7 min read

EverHint Signal — EMA10 × EMA30 Crossover — January 8, 2026

68 buy signals emerge as EMA10 crosses above EMA30, led by Healthcare and Industrials. Markets show cautious optimism with S&P +0.07%, VIX at 15.45 signals calm conditions—ideal for swing trades targeting 1-4 week holds.

What This Signal Is (Quick)

The EMA10 × EMA30 Crossover detects fresh momentum shifts by tracking when the 10-day exponential moving average (EMA10) crosses the 30-day exponential moving average (EMA30):

  • Buy Signal: EMA10 crosses above EMA30 → Short-term momentum accelerates above the medium-term trend. Suggests upward price movement is gaining steam.

  • Sell Signal: EMA10 crosses below EMA30 → Short-term momentum weakens. Signals potential deceleration or reversal.

This is an experimental scanner using two exponential moving averages for faster response to price changes compared to simple moving averages. It's more responsive than EMA10 × SMA50, generating more frequent signals but also carrying higher whipsaw risk in choppy markets.

Best for: Swing trading with 1-4 week holding periods. Not a buy-and-hold recommendation.


How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

We ranked all 68 buy signals and 30 sell signals by RSI(14) — the Relative Strength Index on a 14-day period:

  • For buy signals: Lower RSI = more oversold = potentially better entry point (ranked higher)
  • For sell signals: Higher RSI = more overbought territory

We then overlaid three critical data points:

  1. Insider Net Flow (last 90 days): Are executives buying or selling their own stock? We only count actual purchases (P) and sales (S), ignoring awards, exercises, and tax transactions.

  2. Days to Earnings: How soon is the next earnings report? Stocks reporting within 7 days carry higher event risk.

  3. Analyst Coverage: Number of analysts tracking the stock, giving a sense of institutional attention.

Important: These signals are for educational use and backtesting. Always do your own due diligence. See disclaimer and FAQs.


📈 Buy-Side Signals (68 Total)

Top 15 ranked by RSI (lowest = most oversold):

Rank Ticker Company Sector Last ($) RSI(14) Insider Net Days → Earnings Mkt Cap ($B)
1 METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. Basic Materials 20.25 86.67 60 1.1
2 BE Bloom Energy Corporation Industrials 121.84 88.54 49 28.2
3 PDD PDD Holdings Inc. Consumer Cyclical 121.60 85.74 70 170.2
4 UAA Under Armour, Inc. Consumer Cyclical 6.00 83.59 28 2.6
5 BNTX BioNTech SE Healthcare 98.85 80.65 +$30.5M 60 23.8
6 MOS The Mosaic Company Basic Materials 26.48 80.70 49 8.4
7 PCT PureCycle Technologies, Inc. Industrials 10.18 76.10 49 1.8
8 PDI PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund Financial Services 18.18 76.00 7.6
9 MPW Medical Properties Trust, Inc. Real Estate 5.44 75.59 49 3.3
10 A Agilent Technologies, Inc. Healthcare 145.76 75.06 48 41.3
11 VG Venture Global, Inc. Energy 7.52 74.38 -$16.8M 56 18.4
12 RZLV REZOLVE AI PLC Technology 3.71 72.67 1.0
13 MP MP Materials Corp. Basic Materials 61.06 72.06 -$5.6M 42 10.8
14 TREX Trex Company, Inc. Industrials 38.52 71.18 +$0.5M 46 4.1
15 NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Communication Services 97.30 71.35 41 23.4

Field Notes:

  • RSI(14): Values above 70 indicate overbought conditions. Many of these stocks are entering from oversold territory, potentially offering mean-reversion plays.
  • Insider Net:
    • BNTX: +$30.5M in insider buying (3 insiders purchased $30.5M in mid-November)
    • VG: -$16.8M in insider selling (concentrated sales from one officer)
    • MP: -$5.6M in net selling
    • TREX: +$0.5M (CFO purchased $479K worth)
  • Days → Earnings: Most are 40-70 days out, providing breathing room before event risk.

Sector Breakdown: Healthcare (13), Industrials (21), Technology (8), Financial Services (6), Real Estate (7), Energy (4), Basic Materials (6), Consumer Cyclical (5), Consumer Defensive (4), Communication Services (1)


Recent Headlines (Buy Signals):

Healthcare

  • A (Agilent): No major news in last 7 days
  • BNTX (BioNTech): Significant insider buying from CEO, Director, and major shareholder in mid-November totaling $30.5M
  • BSX (Boston Scientific): Insider gifted shares; routine executive transactions

Technology/AI

  • ACHR (Archer Aviation): Partnership with NVIDIA announced Jan 8 to integrate IGX Thor platform for next-gen aviation AI. Stock jumped 4% on news but remains down -60% from recent highs. Alaska Airlines deal not directly related but signals eVTOL industry momentum.
  • NBIS (Nebius Group): No significant news
  • OLED (Universal Display): No major catalysts

Energy

  • VG (Venture Global): Heavy insider selling (-$16.8M) from Senior VP Development in Nov/Dec
  • PSX (Phillips 66): Insider selling from CFO and EVP; routine executive transactions
  • OXY (Occidental Petroleum): No significant insider activity

Industrials

  • BE (Bloom Energy): Trading at $121.84 with very high RSI (88.5), suggesting extreme overbought—caution warranted
  • TREX (Trex): CFO purchased $479K in shares Nov 14 at $31.92 (stock now at $38.52, +20% gain for insider)
  • DE (Deere): Heavy insider tax withholdings and awards; no open market purchases
  • ALK (Alaska Airlines): Announced largest fleet order ever—105 Boeing 737-10s and 5 787 Dreamliners ($17B+ deal). Vote of confidence in Boeing despite 2024 door incident.

Real Estate

  • RITM (Rithm Capital): Analysts favor RITM over AGNC for mREIT exposure due to lower leverage, stronger ROE, better P/E ratios

📉 Sell-Side Signals (30 Total)

Top 10 ranked by RSI (highest = most overbought):

Rank Ticker Company Sector Last ($) RSI(14) Insider Net Days → Earnings Mkt Cap ($B)
1 VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Industrials 160.78 60.19 34 61.5
2 SANM Sanmina Corporation Technology 149.10 58.04 18 8.0
3 MCK McKesson Corporation Healthcare 814.63 57.26 27 101.8
4 AGX Argan, Inc. Industrials 313.93 56.63 78 4.3
5 MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Technology 83.45 53.72 -$9.1M 55 72.0
6 PRIM Primoris Services Corporation Industrials 124.85 53.61 +$0.5M 46 6.7
7 TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. Technology 37.30 50.90 34 18.3
8 COMM CommScope Holding Company, Inc. Technology 17.78 50.16 48 3.9
9 TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. Financial Services 103.98 48.27 28 22.2
10 FSLR First Solar, Inc. Technology 246.26 46.50 -$1.9M 47 26.4

Field Notes:

  • Insider Net:
    • MRVL (Marvell): -$9.1M insider selling (heavy tax withholdings and sales mid-December)
    • PRIM (Primoris): +$0.5M (new CEO awarded shares; previous CEO sold $455K)
    • FSLR (First Solar): -$1.9M (director sold $242K)
  • Days → Earnings: Most 18-55 days out, with SANM reporting in just 18 days

Sector Breakdown: Technology (10), Industrials (8), Healthcare (5), Financial Services (2), others (5)


Recent Headlines (Sell Signals):

Technology

  • ADBE (Adobe): Down ~20% in 2025. Announced acquisition of Semrush, enhancing AI-driven marketing capabilities. Trading at discount EV/ARR of 5.50x vs peers (Figma 15.46x, Canva 19.69x). Online holiday spending hit records but growth slowed.
  • MRVL (Marvell): Heavy insider selling in December; no major news
  • TTD (The Trade Desk): CTV (Connected TV) business is largest/fastest-growing channel. Named among S&P 500's worst performers in 2025 despite solid fundamentals.
  • APP (AppLovin): Axon advertising platform showing accelerating adoption; strong Q4 signals per analysts

Industrials

  • VRT (Vertiv): Analysts suggest looking at IREN instead for AI infrastructure plays due to higher growth rates
  • JCI (Johnson Controls): Sensormatic Solutions expanding shrink analyzer with new ML applications for retail loss prevention

Healthcare

  • MCK (McKesson): No significant news
  • HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise): AI revenue growth acceleration cited as catalyst; shifting to enterprise/sovereign AI projects

Vlad's Take (EverHint)

Market Backdrop (Jan 8): S&P 500 +0.07%, Nasdaq -0.29%, Dow +0.85%. Mixed session with large-caps barely green and tech slightly red. The VIX closed at 15.45 (down -1.53%)—firmly in the low volatility zone (under 20). This signals a complacent market, ideal for swing trades with reasonable stop-losses. Small-caps (Russell 2000) outperformed at +1.11%, suggesting some risk-on appetite beneath the surface. Treasury yields rose slightly (10Y at 4.181%), applying modest pressure to growth names. Bitcoin held steady (-0.09% at $91.2K), Ethereum down -1.62%.

Overall sentiment: Cautiously bullish with low vol. Good environment for the EMA crossover strategy.


On Today's Signals:

We have 68 buy signals and 30 sell signals—a 2.3:1 ratio favoring the bulls. The buy-side is heavily weighted toward Healthcare (13 names) and Industrials (21 names), with notable representation from Basic Materials and Tech.

A few observations:

  1. RSI extremes: Several buy signals show RSI above 80 (METC at 86.67, BE at 88.54, PDD at 85.74). These are technically overbought on entry, which seems counterintuitive. This happens when a stock has been in a strong uptrend and the EMA10 finally crosses above EMA30. Approach with caution—consider waiting for a pullback or use smaller position sizes. Overbought crossovers can continue higher, but they're vulnerable to quick reversals.

  2. Insider activity:

    • BNTX stands out with $30.5M in insider buying from CEO, director, and major shareholder in mid-November. That's real conviction at $7.50/share; stock now at $98.85 (though units unclear—verify if these are ADRs).
    • VG has $16.8M in insider selling—concerning signal.
    • TREX CFO's November purchase at $31.92 is already up 20%—bullish.
  3. Earnings calendar: Most signals are 40-70 days from earnings, which is ideal. Gives you runway to capture the EMA momentum without immediate event risk. Exception: SANM reports in 18 days, CBSH and ALK in 20 days.

  4. Sector rotation: The dominance of Industrials and Healthcare suggests defensive rotation or late-cycle positioning. With VIX this low, it might be worth nibbling on higher-quality names (A, ABT, BSX in healthcare; DE, ITT, SYK in industrials).

  5. Trade structure: Given low VIX, I'd use tiered entries:

    • 1/3 position at current levels
    • 1/3 on a 3-5% pullback
    • 1/3 if RSI dips below 50 (for those currently overbought)

    Stops: 5-7% below entry for most names. Tighter (3-4%) for the high-RSI entries like BE, METC, PDD.

  6. Watchlist: If I had to pick 3 from the buy side:

    • TREX: Insider buying validated, industrials rotation, reasonable RSI at 71
    • BNTX: Massive insider buy signal, biotech potential
    • DE: Quality name, earnings 35 days out, classic industrial compounder

From the sell side, ADBE looks interesting as a contrarian fade—down 20% this year, trading at deep value vs peers, and the Semrush acquisition could unlock marketing AI upside. But that's fighting the signal.


Final Word: This is a decent setup with low volatility providing a forgiving environment. But don't chase the overbought names blindly—the EMA crossover is a momentum signal, not a value signal. Respect the RSI extremes and use disciplined position sizing.


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This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
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