EverHint Signal — SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover — December 08, 2025

What This Signal Is (Quick)

The SMA20 × SMA50 crossover scan looks for fresh trend confirmations where the short-term 20-day simple moving average crosses the slower 50-day simple moving average. It is designed as a stable, medium-term trend-following tool rather than a fast swing system.

A “Golden Cross” (buy side) appears when SMA20 moves above SMA50 on the latest close. That usually means the short-term trend has caught up with – and now exceeds – the medium-term trend, often marking the early phase of a new up-swing that can play out over four to twelve weeks.

A “Death Cross” (sell side) appears when SMA20 moves below SMA50. That typically marks a loss of momentum, potential trend exhaustion, or the start of a deeper pullback. Depending on your style, these can be used as exit warnings, hedge prompts, or short-side watchlist ideas.

This is an experimental scanner, not a model portfolio. It focuses on the signal mechanics and the surrounding data (liquidity, insider activity, earnings timing, news), so you can decide if any name is worth deeper fundamental or technical work.

How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

For this report, symbols are split into:

• Buy-side (Golden Cross) – SMA20 crossing above SMA50.
• Sell-side (Death Cross) – SMA20 crossing below SMA50.

Within each side:

• Primary ranking: 14-day RSI
  • Buy side: lower RSI ranks higher (preference for trends turning up from neutral rather than already overbought).
  • Sell side: higher RSI ranks higher (preference for trends rolling over from strength rather than already oversold).
• Overlays shown in tables:
  • Insider Net (USD): net open-market buying/selling over the last 90 days (purchases minus sales; awards/exercises ignored).
  • Days → Earnings: days until the next scheduled earnings report, plus whether it is before-open (bmo) or after-close (amc) when relevant.

These signals are meant for education, research, and back-testing, not as blind trade alerts.

📈 Buy-Side Signals (Golden Cross)

Ranked by RSI(14), lowest to highest.

Quick field notes (buy side):

• TXRH – Mid-range RSI around the mid-40s with a fresh golden cross in the consumer dining space. There is notable net insider selling over the past ninety days, so it screens more as “trend constructive but not insider-supported.”
• EOG – Large energy name with a neutral-to-positive RSI in the low 50s and decent time until the next earnings event. It fits the “trend confirmation in a cyclical sector” profile.
• VZ – Defensive communications giant with a neutral RSI; the crossover here may appeal more to investors looking for steadier names rather than pure momentum.
• LAZ – Financial services name showing a constructive crossover but with multi-million-dollar net insider selling, which is a caution flag if you use insider behavior as a filter.
• BVN / AG / RGLD – Several precious-metals plays lining up on the buy side, hinting at rotation into metals and miners. For these, it is especially important to cross-check the macro backdrop (rates, dollar) and commodity charts.
• NDAQ / SSNC – Market infrastructure and software names with steady liquidity; these can be interesting for trend followers who prefer established franchises over highly speculative tickers.

Recent headlines on notable buy-side names:

• AG – First Majestic Silver Corp.
  • News around convertible senior note offerings and related capital raises has been prominent, including completion and pricing of large offerings. That can fund growth but also introduces dilution risk; the golden cross here should be weighed against that financing overhang.
• No major clean-linked headlines in the last couple of days for TXRH, LAZ, NDAQ, or other top-ranked buys, which keeps the technical picture relatively “pure” for now.

📉 Sell-Side Signals (Death Cross)

Ranked by RSI(14), highest to lowest.

Quick field notes (sell side):

• VRT / VMI – Both industrial names showing death crosses while still holding relatively elevated RSIs and visible net insider selling. That combination often marks the transition from strong uptrend to potential distribution; many traders treat that as a “tighten stops” or “take partial profits” type of alert.
• PII – Consumer cyclical manufacturer with a crossover from above, RSI in the mid-50s, and earnings about seven weeks away. This is the type of setup where some traders look for failed bounces into the declining averages as risk-defined short entries or exit spots.
• LDOS / BMI – Technology/utilities-adjacent names with RSIs already closer to neutral. Here the signal reads more as “trend already cooling,” and follow-through may depend strongly on sector-level flows rather than stock-specific news.

Recent headlines on notable sell-side names:

• PII – Polaris Inc.
  • Coverage has highlighted debates about whether the name is being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, alongside separate news around exploration permits at the Polaris project. For this scan, the focus is on the technical shift – SMA20 slipping under SMA50 – which can coexist with constructive long-term narratives.

Field Notes: How to Read the Metrics

• RSI(14):
  • Around 30 or below: oversold; bounces are possible but carry breakdown risk.
  • Around 50: neutral; crossovers here often mark early trend transitions.
  • Above 70: overbought; for buy-side crossovers that can be late, for sell-side crossovers it often marks the start of mean reversion.
• Insider Net (USD):
  • Positive means net open-market buying; negative means net selling.
  • In this run, names like LAZ, CORT, CRSP, TXRH, VRT, VMI, PNC, WVE show sizable net selling, which can be used as a filter if you prefer alignment with insiders.
• Days → Earnings:
  • Under one week: elevated headline risk; many traders avoid fresh entries unless explicitly playing earnings.
  • One to four weeks: strong moves can still be influenced by pre-earnings positioning.
  • Over one month: cleaner environment for medium-term technical signals.

Across today’s scan, most names have 50–80 days before the next earnings release, so this dataset leans more toward “trend-following between events” than “earnings gambles.”

Vlad’s Take (EverHint)

Today’s broader backdrop shows all three major US indices in the red: the S&P 500 down about 0.4 percent, the Nasdaq off roughly 0.38 percent, and the Dow lower by just under half a percent. Small caps (Russell 2000) are also weaker by around 0.45 percent, which leans toward a mild risk-off tone rather than isolated rotation.

The volatility index sits near 16.7, up a few percent on the day but still within what many would call a “normal” volatility regime – not complacent, not stressed. Ten-year Treasury yields hover around 4.17 percent, a small uptick that keeps some pressure on long-duration, growth-heavy names. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum are green, with Bitcoin up around three-quarters of a percent and Ethereum gaining more than two percent, suggesting risk appetite remains alive in the crypto corner even as equities exhale.

In this environment, SMA20 × SMA50 crossovers shine most for:

• Buy side: quality names where the crossover happens near neutral RSI and without heavy insider selling. TXRH, EOG, and some of the more liquid financials and tech names fit that idea better than deeply cyclical, highly news-driven plays.
• Sell side: names where the death cross coincides with elevated RSI and insider distribution, like VRT and VMI. Those can be strong candidates for tightening risk or looking for reversals if your process includes shorting.

Given the mixed but not panicked backdrop, a reasonable approach is:

• Favor tiered entries rather than all-in positions on the first signal.
• Use the 50- and 200-day averages as reference points for stop placement or invalidation.
• Respect earnings dates – a technically perfect setup can be bulldozed by a surprise print if you are not prepared for the volatility.

This scan is best treated as a curated watchlist, not a to-do list. Let the names that match your own fundamental and risk preferences bubble up from here.

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This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
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