EverHint – SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover Signals for Feb 04, 2026 – Financial Services Leads with 11 Setups

What This Signal Is (Quick)

This strategy detects fresh crossovers between the 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50):

• Buy Signal (SMA20_x_SMA50_Buy) - "Golden Cross": SMA(20) crosses above SMA(50) on today's close

  • Short-term momentum (20 days) exceeds medium-term trend (50 days)
  • Bullish trend confirmation with high reliability
  • Ideal for medium-term trend following (4-12 week holding periods)

• Sell Signal (SMA20_x_SMA50_Sell) - "Death Cross": SMA(20) crosses below SMA(50) on today's close

  • Short-term momentum weakens below medium-term trend
  • Bearish trend confirmation
  • Can signal exit points or trend reversal alerts

Key Characteristics:

• Uses two SMAs (both simple moving averages) for maximum stability
• Most stable strategy - fewer signals but highest quality (fewer whipsaws)
• Better suited for medium-term trends with confirmed momentum
• Lower risk entries compared to faster EMA-based strategies

Key Criteria:

• Buy: SMA20 crosses above SMA50

• Sell: SMA20 crosses below SMA50

• Minimum ADV: $40M (liquidity filter)

• Earnings buffer: 7 days pre/post earnings

• Fresh crossover: Detected on today's close

Holding Period: 2-6 weeks
Risk Level: Medium

How We Ranked Today

Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals)

📊 SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover Signals (Top 15 of 48 total)

Ranked by rsi14:

Field Notes

Sector concentration: Financial Services (11), Healthcare (8), Consumer Cyclical (8)

Insider selling: TKO (TKO Group Holdings, Inc., $-22.2M), APGE (Apogee Therapeutics, Inc., $-138.4M), MDB (MongoDB, Inc., $-7.1M)

Near-term earnings: AFRM (Affirm Holdings, Inc.), CLSK (CleanSpark, Inc.), RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) report within 7 days. Higher volatility risk.

Data coverage: 31.2% insider, 10.4% congressional (3 recent/90d, 2 older/1y), 95.8% earnings, 100.0% analyst, 41.7% news

Congressional Activity

PEP (Pepsico, Inc.) 🔴 Bearish (1y)

• 1 sale by 1 member
• Pattern: 1 full liquidation
• Top seller: Sen. Tina Smith (MN) - 1 transaction ($100,001 - $250,000), 1 full liquidation

CAG (ConAgra Brands, Inc.) 🟢 Bullish (90d)

• 1 purchase by 1 member
• Top buyer: Sen. Gary Peters (MI) - 1 transaction ($1,001 - $15,000)

VZ (Verizon Communications Inc.) 🟢 Bullish (90d)

• 1 purchase by 1 member
• Pattern: 1 full liquidation
• Top seller: Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (RI) - 1 transaction ($1,001 - $15,000), 1 full liquidation
• Top buyer: Hou. Tim Moore (NC) - 1 transaction ($15,001 - $50,000)

BX (Blackstone Inc.) 🟢 Bullish (1y)

• 1 purchase by 1 member
• Top buyer: Hou. Marjorie Taylor Greene (GA) - 1 transaction ($1,001 - $15,000)

WFC (Wells Fargo & Company) 🟢 Bullish (90d)

• 1 purchase by 1 member
• Top buyer: Sen. Mitch McConnell (KY) - 4 transactions ($4,004 - $60,000)

Recent Headlines

AFRM (Affirm Holdings, Inc.)

• Affirm to Report Q2 Earnings: Will Higher GMV & Consumers Help? (source)
• Intuit Partners with Affirm to Provide Pay-Over-Time Offering for QuickBooks Online (source)
• Expedia Group and Affirm deepen partnership, with US exclusivity and plans for further expansion (source)

APGE (Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.)

• Exane Asset Management Invests $2.05 Million in Apogee Therapeutics Inc. $APGE (source)

ARCC (Ares Capital Corporation)

• Ares Capital (ARCC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript (source)
• Ares Capital (ARCC) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say (source)
• Ares Capital (ARCC) Matches Q4 Earnings Estimates (source)
• Ares Capital Corporation Announces December 31, 2025 Financial Results and Declares First Quarter 2026 Dividend of $0.48 Per Share (source)
• The Only Investing Strategy I'd Trust With My Entire Financial Future (source)
• High-Yield Carnage In 2026 (source)
• Is Ares Capital Stock Worth Owning Ahead of Q4 Earnings? (source)
• Ares Capital Corporation Announces Tax Reporting Information for Calendar Year 2025 (source)
• Wall Street Analysts Think Ares Capital (ARCC) Is a Good Investment: Is It? (source)
• Ares Capital (ARCC) Q4 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates (source)
• Will Growth in Total Investment Income Continue for ARCC in 2026? (source)
• Ares Capital Slips 10.4% in 6 Months: Should You Still Buy the Stock? (source)
• 3 Under-the-Radar Dividend Stocks With Monster Yields of Up to 10.7% (source)

BX (Blackstone Inc.)

• Blackstone: Trump's Home Buying Ban Is Noise (Rating Upgrade) (source)
• This Florida Financial Consultant Bought 211,000 New Shares of Blackstone's BDC. Should You Follow? (source)
• Blackstone's Gray Says Deal Environment Hitting 'Escape Velocity' (source)
• Data centers power Blackstone's $1.3 trillion investment empire (source)
• Blackstone Inc. (BX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript (source)
• Blackstone President: The biggest risk with AI is disruption (source)
• Blackstone Inc. (BX) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say (source)
• BX's Q4 Earnings Beat as AUM Touches Record High on Solid Inflows (source)
• AI development is biggest economic growth driver, Blackstone says (source)
• Blackstone Inc. (BX) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates (source)
• Blackstone beats estimates on strong dealmaking activity (source)

QBTS (D-Wave Quantum Inc.)

• SuperQ Quantum Engages with Industry Leaders on Hybrid Computing and Post-Quantum Cybersecurity at Qubits 2026; Announces Warrant Extension (source)
• CP Group Secures Global Headquarters Relocation of Quantum Computing Pioneer D-Wave to Its Boca Raton Innovation Campus (BRiC) (source)
• Here's Why I Wouldn't Touch D-Wave Quantum With a 10-Foot Pole (source)
• 3 Unpleasant Truths Investors in IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. Will Have to Face in 2026 (source)

ROKU (Roku, Inc.)

• Here's Why Roku (ROKU) Could be Great Choice for a Bottom Fisher (source)
• Roku to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on Feb. 12, 2026 (source)
• Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Roku (ROKU): Should You Buy? (source)

TPG (TPG Inc.)

• TPG to Present at the Bank of America 2026 Financial Services Conference (source)

Market Context

The broader market exhibited mixed performance, with the S&P 500 declining 0.60% and the Nasdaq dropping 1.35%, while the Dow Jones edged up 0.36%. This divergence suggests a rotation away from growth-oriented areas toward more defensive sectors, aligning with the top-performing Financial Services sector amid 48 SMA20/SMA50 signals. SMA20/SMA50 strategies, which rely on short- to medium-term trend confirmation, may face challenges in this environment as the modest pullback in major indices could delay crossovers or generate false signals, particularly if intraday momentum shifts.

Elevated volatility, as indicated by the VIX rising 5.67% to 18.63, amplifies intraday swings and increases the risk of whipsaws for moving average-based signals. In such conditions, trends can reverse quickly, eroding the reliability of SMA20/SMA50 setups that thrive in sustained directional moves. Traders should prioritize signals in sectors showing resilience, like Financial Services, where relative strength may support cleaner trend development despite broader market chop.

Overall risk appetite appears tempered, with the Nasdaq's sharper decline signaling caution in higher-beta areas, potentially favoring a sector rotation into Financial Services. This setup could enhance the quality of SMA20/SMA50 signals in outperforming groups, but heightened volatility warrants tighter risk management to navigate potential reversals.

Vlad's Take (EverHint)

Today's signals: Strong sector concentration in Financial Services (11 signals) suggests sector-specific rotation. 15 signals showing insider selling warrant caution. 4 signals with congressional buying (90-day) shows lawmaker confidence.

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