EverHint Signal — SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover — January 06, 2026

What This Signal Is (Quick)

SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover is a classic trend-following strategy that detects fresh crossovers between the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages:

📈 Buy Signal — "Golden Cross":

• SMA(20) crosses above SMA(50) on today's close
• Short-term momentum (20 days) exceeds medium-term trend (50 days)
• Bullish trend confirmation with high reliability
• Ideal for medium-term trend following (4-12 week holding periods)

📉 Sell Signal — "Death Cross":

• SMA(20) crosses below SMA(50) on today's close
• Short-term momentum weakens below medium-term trend
• Bearish trend confirmation
• Signals exit points or trend reversal alerts

Key Characteristics:

• Uses two SMAs (both simple moving averages) for maximum stability
• Most stable strategy — fewer signals but highest quality (fewer whipsaws)
• Better suited for medium-term trends with confirmed momentum
• Lower risk entries compared to faster EMA-based strategies

This is an experimental scanner. Signals are for educational purposes and backtesting—not trade recommendations. Always do your own due diligence.

How We Ranked Today (Reader Version)

We ranked all signals by RSI(14) to identify the best risk/reward setups:

For Buy Signals (Golden Cross):

• Lower RSI = more oversold = better entry point when crossing up
• We're buying into strength from oversold levels with trend confirmation

For Sell Signals (Death Cross):

• Higher RSI = more overbought = stronger exit signal when crossing down
• We're exiting overbought stocks as momentum deteriorates

We've also overlaid:

• Insider Net (USD): Net insider buying or selling over 90 days (P-S only, excluding awards/exercises)
• Days → Earnings: Time until next earnings report (event risk or potential catalyst)

Important: Signals are for educational use and backtesting. Not financial advice.

📈 Buy-Side Signals (Top 10 Golden Crosses)

We scanned 21 Golden Cross buy signals today. Here are the top 10 ranked by RSI (lowest = most oversold = best entry):

Top Buy Signal Details:

BMI (RSI 46.8, $181.83) — Badger Meter:

• Most oversold Golden Cross — water meter technology company crossing up from pullback
• SMA20 crossed above SMA50 at $180.30, confirming bullish trend reversal
• Below SMA200 ($200.26)—still in long-term downtrend, but short/medium-term momentum turning bullish
• No insider activity
• Earnings in 24 days (Jan 30) — approaching event risk
• Stop below SMA50 ($180.25), target $190-195 (+4-7%)

GLPI (RSI 56.1, $44.63) — Gaming and Leisure Properties:

• REIT (real estate) Golden Cross with neutral RSI—balanced entry
• Heavy insider selling: SVP sold -$1.0M (multiple transactions Dec 31-Jan 5)
• Earnings in 44 days (Feb 19) — low event risk
• Below SMA200 ($46.39)—testing long-term resistance
• Stop below SMA50 ($44.09), target $46-47 (+3-5%)

PRI (RSI 56.2, $260.80) — Primerica:

• Financial services company (insurance/investments) with Golden Cross
• Below SMA200 ($265.68)—approaching long-term trend line
• Earnings in 35 days (Feb 10) — moderate risk
• Stop below SMA50 ($258.23), target $270-275 (+4-5%)

CVS (RSI 57.3, $80.70) — CVS Health:

• Healthcare giant crossing up—potential trend reversal after long downtrend
• "Here is What to Know Beyond Why CVS Health is Trending" (Zacks, Dec 31)—attention from analysts
• Earnings in 36 days (Feb 11) — moderate risk
• Above SMA200 ($70.99)—confirming long-term uptrend
• Stop below SMA50 ($78.87), target $85-87 (+5-8%)

Other Notable Buy Signals:

EDU (RSI 61.5, $56.72) — New Oriental Education:

• Chinese education company with Golden Cross
• Earnings in 14 days (Jan 20) — HIGH RISK: Binary event within 2 weeks. Don't hold through earnings.
• Above SMA200 ($50.56)—uptrend confirmation
• Stop below $55, target $60 (+6%) if exiting before earnings

WSM (not in top 10, but notable catalyst):

• Williams-Sonoma (furniture retailer) with Golden Cross
• "Furniture Retailer Stocks Skyrocket Following Trump's Tariff Pause" (Benzinga, Jan 3)—Trump delayed furniture tariffs until 2027
• "Three Home Goods Stocks Rally As Trump Delays Furniture Tariffs" (IBD, Jan 2)—stock rallied ~10%
• Earnings in 71 days (Mar 18)—low event risk

Recent Headlines (Buy-Side Golden Crosses):

CVS:

• "Here is What to Know Beyond Why CVS Health is Trending" (Zacks)—analyst attention increasing
• "Looking for Stocks with Positive Earnings Momentum?" (Zacks)—CVS highlighted as medical name with momentum

WSM (Williams-Sonoma):

• "Furniture Retailer Stocks Skyrocket Following Trump's Tariff Pause" (Benzinga)—Trump delayed tariffs to 2027
• "Three Home Goods Stocks Rally As Trump Delays Furniture Tariffs" (IBD)—stocks rallied close to 10%
• "Keeping current furniture tariff rates benefits home furnishings sector" (CNBC)—positive for sector

GLPI (Gaming and Leisure):

• "5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8%" (Seeking Alpha)—GLPI included in dividend list
• Heavy insider selling: SVP sold $1.0M across multiple transactions

PCOR (not in top 10 buy, but in sell list):

• "Procore: AI Monetization Is Coming" (Seeking Alpha)—Helix AI platform with 2,000 customers expected to drive revenue

POWI (Power Integrations):

• "Power Integrations Names Chris Jacobs Senior Vice President" (Business Wire)—new SVP for marketing and product strategy

📉 Sell-Side Signals (Top 10 Death Crosses)

We scanned 20 Death Cross sell signals today. Here are the top 10 ranked by RSI (highest = most overbought = strongest exit signal):

Top Sell Signal Details:

OSIS (RSI 64.9, $284.57) — OSI Systems:

• Most overbought Death Cross — security/medical equipment company crossing down from highs
• SMA20 crossed below SMA50 at $265.52, signaling momentum loss
• Earnings in 16 days (Jan 22) — HIGH RISK: Binary event approaching. Exit now if holding.
• "Will OSI Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?" (Zacks, Dec 31)—positive sentiment, but Death Cross overrides
• Above SMA200 ($233.36)—still in long-term uptrend, but short-term momentum weakening
• Exit signal: Close position or tighten stops to $280

PCOR (RSI 58.5, $74.52) — Procore Technologies:

• Construction software company with Death Cross
• Heavy insider selling: -$22.6M (Chairman sold -$21.6M, officers sold -$1.0M combined)
• "Procore: AI Monetization Is Coming" (Seeking Alpha)—bullish AI thesis, but Death Cross + insider selling = caution
• Earnings in 37 days (Feb 12) — moderate risk
• Above SMA200 ($69.75)—long-term uptrend intact, but short-term deteriorating
• Exit signal: Tighten stops to $74 or close position

CORT (not in top 10 by RSI, but critical news) — Corcept Therapeutics:

• RSI 14.5 — extremely oversold after crash
• "FDA REJECTION: Stock Crashed 50%" (Dec 31)—FDA declined to approve relacorilant drug for Cushing's syndrome
• "Corcept Receives Complete Response Letter" (Business Wire)—FDA requested additional data
• "Why Corcept Therapeutics Plummeted by 50% Today" (Motley Fool)—lack of sufficient evidence for drug effectiveness
• Death Cross + FDA rejection = AVOID. Already crashed 50%, high risk of further downside.

WYNN (Wynn Resorts):

• Heavy insider selling: 10% owner sold -$30.5M (Dec transactions)
• "Macau Gaming Revenue Falls Short" (IBD, Jan 1)—Macau revenue rose 14.8% but less than expected
• Death Cross + massive insider selling = exit signal
• Earnings in 37 days (Feb 12)

Recent Headlines (Sell-Side Death Crosses):

CORT (Corcept Therapeutics) — CRITICAL:

• "Why Corcept Therapeutics Plummeted by 50% Today" (Motley Fool, Dec 31)—FDA rejection
• "US FDA declines to approve Corcept's drug for rare hormonal disorder" (Reuters, Dec 31)
• "Corcept Therapeutics Shares Drop 50% After FDA Rejects Drug" (Barron's, Dec 31)
• "Corcept Receives Complete Response Letter" (Business Wire)—FDA wants additional data
• Death Cross + 50% crash = AVOID

WYNN (Wynn Resorts):

• "Macau Gaming Revenue Falls Short" (IBD)—revenue rose 14.8% but missed expectations
• Heavy insider selling: 10% owner sold $30.5M

PCOR (Procore):

• "Procore: AI Monetization Is Coming" (Seeking Alpha)—positive AI thesis, but Death Cross + $22.6M insider selling = caution

OSIS (OSI Systems):

• "Will OSI Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?" (Zacks)—positive earnings surprise history
• Earnings in 16 days—high event risk

PCVX (Vaxcyte):

• "Vaxcyte's Chief Technical Ops Officer Sells Shares" (Motley Fool)—CTO sold $455K (28.9% of holdings)
• Insider selling: -$322K

WSM (Williams-Sonoma) — Notable Exception:

• Williams-Sonoma appears in both buy and sell lists (possible data timing issue)
• Trump tariff pause (Jan 2-3) caused furniture stocks to rally ~10%
• Focus on tariff catalyst overrides crossover signals

Field Notes

Total Signals:

• Buy Signals (Golden Cross): 21 total
• Sell Signals (Death Cross): 20 total
• 41 total crossovers — relatively high number for SMA20×SMA50 (typically sees 10-30/day)

Key Metrics Explained:

• SMA20: 20-day simple moving average (short-term trend)
• SMA50: 50-day simple moving average (medium-term trend)
• Golden Cross: SMA20 crosses above SMA50 = bullish trend reversal
• Death Cross: SMA20 crosses below SMA50 = bearish trend reversal
• RSI(14): Relative Strength Index (0-100). <30 = oversold, >70 = overbought
• Insider Net (USD): Net insider purchases minus sales over 90 days (P-S only)
• Days → Earnings: Time until next earnings. <14 days = high volatility risk

Sector Rotation Observations (Buy Signals):

• Healthcare leads with 3 signals (14%): CVS, BAX, CI—defensive rotation into healthcare
• Industrials with 4 signals (19%): AWI, HWM, NOC, ROAD—industrial strength
• Technology with 4 signals (19%): BMI, DOX, POWI, VNT—tech still present but not dominant
• Consumer Cyclical with 4 signals (19%): CHH, FTDR, LKQ, WSM—consumer bouncing
• Real Estate (GLPI), Financial Services (PRI), Consumer Defensive (EDU), Communication Services (DJT)

Sector Rotation Observations (Sell Signals):

• Energy dominates with 6 signals (30%): CRK, MTDR, PBA, TDW, VIST, YPF—energy sector weakening
• Technology with 5 signals (25%): CORZ, CSIQ, DLB, IBM, OSIS, PCOR—tech rotation mixed
• Healthcare with 3 signals (15%): CNTA, CORT, PCVX, WGS—biotech weakness
• Industrials with 3 signals (15%): DHI, SITE, SPXC—industrial pullback
• Consumer Cyclical (DHI, WYNN)—housing and gaming weakness

Energy sector showing significant weakness with 6 Death Crosses vs. 0 Golden Crosses.

Insider Activity Warning (Buy Signals):

• GLPI: -$1.0M (SVP selling)
• Most buy signals have no insider activity (neutral)

Insider Activity Warning (Sell Signals):

• PCOR: -$22.6M (Chairman dumped -$21.6M)—MASSIVE selling
• WYNN: -$30.5M (10% owner selling)—MASSIVE selling
• PCVX: -$322K (CTO selling 28.9% of holdings)
• MTDR: +$450K (CEO, CFO, officers BUYING)—only insider buying in entire list!

Earnings Risk:

• Buy signals with <30 days: BMI (24d), CI (23d), EDU (14d—HIGH RISK)
• Sell signals with <30 days: OSIS (16d—HIGH RISK), IBM (29d)

Notable Catalysts:

• WSM: Trump tariff pause on furniture until 2027—rallied 10%
• CORT: FDA rejection—crashed 50%
• WYNN: Macau gaming revenue missed expectations

Vlad's Take (EverHint)

Market Backdrop (Jan 6, 2026):
Markets extended gains Tuesday with S&P 500 up 0.53% to 6,944.83 (new all-time high), Nasdaq up 0.43% to 23,547.17, and Dow up 0.97% to 49,462.09. The VIX closed at 14.75 (down 1.67%), signaling low-to-normal volatility—ideal for trend-following strategies. Small-caps outperformed with Russell 2000 up 1.49% to 2,582.90, indicating broad market strength. Treasury yields rose slightly (10Y at 4.179%, up 0.14%), and crypto was mixed (Bitcoin -0.39%, Ethereum +1.84%). Overall: risk-on environment with strong breadth—perfect conditions for SMA crossover signals to develop and sustain.

Strategy Commentary:
Today's SMA20 × SMA50 scan captured 41 total crossovers (21 buy, 20 sell)—a relatively high number suggesting increased sector rotation and trend changes. With markets at new all-time highs and VIX at 14.75, this is an ideal environment for medium-term trend-following strategies.

Four Observations:

1. Energy sector is collapsing: 6 Death Crosses in energy (CRK, MTDR, PBA, TDW, VIST, YPF) vs. 0 Golden Crosses. This is a clear sector rotation OUT of energy. If you're holding energy stocks, review your positions—the trend is turning bearish across the sector. Only exception: MTDR has insider buying (+$450K by CEO/CFO), suggesting management sees value at these levels.

2. Healthcare split: buy signals in large-caps, sell signals in biotech: Buy signals in CVS, BAX, CI (large healthcare companies) vs. Sell signals in CNTA, CORT, PCVX, WGS (biotech/specialty pharma). This suggests rotation from speculative biotech into defensive healthcare. CORT's 50% crash on FDA rejection highlights biotech risk.

3. Massive insider selling on Death Crosses: PCOR (-$22.6M by Chairman), WYNN (-$30.5M by 10% owner). When insiders dump tens of millions into a Death Cross, that's a DOUBLE RED FLAG. Exit these positions. Conversely, MTDR has insider buying (+$450K) despite Death Cross—management may see this as a buying opportunity.

4. Catalyst-driven moves override crossovers: WSM rallied 10% on Trump tariff pause (furniture tariffs delayed to 2027). CORT crashed 50% on FDA rejection. When major catalysts hit, they override technical signals. Always check news before trading crossover signals.

Trading Tips for SMA20 × SMA50 Crossovers:

Entry Strategy (Golden Crosses):

• Don't rush on day 1. Golden Crosses develop over days—SMA20 takes time to pull away from SMA50.
• Confirm the cross: Wait for 2-3 days of SMA20 staying above SMA50 before entering. False crosses happen.
• Scale in: Take 50% position on confirmed cross, add 25% if stock breaks above recent highs, add final 25% if SMA20 gap widens to 1-2% above SMA50.
• Use pullbacks: If stock pulls back to SMA20 after cross, that's often a better entry than chasing the initial move.

Exit Strategy (Death Crosses):

• Exit immediately or tighten stops. Death Crosses signal trend change—don't fight it.
• For long positions: Close 50% on Death Cross signal, tighten stops on remaining 50% to SMA20. If SMA20 breaks, exit fully.
• For Death Cross signals with massive insider selling (PCOR -$22.6M, WYNN -$30.5M): EXIT FULLY. When insiders dump into a Death Cross, the trend is broken.

Position Sizing:

• 1-2% of portfolio per Golden Cross — these are medium-term holds (4-12 weeks)
• Max 5-7 positions total from the 21 buy signals—pick highest-conviction setups
• Diversify by sector: Don't take all healthcare or all industrials. Spread across 3+ sectors.

Stop Loss:

• For Golden Crosses: Use SMA50 as stop. If price closes below SMA50, the cross failed—exit.
• For existing positions with Death Crosses: Exit immediately or use SMA20 as tight stop.
• Move stops to breakeven once stock moves 5% in your favor on Golden Cross entries.

Time Horizon:

• Hold 4-12 weeks — SMA crossovers are medium-term signals, not day trades
• Exit on Death Cross — when SMA20 crosses back below SMA50, trend is over
• Exit before earnings if <14 days — EDU (14d), OSIS (16d) have near-term earnings risk

My Top 5 Golden Cross Picks:

1. BMI (RSI 46.8, $181.83): Most oversold Golden Cross. Water meter technology crossing up from pullback. Stop below $180, target $190-195 (+4-7%). Earnings in 24 days.

2. CVS (RSI 57.3, $80.70): Healthcare giant with Golden Cross + above SMA200 = uptrend confirmation. Analyst attention increasing. Stop below $79, target $85-87 (+5-8%). Earnings in 36 days.

3. PRI (RSI 56.2, $260.80): Financial services Golden Cross with no insider selling. Below SMA200 but approaching. Stop below $258, target $270-275 (+4-5%). Earnings in 35 days.

4. ROAD (RSI 60.9, $115.33): Construction company Golden Cross above SMA200 (uptrend). Stop below $110, target $120-122 (+4-6%). Earnings in 31 days.

5. CI (RSI 65.3, $284.76): Cigna Golden Cross with mega-cap stability. Stop below $273, target $295-300 (+4-5%). Earnings in 23 days (approaching).

Avoid (Death Crosses):

• CORT: Crashed 50% on FDA rejection. Death Cross + disaster = stay away.
• PCOR: Death Cross + Chairman dumped $21.6M = DOUBLE RED FLAG. Exit if holding.
• WYNN: Death Cross + 10% owner sold $30.5M + Macau revenue miss = TRIPLE RED FLAG. Exit.
• OSIS: Earnings in 16 days + Death Cross = high event risk. Exit before Jan 22 earnings.
• Energy sector broadly: 6 Death Crosses (CRK, MTDR, PBA, TDW, VIST, YPF) = sector rotation out. Exit energy positions.

Risk Warning:
SMA crossovers can produce false signals (whipsaws) in choppy, range-bound markets. Always confirm the cross lasts 2-3 days before committing capital. Use SMA50 as stop loss for Golden Crosses and exit immediately on Death Crosses. When Death Crosses coincide with massive insider selling (PCOR, WYNN), don't wait—exit the position.

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