EverHint – SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover – Top 2 Buy and Top 10 Sell Signals for Mar 12, 2026

What This Signal Is (Quick)

This strategy detects fresh crossovers between the 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50):

• Buy Signal (SMA20_x_SMA50_Buy) - "Golden Cross": SMA(20) crosses above SMA(50) on today's close

  • Short-term momentum (20 days) exceeds medium-term trend (50 days)
  • Bullish trend confirmation with high reliability
  • Ideal for medium-term trend following (4-12 week holding periods)

• Sell Signal (SMA20_x_SMA50_Sell) - "Death Cross": SMA(20) crosses below SMA(50) on today's close

  • Short-term momentum weakens below medium-term trend
  • Bearish trend confirmation
  • Can signal exit points or trend reversal alerts

Key Characteristics:

• Uses two SMAs (both simple moving averages) for maximum stability
• Most stable strategy - fewer signals but highest quality (fewer whipsaws)
• Better suited for medium-term trends with confirmed momentum
• Lower risk entries compared to faster EMA-based strategies

Key Criteria:

• Buy: SMA20 crosses above SMA50

• Sell: SMA20 crosses below SMA50

• Minimum ADV: $40M (liquidity filter)

• Earnings buffer: 7 days pre/post earnings

• Fresh crossover: Detected on today's close

Holding Period: 2-6 weeks
Risk Level: Medium

How We Ranked Today

Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals)

📈 Buy-Side Signals (2 Total)

Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals):

📉 Sell-Side Signals (Top 10 of 42 total)

Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals):

Field Notes

Sector concentration: Consumer Cyclical (11), Financial Services (9), Industrials (7)

Insider selling: NAMS (NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V, $-13.9M), ANET (Arista Networks, Inc., $-272K), ABCB (Ameris Bancorp, $-566K)

Near-term earnings: STNE (StoneCo Ltd.) report within 7 days. Higher volatility risk.

Data coverage: 15.9% insider, 4.5% congressional (1 recent/90d, 1 older/1y), 86.4% earnings, 100.0% analyst, 31.8% news

Peer Analysis

Understanding how these stocks relate to their industry peers:

MHK (Mohawk Industries, Inc.): Leads 9 peers: CHDN ($84.08, -2.2%), MUSA ($455.39, +2.4%), FND ($55.72, -4.1%), HRB ($30.22, -0.8%), ALSN ($113.11, -0.1%) | Peer of: BIRK ($36.13, -1.6%), CHDN ($84.08, -2.2%), FND ($55.72, -4.1%) and 4 more

ABR (Arbor Realty Trust): Leads 9 peers: DX ($13.33, -1.5%), FBRT ($9.01, -0.8%), ARR ($17.41, -2.4%), ADC ($79.66, -0.2%), ARI ($10.34, -1.8%) | Peer of: AGNC ($10.39, -2.6%), BNL ($19.25, +1.5%), BXMT ($18.59, -1.9%) and 17 more

OC (Owens Corning Inc): Leads 14 peers: TT ($421.82, -2.5%), MAS ($60.66, -2.9%), NX ($17.05, -3.7%), JELD ($1.44, -6.5%), TREX ($37.34, -2.1%) | Peer of: AWI ($164.98, -1.6%), BAH ($77.11, +1.5%), BLD ($364.83, -4.0%) and 7 more

BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: URBN ($63.75, -1.8%), BFAM ($78.00, +0.2%), ATAT ($34.64, -4.6%), ETSY ($51.99, -1.3%), VFC ($15.72, -3.9%) | Peer of: ATAT ($34.64, -4.6%), BFAM ($78.00, +0.2%), CAVA ($80.35, -0.2%) and 10 more

LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co): Leads 10 peers: GIL ($59.31, -3.9%), GAP ($23.13, -1.7%), LKQ ($29.75, -3.9%), LAD ($255.85, -3.0%), AN ($184.65, -3.0%) | Peer of: AN ($184.65, -3.0%), BIRK ($36.13, -1.6%), DDS ($573.77, -4.8%) and 8 more

FITB (Fifth Third Bancorp): Leads 8 peers: MTB ($198.20, -2.5%), TFC ($44.37, -2.8%), HBAN ($15.48, -1.0%), SHG ($59.23, -2.4%), USB ($51.48, -1.4%) | Peer of: BBDO ($3.17, -7.0%), BCH ($37.30, -6.9%), BNT ($40.80, -3.5%) and 21 more

LCII (LCI Industries): Leads 8 peers: PRKS ($31.06, -4.8%), HOG ($17.97, -1.3%), GEF ($66.99, -1.1%), COLM ($54.95, -0.9%), CAKE ($56.60, -6.6%) | Peer of: AEO ($17.56, -3.4%), CAKE ($56.60, -6.6%), CPRI ($18.29, +2.4%) and 9 more

DCI (Donaldson Company, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: GNRC ($204.10, -4.0%), WTS ($303.28, -1.6%), AOS ($66.57, -2.3%), FLS ($75.68, -3.9%), RRX ($187.63, -7.3%) | Peer of: AIT ($259.88, -3.8%), AOS ($66.57, -2.3%), ARMK ($39.99, +0.6%) and 21 more

UFPI (UFP Industries, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: LPX ($75.32, -2.2%), WFG ($63.43, -1.6%), BVN ($36.77, -4.2%), EGO ($38.82, -4.9%), NGD ($10.72, -3.0%) | Peer of: AXTA ($27.86, -1.7%), BTG ($5.10, -2.9%), BVN ($36.77, -4.2%) and 4 more

LOW (Lowe's Companies, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: TJX ($155.79, -1.3%), NKE ($54.13, -2.8%), MELI ($1680.00, -4.9%), PDD ($101.62, -1.3%), BKNG ($4217.71, -2.4%) | Peer of: BKNG ($4217.71, -2.4%), HD ($338.93, -3.4%), MELI ($1680.00, -4.9%) and 2 more

AS (Amer Sports, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: APTV ($70.07, -0.4%), DKS ($197.60, +1.1%), BURL ($293.01, -3.6%), PKG ($214.04, -3.8%), GPC ($107.01, -2.0%) | Peer of: BURL ($293.01, -3.6%), DKS ($197.60, +1.1%)

SEZL (Sezzle Inc.): Leads 10 peers: WU ($9.73, -1.0%), BFH ($71.66, -3.3%), ENVA ($135.41, -2.9%), BANC ($16.80, +0.1%), WD ($46.24, -2.0%) | Peer of: ALLY ($36.84, -0.0%), BITF ($2.22, -0.9%), LC ($14.13, -3.1%) and 2 more

Congressional Activity

LOW (Lowe's Companies, Inc.) 🔴 Bearish (1y)

• 1 sale by 1 member
• Top seller: Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (WV) - 1 transaction ($1,001 - $15,000)

HD (Home Depot, Inc. (The)) 🟢 Bullish (90d)

• 1 purchase by 1 member
• Top buyer: Hou. Lloyd Doggett (TX) - 1 transaction ($1,001 - $15,000)

Recent Headlines

ABR (Arbor Realty Trust)

• The Market Turned On Arbor Realty, But The Series D Preferreds May Spell Opportunity (source)
• Arbor Realty: Market Pricing Temporary Pain As Permanent Damage (source)
• Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts (source)
• Arbor Realty Trust: Dividend Yield Spikes As Market Prepares For Another Cut (source)
• Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know (source)

BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.)

• Boot Barn (BOOT) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why (source)
• 4 Stocks With Strong Interest Coverage Ratios Investors Should Buy (source)
• Fieldview Capital Management LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. $BOOT (source)
• Bell Asset Management Ltd Makes New $2.73 Million Investment in Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. $BOOT (source)

Market Context

Broad market declines across major indices—S&P 500 down 1.02%, Nasdaq 0.92%, and Dow Jones 1.15%—coupled with a VIX spike to 27.13 (+6.48%) indicate elevated volatility and heightened intraday swings. For SMA20/SMA50 crossover signals, this environment raises the risk of false breakouts or whipsaws, as short-term moving averages become more sensitive to noise rather than underlying trends. Traders should approach these signals with tighter stops to navigate the choppiness.

The prevailing downward trend signals reduced risk appetite, undermining the momentum typically needed for SMA20/SMA50 strategies to thrive in directional markets. In a risk-off setting, bullish crossovers may falter quickly, while bearish ones could gain traction but face resistance from potential oversold bounces amid high volatility.

With 44 signals led by Consumer Cyclical, sector rotation dynamics come into play; cyclicals often lead in recovery phases but lag in volatile, defensive shifts. Elevated VIX suggests caution, as swings could exaggerate rotations away from cyclicals toward more stable areas, diluting signal conviction.

Vlad's Take (EverHint)

Today's signals: Strong sector concentration in Consumer Cyclical (11 signals) suggests sector-specific rotation. 7 signals showing insider selling warrant caution. Average RSI of 26 indicates oversold conditions.

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