EverHint Signal — Momentum Swing: Volatile High Beta — December 22, 2025

What This Signal Is (Quick)

Volatile High Beta is a momentum swing strategy designed for traders who can stomach extreme price swings. This scans for stocks with 60-150% annualized volatility—names that can easily move 5-10% in a single day.

Core Criteria:

• Volatility 60%+ — annualized volatility exceeding 60% (S&P 500 averages ~15-20%)
• High beta — stocks that amplify market moves (up and down)
• Strong momentum — breakout or consolidation near 52-week highs
• Volume confirmation — institutional activity present
• Holding period: 1-4 weeks (swing trading timeframe)
• Risk level: High

This is not a conservative strategy. These stocks are for risk-tolerant traders who understand that a 7% gain one day can become a 10% loss the next. The upside? When these names catch momentum, they move fast—much faster than blue-chip stocks grinding higher.

Who this is for: Experienced swing traders comfortable with large drawdowns, willing to use tight stops, and seeking asymmetric risk/reward. If you prefer steady compounding, look elsewhere.

This is an experimental scanner. Signals are for educational and research purposes only.

How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

Signals are ranked by composite quality score (0-100 scale). The score weighs momentum strength, relative strength vs SPY, volume characteristics, and price position. Higher scores indicate cleaner setups with better technical alignment.

We've overlaid:

• Insider Net Flows (last 90 days) — calculated from open-market purchases minus sales only
• Days to Earnings — time until next earnings report
• Volume Thrust — current volume vs 20-day average
• Volatility (vol63) — 63-day annualized volatility (minimum 60% for this strategy)

These signals are designed for educational use and back-testing. Always do your own due diligence.

⚡ Volatile High Beta Signals

4 stocks triggered today.

Field Notes

HYMC (Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation) — Score 100

• Gold/silver mining at fresh 52-week high ($24.52)
• Extreme volatility: 97.0% annualized (expect 6-8% daily swings)
• Explosive volume: 7.27x average (627% above baseline)—highest thrust by far
• Parabolic momentum: +265.97% over 63 days (nearly tripled), +36.2% over 10 days, +30.5% over 21 days
• Exceptional relative strength: RS 1.211 vs SPY (121.1% outperformance over 21 days)
• Massive insider buying: +$65.0M net purchases (10% owner Eric Sprott aggressively accumulating)
  • Dec 17: 220K shares @ $14.60 ($3.2M)
  • Dec 15-16: 400K shares @ $13.02-13.03 ($5.2M)
  • Dec 9-12: 460K shares @ $11.64-13.30 ($6.2M)
  • Oct 14: 7.69M shares @ $6.50 ($50.0M) — major initial position
• Market cap: $2.0B (small-cap)
• Earnings: 45 days out (Feb 5, 2026 BMO)

FOLD (Amicus Therapeutics) — Score 33

• Biotech at fresh 52-week high ($14.21)
• Volatility: 62.3% annualized (just above 60% minimum)
• Volume thrust: 1.84x average
• Strong 63-day momentum: +65.8%, consolidating near highs (+10.6% over 10 days, +13.1% over 21 days)
• Excellent relative strength: RS 0.413 vs SPY (41.3% outperformance)
• Insider selling: -$1.9M net (CEO and executives exercising options and selling)
  • CEO Campbell: $292K in sales (option exercises)
  • Chief Development Officer Castelli: $773K in sales
  • Chief Legal Officer Rosenberg: $598K in sales
  • Chief People Officer Clark: $259K in sales
• Market cap: $4.4B (mid-cap)
• Earnings: 58 days out (Feb 18, 2026 BMO)

VICR (Vicor Corporation) — Score 23

• Power components manufacturer at fresh 52-week high ($111.02)
• Extreme volatility: 79.5% annualized (5-7% daily swings expected)
• Volume thrust: 2.07x average
• Explosive 63-day momentum: +102.9% (more than doubled)
• Recent consolidation: -0.4% over 10 days, +14.2% over 21 days
• Strong relative strength: RS 0.263 vs SPY (26.3% outperformance)
• Modest insider selling: -$248K (VP-level option exercises)
• Market cap: $5.0B (mid-cap)
• Earnings: 58 days out (Feb 18, 2026 AMC)

SBSW (Sibanye Stillwater Limited) — Score 20

• South African precious metals miner at fresh 52-week high ($15.15)
• Volatility: 65.8% annualized (4-6% daily swings)
• Volume thrust: 1.72x average
• Strong 63-day momentum: +58.8%, +11.5% over 10 days, +19.9% over 21 days
• Relative strength: RS 0.262 vs SPY (26.2% outperformance)
• No insider activity reported
• Market cap: $10.7B (mid-cap)
• Earnings: 60 days out (Feb 20, 2026 BMO)

Recent Headlines

HYMC (Hycroft Mining):

• Major Insider Accumulation: Eric Sprott (10% owner) has purchased $65M+ worth of shares since October, including $15M+ in December alone. This is the largest insider buying signal across all today's scans.
• Gold Mining Context: With gold futures at $4,483 (+2.6% today), precious metals miners are benefiting from sustained commodity strength.
• Parabolic Move: +265% over 63 days suggests either a major discovery, operational breakthrough, or speculation on M&A activity. Warrant research.

FOLD (Amicus Therapeutics):

• Ongoing insider sales from C-suite (option exercises and immediate sales)
• Biotech momentum continuing into year-end

VICR (Vicor Corporation):

• No major news — power component manufacturer riding AI/data center tailwinds
• +102.9% over 63 days suggests strong demand cycle

SBSW (Sibanye Stillwater):

• No major news — South African miner benefiting from precious metals strength
• Platinum/palladium exposure in addition to gold

Field Notes

Volume Thrust Analysis:
Wide range of volume characteristics:

• HYMC: 7.27x (extreme, 627% above average) — this is institutional accumulation or speculation
• VICR: 2.07x (strong)
• FOLD: 1.84x (moderate)
• SBSW: 1.72x (moderate)

HYMC's 7.27x volume thrust is exceptional—typically seen during buyout rumors, breakthrough news, or insider-driven accumulation. Given Eric Sprott's $65M buying spree, this appears to be the latter.

Volatility Distribution:
All signals meet the 60%+ threshold:

• HYMC: 97.0% vol63 — extreme (6-8% daily ranges)
• VICR: 79.5% vol63 — very high (5-7% daily ranges)
• SBSW: 65.8% vol63 — high (4-6% daily ranges)
• FOLD: 62.3% vol63 — high (3-5% daily ranges)

For context, the VIX closed at 14.12 today (low market volatility), but these individual stocks are 4-7x more volatile than the overall market.

Insider Activity:

• HYMC: +$65.0M net buying (bullish) — Eric Sprott's aggressive accumulation
• FOLD: -$1.9M net selling (bearish) — C-suite option exercises
• VICR: -$248K net selling (neutral) — modest VP-level sales
• SBSW: No activity

HYMC's insider buying is the story. Eric Sprott is a legendary precious metals investor—when he commits $65M to a small-cap miner, the market pays attention.

% of 52W High:
All 4 signals at exactly 100%—fresh breakouts to new 52-week highs. This is the ideal setup for momentum strategies.

Sector Distribution:

• Basic Materials: 2 signals (50%) — HYMC, SBSW (precious metals theme)
• Healthcare: 1 signal (25%) — FOLD
• Technology: 1 signal (25%) — VICR

The clustering in basic materials (precious metals) suggests a thematic trade—gold at $4,483, silver at $68.96 (+2.1%), platinum at $2,143 (+6.3%). Commodity strength is driving these mining names.

Score Distribution:

• Elite (100): HYMC — perfect score due to volume + momentum + insider buying
• Quality (30-50): FOLD (33)
• Standard (20-30): VICR (23), SBSW (20)

HYMC's perfect score reflects the alignment of every technical factor: volume, momentum, relative strength, and massive insider buying.

Vlad's Take (EverHint)

Market Context: Sunday December 22, 2025 close — S&P 500 +0.19%, Nasdaq -0.09%, Dow +0.31%. Mixed session with value slightly outperforming tech. The VIX closed at 14.12 (-6.86%), indicating low volatility and a complacent market environment. Small-caps (Russell 2000) gained 0.64%, outperforming the Nasdaq, suggesting risk-on appetite. Bitcoin -0.14%, Ethereum -0.23%. Gold futures +2.6%, silver +2.1%, platinum +6.3%—precious metals having a strong day. Overall: Mildly bullish, low-vol environment with commodities outperforming.

Strategy Implications:

Low market VIX (14.12) creates a false sense of security. Yes, the S&P is calm. But HYMC's 97% volatility means it can gap 8% overnight on no news. Don't let the market's tranquility fool you—these are wild stocks.

What I'd do:

1. HYMC is the conviction play. Eric Sprott's $65M buying spree is not random. He's a legendary precious metals investor who called the gold bull market in the early 2000s. When Sprott commits this kind of capital to a small-cap miner, you pay attention. The parabolic move (+265% over 63 days) suggests either:

   • Major discovery at their Nevada gold/silver property
   • Operational breakthrough reducing extraction costs
   • M&A speculation (Sprott positioning for a takeover premium)
   • Pure commodity play on gold at $4,483

   The risk: This has already run hard. Buying at $24.52 after a +265% run is late-stage momentum. Entry: Consider waiting for a 10-15% pullback to $21-22 (MA21 at $12.62, but the gap is huge). Stop: $19 (20% below current). Target: $30-35 (+22-43%). Hold: 2-4 weeks. Position size: 0.5-1% max (given 97% vol).

   Alternative: If you can't stomach the volatility, skip it. This is a binary trade—either it keeps running to $30+, or it collapses back to $18.

2. FOLD is the insider-selling red flag. -$1.9M in C-suite selling (CEO, Chief Legal, Chief Development, Chief People) is not a positive signal. Yes, these are option exercises, not direct sales, but when the entire executive team is cashing out simultaneously, it suggests they view current prices as favorable exit points. The 62.3% volatility is manageable, but the insider selling outweighs the technical setup. Pass.

3. VICR is the AI/data center play. +102.9% over 63 days, power component manufacturer—this screams "AI infrastructure demand." Data centers need massive power solutions, and VICR's products are in the supply chain. The 79.5% volatility is extreme, but the relative strength (RS 0.263) and volume thrust (2.07x) confirm institutional interest. Entry: current levels or slight pullback to $108. Stop: $102 (below MA10). Target: $120-125 (+8-13%). Hold: 2-3 weeks.

4. SBSW is the commodity rotation play. South African miner with platinum/palladium/gold exposure. Today's precious metals strength (+2.6% gold, +6.3% platinum) is the catalyst. But score 20 (lowest) reflects weaker technicals vs HYMC. If you want precious metals exposure, HYMC has better technicals and insider conviction. SBSW is a secondary option if you're diversifying across multiple miners.

Risk Management:

With 60-97% annualized volatility, standard 2% position sizing is too aggressive. Recommendations:

• HYMC: 0.5-1.0% risk per trade (half your normal size)
• VICR: 0.75-1.0% risk per trade
• FOLD: Pass (insider selling)
• SBSW: 1.0% risk per trade (if you trade it)

Use 7-10% trailing stops (not 3-5%) to accommodate the volatility. These stocks can easily swing 5% intraday on no news—tight stops will get shaken out.

Earnings Proximity:
All signals have 45-60 days until earnings, giving you runway for a 2-4 week swing trade without immediate event risk. But watch for any early earnings announcements or pre-announcements.

Market VIX vs Stock Volatility Disconnect:

This is critical to understand. The market VIX is 14.12 (low), suggesting calm conditions. But:

• HYMC volatility: 97.0% (6.9x market volatility)
• VICR volatility: 79.5% (5.6x market volatility)
• SBSW volatility: 65.8% (4.7x market volatility)

These stocks move independently of the market. When the S&P is up 0.2%, HYMC can be down 7%. When the S&P is down 1%, VICR can be up 12%. Don't use market sentiment as a proxy for these names.

Precious Metals Macro:

Gold at $4,483 (+2.6%), silver at $68.96 (+2.1%), platinum at $2,143 (+6.3%) today. If you believe the commodity bull market has legs (inflation hedges, central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty), HYMC and SBSW are leveraged plays on that thesis. But remember: leveraged upside = leveraged downside. When gold corrects 5%, these miners can drop 15-20%.

The Honest Take:

Most retail traders will lose money trading these names. Why? Because they're using position sizes designed for Apple or Microsoft. You can't trade a 97% volatility stock the same way you trade a 20% volatility stock.

If you do trade HYMC, respect the setup: small position, wide stops, defined exit criteria. Eric Sprott's $65M conviction is impressive, but he's a billionaire investor with deep pockets. You're a retail trader with limited capital. Trade accordingly.

VICR is the cleanest risk/reward here—AI infrastructure demand, strong technicals, 2.07x volume thrust, and the volatility (79.5%) is extreme but manageable if you size properly.

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