EverHint Signal — Momentum Swing: Explosive Volume Breakout — December 09, 2025

What This Signal Is (Quick)

Explosive Volume Breakout is a momentum swing approach that looks for stocks pushing toward or through recent highs on at least 2.5× their typical trading volume. The aim is to surface names where price and volume are working together, suggesting strong institutional participation rather than purely retail noise.

The signal is built for a 1–4 week swing horizon, with a medium–high risk profile. Breakouts can move fast in both directions: the same liquidity that helps you get in and out can also amplify intraday swings. High volume tells us “someone big cares here,” but it doesn’t tell us the eventual outcome on its own.

Today’s scan pulled five names with strong volume thrust, tight proximity to 52-week highs, and sufficient liquidity for most retail traders. This is an experimental scanner intended for education, idea generation, and back-testing—not trade recommendations.

How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

For this run, the list is ordered by a composite score (0–1 scaled below to 0–100) that blends:

• Trend strength and proximity to highs
• Recent momentum over multiple lookback windows
• Liquidity via 20-day average dollar volume
• Volatility characteristics

On top of that, we overlay:

• Insider flows (last 90 days) — netting open-market purchases and sales into a single “Insider Net (USD)” figure per ticker
• Earnings proximity — “Days → Earnings” so you can quickly see which setups sit on top of upcoming catalysts
• Analyst coverage context — all five names have active coverage; the nearest fiscal-year EPS estimates are based on 3–19 analysts per stock, which we treat as a light quality/visibility flag rather than a ranking input.

Use the table as a starting grid, then drill into charts, fundamentals, and your own risk management rules before making any decisions.

💥 Breakout Signals

Field notes on the table

• Rank – Ordered by composite score (0–100). Higher = cleaner, more “textbook” breakout in this framework.
• Vol Thrust – Today’s volume vs 20-day average. 3–4× is genuinely heavy participation; all five names clear the 2.5× “explosive” bar, with AKRO at the top.
• % of 52W High – How close price closed relative to its 52-week high. Numbers in the high 90s or 100% mean you’re trading essentially at new highs.
• Insider Net (USD) – Net open-market insider activity over the last 90 days:
  • Negative = more selling than buying
  • Positive = net buying
  • $0 here means no qualifying open-market P/S trades in the lookback window
• Days → Earnings – Calendar days until the next scheduled earnings report. Under 7 days usually means binary event risk; 50–80 days gives a wider swing window before the next major catalyst.

Recent Headlines & Context

This section is a quick qualitative overlay so you can connect price/volume with narrative where it exists.

• CFLT — Confluent, Inc. (Rank 1)
  • A recent note from Defense World highlights that Cetera Investment Advisers increased its position in Confluent, adding a few thousand shares and signaling ongoing institutional interest in the data streaming space.
  • Combined with a 3.7× volume surge and a close right at 100% of the 52-week high, this looks like a momentum continuation story in a well-owned software name rather than a thin, speculative spike.
• PAAS — Pan American Silver (Rank 2)
  • Proactive Investors reports record silver prices driven by industrial demand and easing rate expectations, a macro backdrop that naturally benefits senior silver producers.
  • Additional coverage notes intraday index volatility with silver remaining firm, reinforcing the idea that the commodity theme, not just single-stock news, is driving the tape for PAAS.
  • No material open-market insider buying or selling shows up in the recent flow, so this one screens more as a macro/commodity breakout than an insider-driven story.
• AMG — Affiliated Managers Group (Rank 3)
  • Seeking Alpha and Zacks both point to AMG as part of the asset-manager cohort positioned to extend performance into 2026, with management presenting at a Goldman Sachs financial services conference and being highlighted in a “winners that may keep winning” style piece.
  • That narrative fits the technical picture: 3.1× volume, essentially at 52-week highs, and solid mid-cap liquidity. The lack of notable recent insider selling is a mild positive for a financial name at highs.
• AKRO — Akero Therapeutics (Rank 4)
  • GlobeNewswire reports that Novo Nordisk has completed its acquisition of Akero Therapeutics, which explains both the tight clustering near the highs and the outsized 4.3× volume.
  • Recent insider activity shows net selling over the last quarter, which is common in the context of a completed deal and doesn’t necessarily carry the same signal as open-market selling in a stand-alone biotech.
• PRO — PROS Holdings (Rank 5)
  • No major fresh headlines stand out in the last few days, which suggests today’s move is primarily technical: strong software tape, a solid 3.8× volume pop, and price pinned at 52-week highs on a relatively smaller ($1.1B) tech name.
  • With earnings still nearly two months out and no notable insider flows, PRO looks like a “pure chart” breakout candidate in this basket.

Field Notes

• Volume thrust really is the story:
  All five names printed 2.7–4.3× their 20-day average volume. That’s not just “busier than usual”; it’s the kind of activity that typically involves funds, not only retail.
• Nearly everything is living at the top of its range:
  • CFLT, PAAS, AMG and PRO all closed at 100% of their 52-week highs (within rounding).
  • AKRO is just behind at ~98% of its 52-week high, consistent with a completed or near-completed buyout.
    Breakouts deep in the 90–100% zone are classic continuation setups, but they leave less nearby support if the move fails.
• Sector mix:
  • Technology: CFLT, PRO
  • Basic Materials (Silver): PAAS
  • Financial Services: AMG
  • Healthcare/Biotech: AKRO
    That mix hints at broad risk appetite—this isn’t a single-sector melt-up; it’s growth software, metals, asset managers, and biotech all participating.
• Insiders are net sellers where activity exists:
  • CFLT shows roughly -$7.2M in net open-market insider selling over the last 90 days.
  • AKRO shows about -$1.9M in net selling, consistent with deal-related liquidity for insiders.
  • PAAS, AMG, and PRO have no meaningful open-market P/S activity in the same window.
    Insider selling at highs isn’t automatically bearish, but it’s a reminder to size positions sanely and avoid treating any one ticker as a “sure thing.”
• Earnings are not imminent:
  • Earnings are roughly 58–80 days away for this group, so there’s some breathing room before the next scheduled binary catalyst.
  • In practice, that means technical levels and macro tape are likely to matter more than near-term earnings surprises for the current swing window.

Vlad’s Take (EverHint)

Today’s market backdrop was relatively calm: the S&P 500 was essentially flat (about -0.00%), the Dow slipped roughly -0.34%, and the Nasdaq added about +0.31%. Small caps (Russell 2000) outperformed slightly at around +0.42%, hinting at a mild risk-on bias beneath the surface. The VIX closed near 16.9, up about 1.5%, which is still a low-volatility regime rather than a stress signal.

The 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to about 4.18% (roughly +0.48%), while crypto stayed firmly risk-on, with Bitcoin up about +2.6% and Ethereum up more than +6.5%. For an explosive-volume breakout scan, that mix—calm index tape plus strong crypto and a slight small-cap bid—supports tactical momentum plays, but it still argues for respecting stops and not oversizing any single name.

For an Explosive Volume Breakout strategy, that backdrop cuts both ways:

• On the plus side, breakouts tend to follow through better when markets are embracing risk and capital is chasing upside.
• On the minus side, failed breakouts can unwind brutally fast in a tape with this kind of volatility and crowding.

My bias in a regime like this would be:

• Treat each of these setups as short-term, tactical ideas, not long-term core holdings.
• Use tiered entries (e.g., start smaller and scale only if price behaves).
• Respect your max loss per position; with this kind of volatility, a single name should never decide your month.
• Pay extra attention to intraday liquidity and spreads, especially in the smaller caps or those involved in M&A (like AKRO).

If you’re already long some of these names, this scan can help you re-frame where you are in the move: Are you adding into strength with confirmation, or are you late to a vertical spike that now carries asymmetrical downside?

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This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
See https://www.everhint.com/disclaimer/ and https://www.everhint.com/faqs/

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