EverHint Signal — SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover - November 13, 2025
Fresh SMA20×SMA50 crosses for Nov 13 flag strength in insurers (AFL, PRU, AIZ) and RIVN, while down-crosses cluster in AVTR, GTLB, JBL and other cyclicals. But a risk-off day with heavy selling in crypto and futures means macro pressure can easily swamp these signals.
November 13, 2025
What this signal is (quick)
We’re testing a momentum crossover: the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA20) moving above or below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA50).
- SMA20 > SMA50 → “Buy” – short-term trend overtakes medium trend (early bullish inflection)
- SMA20 < SMA50 → “Sell” – short-term trend rolls under (early weakness flag)
Simple averages react slower than EMAs, so this setup filters some noise but can still whipsaw in sideways markets.
Today’s signals use end-of-day data for November 13, 2025, and this scanner remains experimental while we refine performance tracking.
Market backdrop — caution flag for all signals
Today was a risk-off tape across the broader markets snapshot:
- Crypto hit hardest:
- SOL-USD −7.67%, ETH-USD −7.30%, BTC-USD −3.13%,
- BNB-USD −4.39%, XRP-USD −4.38%, DOGE-USD −5.77%
- Commodities and futures also saw pressure, with palladium (PA=F) and lean hogs (HE=F) down roughly 3–4%.
When macro and cross-asset selling intensifies, even good-looking SMA20×SMA50 crosses can fail. Treat all signals below as idea-generation only, with the understanding that market stress may outweigh stock-level positives.
How we ranked today (reader version)
- Trend posture: fresh SMA20/SMA50 cross on the daily close.
- Overlays:
- Insider Net (USD, 90d) = open-market purchases − sales (awards/conversions ignored).
- Days → Earnings = distance to next known earnings date (on/after today).
- Analyst Updates (30d) = count of estimate/ratings items fetched in the last 30 days.
- Headlines: Most recent corporate news to confirm or challenge the move.
Signals are for educational use and back-testing only. We’ll keep tuning weights as live data accrues.
📈 Buy-Side Signals — SMA20×SMA50 (up-cross)
| Rank | Ticker | Sector | Last ($) | RSI (14) | Insider Net (USD, 90d) | Days → Earnings | Analyst Updates (30d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFL | Financial Services | 115.01 | 80.19 | −307,725 | 83 | 1 |
| 2 | PRU | Financial Services | 107.85 | 80.00 | — | 82 | 1 |
| 3 | HSIC | Healthcare | 73.35 | 77.62 | — | — | 1 |
| 4 | AIZ | Financial Services | 227.05 | 75.36 | — | 89 | 1 |
| 5 | PAY | Technology | 37.57 | 70.70 | 0 | — | 1 |
| 6 | PFG | Financial Services | 84.62 | 70.59 | −160,470 | 84 | 1 |
| 7 | EXEL | Healthcare | 42.35 | 67.35 | 0 | 89 | 1 |
| 8 | RIVN | Consumer Cyclical | 16.39 | 66.01 | — | — | 1 |
| 9 | NLY | Real Estate | 21.78 | 64.56 | — | 83 | 1 |
| 10 | IMO | Energy | 96.13 | 64.22 | — | 78 | 1 |
| 11 | COLB | Financial Services | 26.87 | 63.22 | 0 | 70 | 1 |
| 12 | MSCI | Financial Services | 573.34 | 60.31 | — | 83 | — |
Field notes
- Financials dominate the up-cross list (AFL, PRU, AIZ, PFG, COLB, MSCI), with high RSIs and mostly neutral-to-slightly-negative insider flows.
- AFL shows a notable negative insider net despite strength, which tempers the otherwise constructive picture.
- RIVN appears with a solid RSI but no upcoming earnings in the window and no insider buying to offset CEO selling headlines (see below).
Recent Headlines (selection)
- AFL — Aflac
- Recently reported strong Q3 results and raised its dividend; a fresh release announced a 5.2% dividend increase for Q1 2026. (Reuters)
- Today, AFL printed a 52-week high around $115, lining up with the elevated RSI and today’s up-cross. (Investing.com Canada)
- RIVN — Rivian Automotive
- Shares have been volatile: up over 10% this week on optimism around the Volkswagen partnership and raised price targets… (The Motley Fool)
- …but today’s tape also reflects macro rate fears and fresh insider selling from the CEO, who disclosed a 52,350-share sale in a recent Form 4. (MarketBeat)
- EXEL — Exelixis
- Ongoing coverage focuses on oncology pipeline and partnership updates; no major new shock headline in the last day, but sentiment remains data- and trial-driven. (Yahoo Finance)
📉 Sell-Side Signals — SMA20×SMA50 (down-cross)
| Rank | Ticker | Sector | Last ($) | RSI (14) | Insider Net (USD, 90d) | Days → Earnings | Analyst Updates (30d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVTR | Healthcare | 11.70 | 19.72 | +1,125,000 | 85 | 1 |
| 2 | PSA | Real Estate | 274.28 | 23.17 | — | — | 1 |
| 3 | KTOS | Industrials | 71.69 | 26.64 | −1,093,322 | — | 1 |
| 4 | SO | Utilities | 91.17 | 28.92 | — | — | 1 |
| 5 | CLF | Basic Materials | 10.51 | 31.86 | — | — | 1 |
| 6 | FTAI | Industrials | 153.00 | 32.07 | — | — | 1 |
| 7 | GTLB | Technology | 43.97 | 33.28 | −4,156,623 | 21 | 1 |
| 8 | JBL | Technology | 201.82 | 42.13 | −11,906,772 | 34 | 1 |
| 9 | JOBY | Industrials | 14.79 | 43.70 | −12,453,445 | — | 1 |
| 10 | ALNY | Healthcare | 453.97 | 46.26 | — | — | 1 |
| 11 | HMY | Basic Materials | 17.84 | 52.17 | — | — | 1 |
| 12 | GFI | Basic Materials | 41.29 | 52.87 | — | — | 1 |
Field notes
- AVTR screens as deeply oversold (RSI ~20) but with positive insider net and an upcoming earnings date in the window.
- Several tech/industrial names (GTLB, JBL, JOBY) show large negative insider flows, which supports the down-cross caution.
- Basic materials (HMY, GFI, CLF) also appear, suggesting pressure in parts of metals/mining.
Recent Headlines (selection)
- AVTR — Avantor
- Multiple securities class action alerts reference weak Q3 results, including a $785M goodwill impairment and margin pressure tied to lost large accounts. Shares dropped ~23% on that report and litigation headlines continue. (Levi & Korsinsky)
- GTLB — GitLab
- Stock is trending down ~4% today, with coverage citing both valuation concerns and recent insider selling. (Yahoo Finance)
- At the same time, institutional interest remains: Jupiter Asset Management disclosed a new ~$60M stake, and GitLab’s latest Global DevSecOps AI report highlights growing AI-driven demand for integrated DevSecOps platforms. (MarketBeat)
- JBL — Jabil
- Insider-selling headlines and valuation debates have weighed on momentum; today’s down-cross plus large negative insider net underline that technical fatigue. (Yahoo Finance)
Macro overlay and risk framing
- Cross-asset risk-off: The worst moves in today’s markets snapshot cluster in crypto (SOL, ETH, BTC, BNB, DOGE, XRP) and some futures/commodities (palladium, orange juice, lean hogs), confirming a broad de-risking mood.
- In that environment, trend-following signals are more likely to fail, regardless of how strong the single-name story looks.
Carlo’s Take (EverHint)
- Respect the tape first.
With crypto and parts of commodities getting hit hard, I’d treat all new SMA20×SMA50 entries as smaller “probe” positions at most, or simply log these as watchlist names until the broader tape stabilizes. - On the buy side:
- AFL / PRU / AIZ / PFG / MSCI: Insurance and asset-management names are riding strong momentum and, in AFL’s case, fresh dividend and 52-week-high headlines. I’d only scale in if RSI cools from the 80 zone and the market backdrop stops selling everything risk-related.
- RIVN: Interesting mix of strong recent run on VW partnership optimism plus CEO selling and macro rate jitters. SMA20×SMA50 up-cross says “trend,” but the news mix says “expect volatility; size accordingly.”
- On the sell side:
- AVTR: Litigation + impairment + low RSI = classic “falling knife” setup. The down-cross is consistent with fundamentals; any long idea here is a counter-trend trade and should be sized like one.
- GTLB / JBL / JOBY: Negative insider net plus down-cross in a weak tape leans defensive. For existing holders, I’d reassess position size and stops rather than rush into new shorts in a broad risk-off day.
- Execution notes:
- I prefer 2–3 daily closes confirming the cross (above for buys, below for sells) before committing.
- Stops: keep them ATR-aware, anchored to prior swing highs/lows rather than the moving averages themselves.
- Take profits into RSI > 70 on longs and RSI < 30 on shorts/hedges, especially in tapes where macro shocks are frequent.
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