EverHint Signal — SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover — December 10, 2025
What This Signal Is (Quick)
This scanner detects fresh crossovers between the 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50)—one of the most reliable and widely-watched technical signals in swing trading.
Buy Signal ("Golden Cross"): SMA20 crosses above SMA50, indicating short-term momentum (20 days) is overtaking medium-term trend (50 days). This signals bullish trend confirmation and is ideal for medium-term positions lasting 4-12 weeks.
Sell Signal ("Death Cross"): SMA20 crosses below SMA50, showing short-term momentum is weakening below the medium-term trend. This can signal exit points for existing positions or warn of trend reversals.
Why SMA (not EMA)? Simple moving averages are more stable than exponential moving averages. This strategy produces fewer signals but higher quality—less whipsaw noise, more confirmed trends. The tradeoff: slower entries but more reliable signals. This is experimental and works best for patient, medium-term traders.
How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)
Signals are ranked by RSI(14) — the 14-day Relative Strength Index. For buy signals, we prioritize higher RSI values showing strong momentum continuation. For sell signals, lower RSI values suggest weakening momentum that may persist.
We've overlaid:
- Insider Net (USD): Net insider buying or selling over 90 days. Positive = insiders buying (bullish confirmation). Negative = insiders selling (bearish divergence).
- Days → Earnings: Time until next earnings report. <7 days = high volatility risk. >30 days = cleaner runway.
- Market Cap & Sector: To identify sector-wide rotations versus isolated moves.
Important: These signals are for educational use and back-testing. This is an experimental scanner, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research.
📈 Buy-Side Signals (29 Signals)
SMA20 crossed above SMA50, indicating bullish momentum shifts.
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI(14) | Market Cap | Insider Net (USD) | Days → Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ST | Sensata Technologies | Technology | 36.12 | 93.23 | $5.3B | -$6.75M | 62 |
| 2 | KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. | Financial Services | 141.26 | 88.54 | $125.9B | $0 | 55 |
| 3 | LAD | Lithia Motors | Consumer Cyclical | 352.21 | 86.86 | $9.1B | $0 | 63 |
| 4 | GVA | Granite Construction | Industrials | 111.26 | 85.54 | $4.9B | $0 | 64 |
| 5 | EL | Estée Lauder | Consumer Defensive | 107.28 | 83.41 | $38.7B | -$1.01B | 55 |
| 6 | TRMB | Trimble Inc. | Technology | 82.45 | 82.67 | $19.6B | $0 | 70 |
| 7 | EVR | Evercore Inc. | Financial Services | 344.78 | 82.26 | $13.3B | $0 | 56 |
| 8 | BILL | Bill.com Holdings | Technology | 55.59 | 81.23 | $5.7B | $0 | 57 |
| 9 | ULTA | Ulta Beauty | Consumer Cyclical | 600.63 | 81.07 | $26.9B | $0 | N/A |
| 10 | MTDR | Matador Resources | Energy | 45.74 | 79.73 | $5.7B | +$299K | 69 |
| 11 | EYE | National Vision Holdings | Consumer Cyclical | 29.47 | 78.08 | $2.3B | $0 | 77 |
| 12 | NVST | Envista Holdings | Healthcare | 22.10 | 74.96 | $3.6B | $0 | 56 |
| 13 | QCOM | QUALCOMM | Technology | 182.21 | 74.33 | $195.1B | -$108K | 56 |
| 14 | CHRD | Chord Energy | Energy | 101.01 | 73.29 | $5.7B | +$107K | 76 |
| 15 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Energy | 96.74 | 72.08 | $120.5B | +$500K | 57 |
| 16 | BAP | Credicorp Ltd. | Financial Services | 277.00 | 69.66 | $22.0B | $0 | 61 |
| 17 | NOG | Northern Oil and Gas | Energy | 24.62 | 69.03 | $2.4B | $0 | 70 |
| 18 | WHR | Whirlpool Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 78.14 | 69.13 | $4.4B | $0 | 56 |
| 19 | KBH | KB Home | Consumer Cyclical | 64.47 | 67.25 | $4.5B | $0 | 33 |
| 20 | STOK | Stoke Therapeutics | Healthcare | 34.19 | 66.24 | $2.0B | -$263K | N/A |
| 21 | CARG | CarGurus | Consumer Cyclical | 37.14 | 65.06 | $3.8B | $0 | 71 |
| 22 | MUSA | Murphy USA | Consumer Cyclical | 386.09 | 62.35 | $7.6B | $0 | 56 |
| 23 | SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings | Consumer Cyclical | 15.79 | 60.73 | $1.5B | -$244K | 64 |
| 24 | WING | Wingstop Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 247.18 | 58.40 | $6.9B | -$70K | 70 |
| 25 | LTH | Life Time Group | Consumer Cyclical | 25.67 | 58.37 | $5.7B | $0 | 78 |
| 26 | PEP | PepsiCo | Consumer Defensive | 149.70 | 52.63 | $204.7B | $0 | 55 |
| 27 | WM | Waste Management | Industrials | 209.12 | 46.17 | $84.2B | $0 | 56 |
| 28 | PGR | Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 222.69 | 45.82 | $130.6B | $0 | 56 |
| 29 | WCN | Waste Connections | Industrials | 168.01 | 40.77 | $43.3B | $0 | 63 |
Field Notes:
- RSI(14): ST (Sensata) leads at 93.23—extremely overbought but showing powerful momentum. KKR at 88.54, LAD at 86.86. Lower RSI buys like WCN (40.77) and PGR (45.82) offer less overheated entries.
- Insider Net: MTDR +$299K (CEO, officers, directors all buying Nov 3-6). COP +$500K (Director McRaven bought $500K on Nov 10). CHRD +$107K (Director bought Nov 7). EL -$1.01B (Lauder family trusts sold massive blocks Nov 6). ST -$6.75M (Director Mirshekari sold $6.75M Nov 19-20). STOK -$263K, SBH -$244K, QCOM -$108K, WING -$70K.
- Days to Earnings: KBH reports in 33 days (Dec 18)—near-term catalyst. Most others 55-70 days out (clean runways). ULTA and STOK missing earnings data.
- Market Cap Range: From $1.5B (SBH) to $204.7B (PEP)—wide spectrum of opportunities.
📉 Sell-Side Signals (11 Signals)
SMA20 crossed below SMA50, indicating bearish momentum shifts.
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI(14) | Market Cap | Insider Net (USD) | Days → Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNP | CenterPoint Energy | Utilities | 37.47 | 21.10 | $24.5B | $0 | 71 |
| 2 | OGS | ONE Gas | Utilities | 76.78 | 26.09 | $4.6B | $0 | 70 |
| 3 | SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | Technology | 216.51 | 31.60 | $72.5B | -$10.1M | 77 |
| 4 | ENSG | Ensign Group | Healthcare | 173.59 | 39.68 | $10.0B | $0 | 56 |
| 5 | NXT | Nextpower Inc. | Technology | 89.39 | 47.48 | $13.3B | -$654K | 48 |
| 6 | BWA | BorgWarner | Consumer Cyclical | 43.51 | 49.78 | $9.4B | $0 | 57 |
| 7 | GD | General Dynamics | Industrials | 342.21 | 50.96 | $92.3B | $0 | 56 |
| 8 | SOFI | SoFi Technologies | Financial Services | 27.09 | 53.49 | $32.7B | -$34.8M | 47 |
| 9 | TM | Toyota Motor | Consumer Cyclical | 200.82 | 56.74 | $261.7B | $0 | 56 |
| 10 | ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water Solutions | Industrials | 46.85 | 63.54 | $7.8B | -$855K | 55 |
| 11 | PTEN | Patterson-UTI Energy | Energy | 6.46 | 67.54 | $2.5B | $0 | 56 |
Field Notes:
- RSI(14): CNP at 21.10 and OGS at 26.09 are deeply oversold—utilities showing severe weakness. SNOW at 31.60 despite $72.5B market cap signals major momentum loss.
- Insider Net: SOFI -$34.8M (CEO Noto sold $30.8M, CFO sold $4.0M in Nov). SNOW -$10.1M (Founder/Chief Architect Dageville sold $12.9M across multiple transactions). ZWS -$855K (Director sold $855K Nov 7-10). NXT -$654K (CEO sold $654K Nov 17).
- Days to Earnings: SOFI and NXT report in 47-48 days. Most others 55-77 days out.
- Major Names: SNOW ($72.5B), TM ($261.7B), GD ($92.3B), SOFI ($32.7B) are large-cap names showing weakness.
Recent Headlines (Last 3 Days)
Buy-Side Signal News:
- KKR: Named new Partners and Managing Directors Dec 3. Expanded strategic partnership with Capital Group on retirement solutions Dec 3. Led $700M funding round for Saviynt at $3B valuation. Provided €300M financing for Tristan Capital's easyHotel acquisition.
- KBH (KB Home): Grand opening of new communities in Mill Creek and Port Orchard, Washington Dec 5. Q4 2025 earnings release scheduled for Dec 18 after close.
- MTDR (Matador Resources): Seeking Alpha highlighted as "excellent pick to rise strongly with 2026 oil/gas prices." Heavy insider buying Nov 3-6.
- QCOM (Qualcomm): Billionaire David Tepper loaded up on QCOM in Q3 while trimming Alphabet and Amazon. Stock bouncing from $160 low, now at $168+. Upgraded to Buy by Wall Street Zen Dec 3.
- BILL (Bill.com): Barington Capital sent letter Dec 4 urging cost reductions and calling for Board to explore strategic alternatives including potential sale/merger.
- PGR (Progressive): Declared annual dividend of $13.50/share plus quarterly $0.10/share Dec 5. Announced 2026 annual meeting record date.
- WM (Waste Management): Seeking Alpha: "Why trash is a top defensive hedge in 2026"—automation, landfill gas monetization driving margin expansion.
- BAP (Credicorp): Named as PEG-based GARP pick by Zacks Dec 10.
- LTH (Life Time): LT Games hybrid athlete competition returns April 2026 in Minneapolis. Registration opens Dec 12.
- CARG (CarGurus): Released Consumer Insights Report Dec 3 on how AI and omnichannel shopping are shaping car buying.
- WCN (Waste Connections): Highlighted as strong momentum stock by Zacks Dec 10.
- ZWS (Zurn Elkay): Named No. 45 of 600 on Newsweek's America's Most Responsible Companies 2026 list.
Sell-Side Signal News:
- SNOW (Snowflake): Founder/Chief Architect Dageville sold $12.9M across multiple Nov transactions. Stock at $216.51, down from highs.
- SOFI (SoFi): CEO Noto sold $30.8M in shares Nov 5, CFO sold $4.0M—massive insider selling.
- NXT (Nextpower): CEO sold $654K Nov 17. Opened Southeast hub in Nashville, doubled manufacturing capacity in Tennessee with MSS Steel Dec 3.
Vlad's Take (EverHint)
Today delivered 40 SMA20 × SMA50 crossovers—29 golden crosses and 11 death crosses. This is a high-quality batch from the most stable moving average strategy we run. When SMAs cross, it's not noise—it's confirmed trend change.
Market Backdrop: S&P 500 +0.78%, Nasdaq +0.50%, Dow +1.02%—solid green across the board. VIX dropped 6.9% to 15.77 (calm waters). Russell 2000 +1.39% shows broad market strength and risk-on behavior. Treasury yields flat (10Y at 4.19%), Bitcoin $92.6K, gold +0.44%. This is a textbook bullish environment for trend-following strategies.
The Golden Cross Thesis:
Twenty-nine golden crosses is substantial. These aren't momentum chasers—these are confirmed trend shifts backed by 20-50 day price action. The highest quality signals on this list:
Tier 1 — Strong Momentum + Insider Buying:
- MTDR (Matador Resources): RSI 79.73, +$299K insider buying from CEO, officers, and directors Nov 3-6. Energy play with management conviction.
- COP (ConocoPhillips): RSI 72.08, +$500K Director McRaven purchase Nov 10. $120.5B market cap, institutional favorite.
- CHRD (Chord Energy): RSI 73.29, +$107K insider buying. Another energy name with insider confirmation.
Tier 2 — Mega-Cap Quality:
- KKR ($125.9B): RSI 88.54, aggressive M&A activity, expanding partnerships. Private equity giant in full growth mode.
- PEP ($204.7B): RSI 52.63. Not overheated, steady cross, dividend aristocrat. Safe, boring, reliable.
- QCOM ($195.1B): RSI 74.33. Billionaire Tepper buying, upgraded to Buy. AI and auto strength.
Tier 3 — Watch for Insider Divergence:
- EL (Estée Lauder): RSI 83.41 BUT -$1.01B Lauder family selling (massive Nov 6 block sales). Chart says buy, insiders say sell. Red flag.
- ST (Sensata): RSI 93.23 (highest on list) BUT -$6.75M Director Mirshekari selling Nov 19-20. Extreme overbought + heavy selling = caution.
- STOK (Stoke Therapeutics): RSI 66.24, -$263K insider sales throughout Dec 2-5. CEO, CMO, General Counsel all selling.
The Death Cross Warning:
Eleven death crosses with SNOW and SOFI as the major concerns:
- SNOW ($72.5B): RSI 31.60 (weak momentum), -$10.1M founder selling. Snowflake losing its melt-up momentum from 2024.
- SOFI ($32.7B): RSI 53.49, -$34.8M insider selling (CEO $30.8M!). Fintech under pressure.
- CNP, OGS (Utilities): RSI 21.10 and 26.09—deeply oversold. Utilities getting crushed, likely due to rate fears.
Trading Strategy for SMA Crosses:
- Entry timing: SMA crosses are not day-trades. These are 4-12 week positions. Don't rush entries. Let the cross confirm over 2-3 days.
- Stop placement: For buys, set stops 2-3% below SMA50. For sells, exit longs or set stops 2-3% above SMA50.
- Position sizing: SMAs are more reliable than EMAs, so you can size up to 3-5% of portfolio per signal.
- Insider alignment: Prioritize signals where insiders are buying the golden cross (MTDR, COP, CHRD). Avoid heavy insider selling (EL, ST, SOFI, SNOW).
- Timeframe: Hold 4-12 weeks unless SMA50 breaks. This is medium-term swing trading, not momentum scalping.
Sector Analysis:
Buy-side is Consumer Cyclical-heavy (11 signals): LAD, EYE, KBH, CARG, MUSA, SBH, WING, LTH, ULTA, WHR, BWA. Suggests consumer strength and rotation into cyclicals. Energy also strong (5 signals): MTDR, CHRD, COP, NOG, PTEN. Technology (5): ST, TRMB, BILL, QCOM, NXT. Financials (4): KKR, EVR, BAP, PGR.
Sell-side dominated by Utilities (CNP, OGS) and Technology (SNOW, NXT)—defensive and growth names both under pressure.
Risk Warning:
SMA strategies fail when markets chop sideways. Crosses work in trending environments. Today's low VIX and strong breadth suggest we're in a trending market, but that can change. Always use stops. If SMA50 breaks after a golden cross, it's a failed signal—exit immediately.
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