EverHint Signal — SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover — December 01, 2025

What This Signal Is (Quick)

This experimental scanner looks for fresh crossovers between the 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50). A new crossover means the shorter trend has just shifted relative to the medium-term trend, often marking an inflection point in momentum.

On the buy side, the signal fires when SMA20 crosses above SMA50 (often called a “golden cross”). That tells us 20-day momentum has turned stronger than the 50-day baseline, usually confirming a bullish trend that can play out over several weeks.

On the sell side, the signal flags fresh SMA20 crosses below SMA50 (a “death cross”). That’s a sign the short-term tape has rolled over beneath the medium-term trend, which can mark the start of a deeper pullback or a trend reversal.

This is an experimental scanner for idea generation, not a plug-and-play trading system. It works best when combined with your own risk management, position sizing, and fundamental research.

How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

For today’s SMA20 × SMA50 report (2025-12-01), the ranking logic is:

• Primary ranking: RSI(14)
  • Buy signals: lower RSI first (stronger “just turned up from oversold” feel)
  • Sell signals: higher RSI first (more overbought, greater reversal risk)
• If RSI is missing, liquidity (average dollar volume) and price act as secondary tie-breakers.

On top of the technical signal, we overlay:

• Insider activity: net insider buying vs selling over the last 90 days (open-market P vs S only)
• Earnings proximity: days until the next scheduled earnings date
• Recent headlines: last few days of company-specific news to explain why the chart might be moving

Signals are best treated as educational examples and raw material for back-testing or watchlists, not as trade instructions.

📈 Buy-Side Signals (SMA20 crossed above SMA50)

These are the “golden cross” names where SMA20 has just moved above SMA50, ranked by RSI(14) from most oversold to most stretched.

Short take on the buy list:

• Sector tilt: heavy toward Financial Services and Consumer Defensive, with a mix of Basic Materials and a few cyclicals and airlines.
• Deepest pullback with fresh turn: HLNE sits at the bottom of the RSI stack with a new golden cross and notable net insider buying.
• Large caps to watch: WMT and NEM show confirmed trend turn with RSIs in the mid-range rather than extremely overbought.

Buy-Side Recent Headlines (selected)

• AS – Amer Sports: Analysts highlight improving performance and potential upside, and institutional holders have been adding to positions in recent weeks.
• BDX – Becton Dickinson: Continues to show up in dividend-focused lists while also expanding its Surgiphor surgical irrigation product line for hospitals.
• MUFG – Mitsubishi UFJ: Featured in New York Stock Exchange holiday-hours communications, reminding traders that this is a large, global financial bellwether.
• RITM – Rithm Capital: Completed the Crestline acquisition and has attracted multiple positive analyst notes, including rating upgrades and “buy” calls.

📉 Sell-Side Signals (SMA20 crossed below SMA50)

These are the “death cross” names where SMA20 has just moved below SMA50, ranked by RSI(14) from most overbought to most oversold.

Short take on the sell list:

• Sector tilt: concentrated in Industrials and Healthcare, plus Utilities and one high-beta Energy name (CCJ).
• Crowded ownership risk: BBY shows a fresh death cross with very large net insider selling over the last 90 days.
• Event risk: HEI has only about two weeks until earnings, so any trend break there is tightly coupled to upcoming guidance.

Sell-Side Recent Headlines (selected)

• ACLX – Arcellx: Despite a “moderate buy” consensus from brokers, the chart has rolled into a death cross, a good example of price diverging from optimistic analyst views.
• ALKS – Alkermes: Post-earnings weakness and participation in upcoming investor conferences frame this as a name where the story is still being re-priced.
• AMR – Alpha Metallurgical: Announced sizeable 2026 domestic sales commitments, yet the short-term trend has started to slip below the medium-term average.
• BBY – Best Buy: Busy news tape with new board appointments, institutional stake changes, dividend announcements, and earnings coverage; the stock continues to grind through a tricky retail environment.
• BMI – Badger Meter: Institutional buyers and sellers have been actively adjusting positions, which may be contributing to the momentum shift now reflected in the moving averages.

Field Notes

• RSI(14):
  • Around 30–40 often signals “early turn” territory for fresh golden crosses (see HLNE).
  • Above 60–70 on a new death cross can mark “late-cycle” exhaustion (some of the Industrials and Healthcare names are flirting with that zone).
• Insider Net (USD):
  • Calculated as open-market purchases minus open-market sales over roughly the last three months.
  • Large positive values (TAP, HLNE, AMR) suggest insiders buying the dip or leaning into strength.
  • Large negative values (BBY, UPWK, WMT) highlight sustained selling pressure from insiders.
• Days → Earnings:
  • Under 7 days: very close to an event window; today’s list mostly sits comfortably beyond that, but HEI is notably close.
  • The blank cell for BBY means there is no upcoming earnings date in the near-term window used here; treat it as “no scheduled event in range,” not “no risk.”
• Sector rotation snapshot:
  • Buys: heavy Financials plus defensives (Consumer Defensive, some Real Estate), which fits with money hiding in cash-flowing, lower-beta names.
  • Sells: Industrials, Healthcare, Utilities and a few high-octane names, hinting at profit-taking in areas that ran hard earlier in the cycle.

Vlad’s Take (EverHint)

Today’s market backdrop: S&P 500 was essentially flat at about +0.00%, the Nasdaq gained roughly +0.45%, and the Dow slipped around -0.45% – a mixed session with a slight lean toward growth over old-economy names. The VIX closed near 17.25 (down about -4.43%), which is a normal, non-panic volatility level, while small caps lagged again with the Russell 2000 off around -0.53%, pointing to a mild defensive bias. Bitcoin and Ethereum sold off hard (about -4.44% and -6.68%), and the 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to roughly 4.09% (+1.09%), a modest headwind for long-duration growth stories.

In that context, golden-cross signals in Financials and Staples look more like “steady positioning” than speculative breakouts, while the death-cross list in Industrials and Healthcare feels like rotation out of extended winners rather than outright panic. For swing trading, this environment favors tiered entries, partial profit-taking into strength, and tighter risk on anything that sits close to earnings or has just flipped from buy to sell.

If you use this experimentally, think of each signal as a research starting point: check the weekly chart, understand the business, and line up risk levels before you click anything.

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