EverHint Signal — EMA10 × SMA50 Crossover — December 09, 2025
What This Signal Is (Quick)
The EMA10 × SMA50 Crossover combines the responsiveness of exponential moving averages with the stability of simple moving averages to identify high-quality trend shifts. This hybrid approach tracks when the 10-day exponential moving average (EMA10) crosses the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50).
Buy Signals occur when EMA10 crosses above SMA50, indicating that fast-moving momentum is overtaking the medium-term trend. The EMA10's exponential weighting gives more importance to recent price action, making it more responsive than a simple moving average, while the SMA50 provides a stable trend baseline.
Sell Signals occur when EMA10 crosses below SMA50, suggesting that short-term momentum is weakening relative to the established trend. These can mark exit points for existing positions or warn of potential reversals.
Key Characteristics:
- More stable than EMA10 × EMA30 (generates fewer but higher-quality signals)
- Better suited for position trading (4-12 week holding periods)
- Lower whipsaw risk due to SMA50's stability
- Ideal for medium-term trend following
This is an experimental scanner from EverHint. Signals are provided for educational purposes and back-testing—not as direct trading recommendations.
How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)
Today's signals are ranked by RSI(14), with lower RSI values ranked higher for buy signals (indicating more oversold conditions with potential upside) and higher RSI values for sell signals (indicating distribution).
We've overlaid three additional data layers:
- Insider Net (USD): Net insider buying or selling over the last 90 days (Purchases minus Sales only—ignoring awards, exercises, and tax transactions)
- Days → Earnings: Time until next earnings report (helps assess event risk)
- Analyst Coverage: Mentioned in context where available
These signals are for educational use, back-testing, and research. Always do your own due diligence.
📈 Buy-Side Signals
27 stocks triggered EMA10 × SMA50 buy signals today. Here are the top-ranked by RSI:
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI(14) | Market Cap | Insider Net (USD) | Days → Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HLNE | Hamilton Lane Incorporated | Financial Services | $128.71 | 53.8 | $7.2B | $522,433 | 56 |
| 2 | TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Technology | $236.18 | 52.2 | $69.5B | $0 | 50 |
| 3 | PGR | The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | $226.17 | 51.8 | $132.6B | $0 | 57 |
| 4 | NDAQ | Nasdaq, Inc. | Financial Services | $90.72 | 61.6 | $52.1B | $0 | 57 |
| 5 | RGA | Reinsurance Group of America, Inc. | Financial Services | $192.95 | 64.1 | $12.7B | $0 | 58 |
| 6 | CIVI | Civitas Resources, Inc. | Energy | $29.83 | 64.1 | $2.8B | $0 | 76 |
| 7 | CCJ | Cameco Corporation | Energy | $93.36 | 65.7 | $40.6B | $0 | 72 |
| 8 | AM | Antero Midstream Corporation | Energy | $18.57 | 65.3 | $8.9B | $0 | 64 |
| 9 | FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Technology | $68.48 | 69.6 | $25.3B | -$1,489,152 | 57 |
| 10 | SRPT | Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. | Healthcare | $22.18 | 69.2 | $2.2B | $0 | 78 |
| 11 | CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | Technology | $261.08 | 70.1 | $249.6B | $25,015,680 | 78 |
| 12 | UBS | UBS Group AG | Financial Services | $41.29 | 71.2 | $131.3B | $0 | 56 |
| 13 | GLW | Corning Incorporated | Technology | $91.13 | 72.7 | $78.1B | $0 | 57 |
| 14 | QDEL | QuidelOrtho Corporation | Healthcare | $27.44 | 77.4 | $1.9B | $0 | 64 |
| 15 | HWC | Hancock Whitney Corporation | Financial Services | $63.31 | 77.5 | $5.4B | -$1,738,690 | 42 |
| 16 | ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | $53.06 | 78.7 | $3.5B | $0 | 0 |
| 17 | RBRK | Rubrik, Inc. | Technology | $91.38 | 80.7 | $18.0B | -$46,834,468 | 37 |
| 18 | JXN | Jackson Financial Inc. | Financial Services | $100.56 | 80.6 | $6.8B | $0 | 71 |
| 19 | BEN | Franklin Resources, Inc. | Financial Services | $23.47 | 81.4 | $12.2B | $0 | 52 |
| 20 | DXCM | DexCom, Inc. | Healthcare | $66.33 | 81.7 | $25.9B | -$79,248 | 65 |
| 21 | DBRG | DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | Real Estate | $15.08 | 90.7 | $2.8B | $0 | 72 |
| 22 | ALK | Alaska Air Group, Inc. | Industrials | $49.61 | 88.1 | $5.8B | $0 | 50 |
| 23 | TTAN | ServiceTitan, Inc. | Technology | $109.00 | 91.1 | $10.1B | -$2,252,448 | 34 |
| 24 | Z | Zillow Group, Inc. Class C | Communication Services | $74.59 | 63.8 | $18.1B | -$32,266,063 | 63 |
| 25 | ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Technology | $15.10 | 86.6 | $3.6B | -$33,224,296 | 90 |
| 26 | NXPI | NXP Semiconductors N.V. | Technology | $228.05 | 64.8 | $57.4B | $0 | 55 |
| 27 | BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corporation | Utilities | $39.20 | 25.0 | $5.7B | $0 | 52 |
Recent Headlines (Buy Signals)
CRM - Salesforce, Inc.
- Massive insider buying: Director G Mason Morfit purchased $25.0M in shares (Dec 5) - extremely bullish signal
- CEO Marc Benioff has been systematically selling small amounts (~$100K-$400K per transaction) throughout the quarter
- Net insider activity: +$25.0M (dominated by Morfit's large purchase)
RBRK - Rubrik, Inc.
- Stock surged 24-25% on Dec 5 after crushing Q3 earnings expectations with surprise profitability
- CEO Bipul Sinha sold -$46.6M in September, but company fundamentals are strong
- Cyber resilience products and AI agent security tools driving growth momentum
- Subscription ARR growth accelerating, free cash flow soaring
DXCM - DexCom, Inc.
- Director Richard Collins sold -$389K in November
- President/COO Jacob Leach purchased $138K in shares (Nov 10) - positive insider signal
- Net insider activity: -$79K (minimal)
ASO - Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
- Reports Q3 earnings TODAY (Dec 9) - high event risk
- Q3 sales increased 3.0%, eCommerce up 22.2%
- Diluted EPS $1.14 vs $1.07 estimate (beat)
- Opened 11 new stores across 10 states, new stores comping high single digits
ASAN - Asana, Inc.
- Heavy insider selling: Director Justin Rosenstein sold -$33.2M over the quarter
- Growth outlook remains challenged with revenue deceleration continuing
- Enterprise traction evident (>$100K customer cohort growing 15% YoY) but SMB weakness structural
TTAN - ServiceTitan, Inc.
- Insider selling: CEO Ara Mahdessian sold -$2.3M, President Vahe Kuzoyan sold small amounts
- Stock showing extreme momentum (RSI 91.1) - overbought territory
Z - Zillow Group, Inc.
- Co-Executive Chairman Lloyd Frink sold -$32.3M over the quarter (systematic selling)
- Multiple executives selling throughout September-November period
FLEX - Flex Ltd.
- Director Michael Hurlston sold -$1.7M, other executives sold smaller amounts
- Net insider selling: -$1.5M
HWC - Hancock Whitney Corporation
- President/CEO John Hairston sold -$1.2M, CFO Michael Achary sold -$543K in October
- Net insider selling: -$1.7M
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated
- Co-CEO Juan Delgado-Moreira purchased $522K in shares (Nov 7) - strong bullish signal
- Only buy signal with significant positive insider activity
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation
- Announced strategic $1.1B acquisition of Marcellus Shale assets (Dec 8)
- Pricing upsized $600M offering of 5.75% senior notes due 2034 (Dec 9)
- Antero Resources parent company acquiring HG Energy II for $2.8B
NXPI - NXP Semiconductors N.V.
- EVP Christopher Jensen sold -$524K, but Chair Julie Southern purchased $51K (Dec 3)
- Multiple executive tax transactions (F-InKind) throughout November - routine
📉 Sell-Side Signals
18 stocks triggered EMA10 × SMA50 sell signals today. Here are the top-ranked by RSI (descending):
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI(14) | Market Cap | Insider Net (USD) | Days → Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Industrials | $62.17 | 53.1 | $37.5B | -$186,568,855 | 57 |
| 2 | TDS | Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. | Communication Services | $37.85 | 51.5 | $4.1B | -$666,826 | 73 |
| 3 | RYTM | Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Healthcare | $100.71 | 50.0 | $6.7B | -$1,173,065 | 78 |
| 4 | HSY | The Hershey Company | Consumer Defensive | $178.77 | 49.5 | $36.3B | -$281,280 | 57 |
| 5 | UFPI | UFP Industries, Inc. | Basic Materials | $87.77 | 47.9 | $5.1B | $0 | 69 |
| 6 | BALL | Ball Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | $46.87 | 45.8 | $12.6B | $0 | 56 |
| 7 | ENSG | The Ensign Group, Inc. | Healthcare | $174.20 | 43.0 | $10.0B | $0 | 57 |
| 8 | TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | $164.95 | 42.9 | $11.0B | -$405,270 | 72 |
| 9 | CL | Colgate-Palmolive Company | Consumer Defensive | $76.98 | 42.3 | $62.1B | $0 | 52 |
| 10 | ELS | Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. | Real Estate | $60.44 | 37.8 | $11.7B | $0 | 48 |
| 11 | BUD | Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | Consumer Defensive | $60.47 | 37.4 | $118.1B | $0 | 78 |
| 12 | HDB | HDFC Bank Limited | Financial Services | $35.16 | 34.5 | $60.1B | $0 | 50 |
| 13 | VSH | Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. | Technology | $15.35 | 34.6 | $2.1B | $0 | 57 |
| 14 | FRO | Frontline Ltd. | Energy | $22.75 | 32.6 | $5.1B | $0 | 71 |
| 15 | NEE | NextEra Energy, Inc. | Utilities | $79.60 | 25.5 | $165.8B | $0 | 45 |
| 16 | AMX | América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. | Communication Services | $21.27 | 28.1 | $64.0B | $0 | 64 |
| 17 | ASND | Ascendis Pharma A/S | Healthcare | $196.63 | 30.3 | $11.8B | $0 | 64 |
Recent Headlines (Sell Signals)
NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.
- Major AI data center partnerships announced Dec 8:
- Expanded partnership with Google Cloud to scale multiple gigawatts of data center capacity across U.S.
- Partnership with Meta to strengthen American energy leadership
- Working with Exxon to develop 1.2 gigawatt power plant with carbon capture for hyperscaler
- Plans to build 15 gigawatts of power generation for data centers by 2035
- Announced acquisition of Symmetry Energy Solutions from Energy Capital Partners
- New nuclear energy agreement with WPPI Energy for Upper Midwest
- Collaboration with Basin Electric for River Run Energy Center in North Dakota
- Raised adjusted profit forecast for 2026
- Stock fell 3.1% on Dec 8 despite positive news - profit-taking after run-up
SYM - Symbotic Inc.
- Massive insider selling: SoftBank Group and SVF Sponsor sold -$186.6M (3.5M shares at $53.21 on Dec 8)
- Director Merline Saintil sold -$324K in November
- Chief Strategy Officer William Boyd sold smaller amounts
- Stock under heavy distribution pressure from major shareholders
TXRH - Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
- Director Gregory Moore sold -$238K, Director Hugh Carroll sold -$167K in December
- Multiple small gift transactions from executives
- Net insider selling: -$405K
RYTM - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
- Chief Technical Officer Joseph Shulman sold -$1.2M over October-November period
- Net insider selling: -$1.2M
TDS - Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.
- VP/Controller Anita Kroll sold -$667K in November (entire position)
- Net insider selling: -$667K
HSY - The Hershey Company
- SVP/CFO Steven Voskuil sold -$281K in October
- Net insider selling: -$281K
ASO - Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
- Growth outlook remains challenging despite Q3 beat
- Asana facing structural SMB weakness, though enterprise traction evident
Field Notes
Understanding the Metrics:
-
RSI(14): Relative Strength Index on a 0-100 scale. Below 30 = oversold, above 70 = overbought. For buy signals, lower RSI can indicate better entry points. For sell signals, higher RSI suggests distribution.
-
EMA10 × SMA50 Crossovers: These are "fresh" crossovers that occurred today. The fast-moving EMA10 just crossed the slower SMA50, confirming a shift in momentum. More stable than EMA×EMA strategies.
-
Insider Net: Only includes actual Purchases (P) and Sales (S). We ignore Awards (A), Exercises (M), and Tax payments (F) because they don't reflect open-market conviction.
-
Days → Earnings: Time until next quarterly report. Less than 7 days = high volatility risk. More than 30 days = lower event risk.
Sector Observations:
- Buy signals concentrated in Financials (7 signals: HLNE, PGR, NDAQ, RGA, UBS, JXN, BEN, HWC) - strong sector rotation into financial services
- Technology strength (7 signals: CRM, FLEX, GLW, RBRK, TTAN, ASAN, NXPI) - tech showing resilience despite market chop
- Energy breakouts (3 signals: CCJ, CIVI, AM) - uranium and midstream names moving
- Sell signals in Consumer Defensive (3 signals: HSY, CL, BUD) - defensive staples rolling over
- Utilities weakness (2 signals: NEE, BEPC) - rate sensitivity pressuring the sector
Strategy Context:
EMA10 × SMA50 crossovers are more deliberate than pure EMA strategies, generating fewer signals but with higher quality. The EMA10's responsiveness catches momentum shifts early, while the SMA50 provides a stable trend filter. These setups work best for position trades lasting 4-12 weeks.
Vlad's Take (EverHint)
Today's market backdrop: S&P 500 essentially flat (-0.004%), Nasdaq up +0.31%, Dow down -0.34%. Mixed signals with tech showing relative strength while blue chips lagged. The VIX closed at 16.91, up about 1.5%, indicating normal-to-slightly-elevated volatility—not panic, but enough to warrant disciplined risk management. Small-caps outperformed modestly (Russell 2000 +0.42%), suggesting some appetite for risk. Treasury yields rose (10Y at 4.182%, +0.48%), continuing to pressure rate-sensitive sectors. Crypto had a strong day with Bitcoin +2.57% and Ethereum +6.55%. Overall: Cautiously constructive environment with sector rotation in play.
Given this backdrop, the EMA10 × SMA50 signals are painting a clear picture: Financials are breaking out (7 buy signals), while defensive sectors are rolling over (Consumer Defensive and Utilities showing sell signals). This aligns perfectly with rising yields—banks benefit from steeper curves, while rate-sensitive defensives get pressured.
What stands out: The insider activity is mixed but telling. On the buy side, we have one massive bullish signal—Salesforce director G Mason Morfit buying $25M worth of stock. That's conviction. But we also have heavy selling in RBRK (-$46.8M), ASAN (-$33.2M), Z (-$32.3M), and TTAN (-$2.3M). The exception is HLNE, where the Co-CEO bought $522K—a rare positive signal worth noting.
On the sell side, SYM's -$186.6M insider selling from SoftBank is a red flag. When a major shareholder dumps 3.5M shares in one day, that's distribution, not tax planning. NEE's death cross is interesting given all the positive AI data center news—sometimes technicals trump fundamentals in the short term.
The ASO situation is unique: The stock triggered a buy signal and reports earnings TODAY. That's maximum event risk. The Q3 beat was solid (+14% EPS growth), but the stock could whipsaw on guidance. If you're trading this, wait for post-earnings consolidation.
Trading approach for EMA10 × SMA50 crossovers:
- Use tiered entries (25-50% position on the cross, add on pullbacks to the EMA10)
- Set stops below the SMA50 (the line that was just crossed)
- For buy signals with heavy insider selling (RBRK, ASAN, Z, TTAN), reduce position size or wait for confirmation
- For sell signals, consider these as exit alerts for existing longs rather than short entries
- Given the elevated VIX (16.91), keep position sizes modest and use wider stops
The Financials breakout looks like the cleanest setup—rising yields are a tailwind, and several names (HLNE, HWC, JXN) have reasonable RSI levels. The Technology names are more extended (RBRK at 80.7 RSI, TTAN at 91.1 RSI)—wait for pullbacks. And watch those Utilities death crosses—if you're holding NEE or BEPC, this is your warning shot.
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