earlier in the year:

Quick read on the sell list

• Sector tilt: 6 names in Technology, 6 in Energy, 5 in Financial Services. This is where the scanner sees momentum rolling over.
• Momentum level: Average RSI around 48, i.e., neutral. Many sell signals aren’t oversold yet; they’re just losing upside momentum.
• Trend vs. 200-day: 17 of 26 sells are still above the 200-day SMA, which often flags early-stage rollovers in longer-term uptrends.
• Insiders:
  • Very heavy net selling in UWMC and CIFR (tens of millions of dollars), aligning with sell signals.
  • Additional meaningful selling in CRDO, Z, VRT, and PARR.
  • A few exceptions like KMI and FSK show net insider buying despite being on the sell list, which is a useful caution flag.
• Earnings timing: All sell names have earnings ~38–87 days out.
  • SLM is the closest (about 38 days), which can amplify any downside move if expectations shift.

Recent sell-side headlines to note

• BBAI – BigBear.ai: Multiple articles debate whether the stock remains a buy at these levels or versus peers in AI, even as the trend signal has turned down.
• VRT – Vertiv Holdings: One note frames the recent pullback as “noise” within a larger data-center story, while another highlights active trading by prominent investors. The crossover suggests the short-term tape is cooling.
• THC – Tenet Healthcare: Recent coverage touches on healthcare policy noise and hospital economics while also tagging it as a momentum name earlier in the move.
• VLO – Valero Energy: Analyst-focused pieces include VLO among key calls, highlighting how refining stocks may be sensitive to shifting macro and commodity expectations right as this signal turns lower.

Field Notes (How to Read These Signals)

• RSI context
  • 40–60: neutral zone, where crossovers often mark early trend changes.
  • >70: overbought; for buy signals like DASH and NCLH, that’s more “trend confirmation” than bargain territory.
  • <40: leaning oversold; several sell names (STAG, PARR, SLM) are already sliding and may be late in the move.
• Sector rotation
  • Buys lean into consumer, industrial services, and defensive staples.
  • Sells cluster in tech, energy, and rate-sensitive financials.
    The pattern fits a moderate shift away from higher-beta, cyclical, and credit-linked risk toward steadier cash-flow names.
• Insiders vs. trend
  • When a buy signal lines up with net insider buying (for example DASH or NCLH), it strengthens the case that insiders see more upside ahead.
  • When a sell signal coincides with heavy insider selling (like UWMC or CIFR), that’s an added caution sign.
  • Conflicts (e.g., KMI buy by insiders but a sell technical signal) are places where you might want stricter risk controls or to wait for confirmation.
• Earnings cluster
  • Most of today’s list reports between late January and early March 2026.
  • Names within 30–45 days of earnings (MKC, UNH, SLM and a few others) can see sharp moves around guidance and surprises — both up and down — making position sizing and stop placement important.

Vlad’s Take (EverHint)

Today’s market backdrop (for 2025-12-15):

• Major indices closed broadly red:
  • S&P 500 ~-0.64%, Nasdaq ~-1.15%, Dow ~-0.37%, Russell 2000 ~-1.24%.
    That’s a mild risk-off tone, with small caps and growth underperforming.
• Volatility: The VIX sits near 16.5, which is in the low-to-normal range. Not panic, but not euphoric calm either.
• Crypto: Bitcoin (~-2.3%) and Ethereum (~-3.9%) are both under pressure, pointing to some cooling in the high-beta risk pocket.
• Rates: The 10-year Treasury yield is around 4.18%, up slightly on the day, a modest headwind for long-duration growth stories.

In that context:

• The buy list being dominated by consumer, industrial, and defensive names fits a market that’s rotating toward quality and resilience rather than pure high-beta tech.
• The sell list clustering in Technology, Energy, and Financials suggests the scanner is catching fades in prior leadership and areas most sensitive to rates and macro swings.
• With VIX in the mid-teens and earnings coming up in Q1, tiered entries, smaller position sizes, and clear exit rules make sense on both sides. Technical signals can work well here, but sudden macro or earnings shocks can still overwhelm them.

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