EverHint Signal — Pullback Standard (Momentum Small/Mid-Cap Pullback) - November 12, 2025

November 12, 2025

Experimental Signal — Pullback Standard (Momentum Small/Mid-Cap Pullback)

What this signal is (quick)

This Pullback Standard screen looks for strong trends that have dipped off recent highs but not broken:

• Mode: pullback on momentum small/mid-cap universe
• Exchanges: NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX
• Market cap: ~$1B to $1T
• Price band: $5–$10,000
• Liquidity: 20-day average dollar volume ≥ $25M
• Pullback context: price still within 3% of 52-week high (near_high_pct = 0.0300)
• Volatility band: 63-day volatility between 0.20 and 0.80
• Volume confirmation: today’s dollar volume vs 20-day average ≥ 1.5×
• Earnings buffer: at least 7 days to next scheduled report

Today’s signals use end-of-day data for November 12, 2025, and this pullback scanner remains experimental while we build live performance tracking.

How we ranked today (reader version)

• Trend posture: Strong medium-term uptrend (near 52-week highs) after a short-term pause or dip.
• Momentum score: Blend of recent returns (10/21/63 days), RS-21 and placement inside the volatility band.
• Overlays:
  • Days → Earnings: nearest known future earnings date.
  • Analyst Updates (30d): number of EPS estimate snapshots fetched for each name.
• Headlines: Same-day or very recent news to confirm or challenge each pullback.

Note: Signals are for educational use and back-testing, not trading advice. We’ll keep tuning weights as more live data accrues.

📈 Buy-Side Signals — Pullback Standard

Field notes

• Tight list: Only two names survived today’s filters — both technically classified as Technology in this run, though ESE operates in industrial/engineering niches.
• Near highs, not breakouts: Both names sit within ~2% of their 52-week highs, but AMD recently logged a sharp 10-day pullback before snapping back, while ESE has been grinding higher with mild retracements.
• Volatility: ESE sits in the lower half of the vol63 band (steadier trend), AMD toward the upper half (classic high-beta AI leader).
• Insiders: No separate insider-trading file was exported for this run → insider net is left blank (—) rather than guessed.
• Analyst attention: Dense estimate grids for both; ESE shows slightly more EPS term points, AMD a similarly rich curve (28 rows), consistent with heavy Street coverage.

Recent Headlines (insert or summarize)

ESE — ESCO Technologies Inc.

• ESE is heading into its Q4 2025 earnings on November 20, 2025, with consensus around $2.12 EPS on roughly $306M in revenue. Multiple outlets highlight the pending results and webcast schedule. (MarketBeat)
• Fresh 13F filings show institutional accumulation, including additional buying by Bank of New York Mellon and a new position from Future Fund LLC, reinforcing the “quiet accumulation in an expensive but steady compounder” narrative. (MarketBeat)

AMD — Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

• At its Financial Analyst Day (Nov 11), AMD laid out an aggressive AI/data-center roadmap: targeting $100B in annual data-center revenue within five years, total revenue CAGR >35%, and non-GAAP EPS above $20 long term. (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.)
• CEO Lisa Su described AI demand as “insatiable”, with AMD pitching itself as a full-stack compute platform (EPYC CPUs, Instinct GPUs, networking and software). The stock jumped around 9–10%, pushing back toward all-time highs and becoming a key driver of today’s large-cap tape. (Investopedia)

📉 Sell-Side Signals — Pullback Standard

This particular Pullback Standard run did not produce separate sell-side candidates (no qualifying breakdown-style pullbacks under the current settings).

Carlo’s Take (EverHint)

For pullback setups like this, I treat them as “buy the dip in proven winners”, not as fresh breakouts:

• ESE:
  • Quiet compounder pressing against its highs ahead of an earnings event in 8 days. Institutionals have been adding, but valuation screens (high P/E) show some investors still “waiting for a pullback” that hasn’t truly materialized. (AAII)
  • Process-wise, I’d rather see post-earnings price/volume confirmation before sizing up; pre-event pullbacks can turn into gap-downs if the bar is too high.
• AMD:
  • This is less a gentle pullback and more a shakeout within a momentum regime. The stock pulled back, then ripped on Analyst Day guidance and is now hovering just below highs with vol63 elevated.
  • Given the AI-hype backdrop and extremely ambitious targets, I’d treat AMD as a trade, not a thesis here: short holding windows, tight ATR-aware stops under recent swing lows, and a willingness to step aside if AI-macro sentiment sours. (Reuters)

Tactics I like for this screen (not advice, just process):

• Enter in tiers on pullbacks toward the 10- or 21-day moving average, not at intraday spikes back to the highs.
• Respect upcoming catalysts: for ESE, the earnings date is close; for AMD, the catalyst is the long-term AI story rather than a single quarter.
• Trim into strength if price accelerates away from the moving averages faster than RS-21 improves; failed pullbacks often morph into lower-highs before anyone calls them trend breaks.

Today’s rotation snapshot: Pullback opportunities are extremely concentrated — today the screen narrows to one industrial/tech hybrid (ESE) and one AI mega-cap (AMD), underscoring how much of the market’s “buy-the-dip” interest is anchored around data-center AI and specialized engineering names.

Independent research. No hype, no pumps, no paid promotions — just clean, data-driven signals and concise context.