EverHint – SMA20 × SMA50 Crossover – Top 7 Buy and Top 10 Sell Signals for Mar 16, 2026
What This Signal Is (Quick)
This strategy detects fresh crossovers between the 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA50):
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Buy Signal (SMA20_x_SMA50_Buy) - "Golden Cross": SMA(20) crosses above SMA(50) on today's close
- Short-term momentum (20 days) exceeds medium-term trend (50 days)
- Bullish trend confirmation with high reliability
- Ideal for medium-term trend following (4-12 week holding periods)
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Sell Signal (SMA20_x_SMA50_Sell) - "Death Cross": SMA(20) crosses below SMA(50) on today's close
- Short-term momentum weakens below medium-term trend
- Bearish trend confirmation
- Can signal exit points or trend reversal alerts
Key Characteristics:
- Uses two SMAs (both simple moving averages) for maximum stability
- Most stable strategy - fewer signals but highest quality (fewer whipsaws)
- Better suited for medium-term trends with confirmed momentum
- Lower risk entries compared to faster EMA-based strategies
Key Criteria:
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Buy: SMA20 crosses above SMA50
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Sell: SMA20 crosses below SMA50
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Minimum ADV: $40M (liquidity filter)
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Earnings buffer: 7 days pre/post earnings
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Fresh crossover: Detected on today's close
Holding Period: 2-6 weeks
Risk Level: Medium
How We Ranked Today
Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals)
📈 Buy-Side Signals (7 Total)
Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals):
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI14 | Insider Net | Days → Earnings | Est EPS | Mkt Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RDN | Radian Group Inc. | Financial Services | 32.75 | 36.5 | — | 43 | $5.46 | 4.5 |
| 2 | AFG | American Financial Gro... | Financial Services | 128.12 | 40.4 | — | 49 | $12.97 | 10.7 |
| 3 | ABVX | Abivax SA | Healthcare | 122.75 | 45.1 | — | 7 | $5.74 | 8.0 |
| 4 | PGR | Progressive Corporatio... | Financial Services | 204.71 | 47.5 | — | 49 | $15.88 | 119.9 |
| 5 | ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 128.32 | 54.0 | $-558K | 44 | $9.47 | 76.9 |
| 6 | GCT | GigaCloud Technology Inc | Technology | 42.33 | 63.8 | $-11.5M | — | $4.20 | 1.6 |
| 7 | SPOT | Spotify Technology S.A. | Communication Services | 524.00 | 65.4 | — | — | $18.29 | 107.9 |
📉 Sell-Side Signals (Top 10 of 45 total)
Ranked by RSI (lower RSI = more oversold for buy signals):
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI14 | Insider Net | Days → Earnings | Est EPS | Mkt Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMRX | Amneal Pharmaceuticals... | Healthcare | 11.94 | 7.0 | — | 45 | $1.34 | 3.8 |
| 2 | ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 516.74 | 10.2 | — | 72 | $43.01 | 23.2 |
| 3 | AVY | Avery Dennison Corpora... | Consumer Cyclical | 171.95 | 14.1 | — | 36 | $12.66 | 13.2 |
| 4 | UPS | United Parcel Service,... | Industrials | 97.44 | 15.3 | — | 42 | $11.83 | 82.7 |
| 5 | SKY | Champion Homes, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 79.47 | 15.5 | — | 70 | $4.34 | 4.4 |
| 6 | BF-B | Brown Forman Inc | Consumer Defensive | 23.08 | 15.8 | $-804K | — | $1.81 | 10.8 |
| 7 | MKC | McCormick & Company, I... | Consumer Defensive | 57.69 | 16.3 | — | 7 | $3.98 | 15.5 |
| 8 | MAS | Masco Corporation | Industrials | 62.10 | 16.8 | — | 36 | $5.42 | 12.6 |
| 9 | UHS | Universal Health Servi... | Healthcare | 193.47 | 17.8 | — | 42 | $28.77 | 12.3 |
| 10 | ALGT | Allegiant Travel Company | Industrials | 74.66 | 17.8 | — | 49 | $12.06 | 1.4 |
Field Notes
Sector concentration: Industrials (15), Financial Services (11), Consumer Cyclical (9)
Insider selling: GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc, $-11.5M), FLEX (Flex Ltd., $-1.0M), RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation, $-405K)
Near-term earnings: ABVX (Abivax SA), MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporat), PSIX (Power Solutions International,) report within 7 days. Higher volatility risk.
Data coverage: 15.4% insider, 1.9% congressional (1 older/1y), 80.8% earnings, 100.0% analyst, 46.2% news
Peer Analysis
Understanding how these stocks relate to their industry peers:
AVY (Avery Dennison Corporation): Leads 10 peers: TXT ($91.86, +0.9%), MAS ($62.10, +0.9%), ALLE ($145.82, +0.3%), LTM ($49.51, +4.0%), GGG ($86.34, -1.5%) | Peer of: ALLE ($145.82, +0.3%), ATI ($147.48, +3.9%), CNH ($10.52, -1.2%) and 8 more
AMRX (Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: LNTH ($78.50, -1.2%), SUPN ($50.21, +0.6%), INDV ($30.97, -0.5%), TLX ($7.87, +0.2%), PRGO ($9.72, +4.5%) | Peer of: INDV ($30.97, -0.5%), LNTH ($78.50, -1.2%), SUPN ($50.21, +0.6%)
MAS (Masco Corporation): Leads 10 peers: BLDR ($87.02, -1.2%), CSL ($334.72, -2.0%), OC ($107.90, +1.4%), MLI ($110.55, +0.8%), CNH ($10.52, -1.2%) | Peer of: AVY ($171.95, +0.7%), BLD ($370.90, +1.0%), BLDR ($87.02, -1.2%) and 8 more
UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.): Leads 13 peers: ENSG ($209.46, -0.1%), ADUS ($100.94, -0.4%), EHC ($101.43, +1.1%), SGRY ($12.39, +0.1%), HCA ($525.19, -1.5%) | Peer of: CNC ($34.76, +0.8%), COO ($71.04, +1.6%), DVA ($148.22, -1.7%) and 9 more
BF-B (Brown Forman Inc): Leads 9 peers: CLX ($112.09, +1.3%), HRL ($22.69, +0.2%), COKE ($213.53, -1.6%), BJ ($97.95, +0.2%), SJM ($104.99, -1.0%) | Peer of: BJ ($97.95, +0.2%), CELH ($43.61, -2.1%), CLX ($112.09, +1.3%) and 3 more
SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: CVCO ($511.29, +3.0%), MHO ($129.18, +0.4%), KBH ($54.30, +2.5%), MTH ($64.13, +1.7%), TPH ($46.35, +0.1%) | Peer of: CVCO ($511.29, +3.0%), KBH ($54.30, +2.5%), MHO ($129.18, +0.4%) and 8 more
AFG (American Financial Group, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: CNA ($46.86, +0.6%), KNSL ($358.65, -1.1%), AIZ ($222.15, +1.7%), FHN ($21.87, +0.6%), ORI ($40.36, +0.7%) | Peer of: AIZ ($222.15, +1.7%), CNA ($46.86, +0.6%), FDS ($207.46, +0.9%) and 7 more
ABVX (Abivax SA): Leads 8 peers: RYTM ($90.51, +3.6%), CYTK ($60.83, +1.3%), AXSM ($158.23, +1.4%), HALO ($64.29, +1.0%), NUVL ($99.53, +1.6%) | Peer of: AXSM ($158.23, +1.4%), CORT ($32.18, +0.1%), CYTK ($60.83, +1.3%) and 6 more
GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc): Leads 8 peers: RZLV ($2.78, +3.4%), RDWR ($25.09, +0.1%), YEXT ($5.46, +4.4%), ARQQ ($13.99, +2.7%), HKD ($1.64, -2.4%) | Peer of: ARQQW ($0.13, +0.6%), ATEN ($20.75, -1.1%), CRCT ($4.08, +0.2%) and 11 more
RDN (Radian Group Inc.): Leads 10 peers: ACT ($40.84, +0.9%), AGO ($83.51, +0.2%), ESNT ($57.94, -0.3%), SIGI ($76.56, +0.2%), MTG ($26.11, +0.3%) | Peer of: ACT ($40.84, +0.9%), AGO ($83.51, +0.2%), ESNT ($57.94, -0.3%) and 6 more
ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: RCL ($280.81, +3.0%), ORLY ($90.46, -1.2%), MAR ($321.84, +2.6%), RACE ($334.36, +0.8%), NKE ($54.79, +1.5%) | Peer of: BKNG ($4293.02, +1.2%), CVNA ($305.89, +2.0%), HLT ($296.00, +1.5%) and 7 more
UPS (United Parcel Service, Inc.): Leads 10 peers: FDX ($352.35, +0.2%), NOC ($735.96, +0.3%), WM ($236.96, -0.7%), EMR ($133.09, +0.6%), MMM ($149.95, -0.7%) | Peer of: ADP ($209.11, +0.3%), CTAS ($192.74, -0.8%), EMR ($133.09, +0.6%) and 7 more
ULTA (Ulta Beauty, Inc.): Leads 9 peers: WSM ($182.36, +1.3%), TSCO ($48.78, +3.3%), CASY ($673.27, +1.9%), GPC ($104.01, -1.6%), BBY ($62.89, +0.5%) | Peer of: BABA ($136.71, +1.1%), CASY ($673.27, +1.9%), DKS ($187.78, -2.3%) and 13 more
PGR (Progressive Corporation (The)): Leads 8 peers: CB ($330.12, +0.3%), BBVA ($20.92, +2.3%), UBS ($37.44, +1.4%), TRV ($304.64, +0.7%), BAC ($47.06, +0.7%) | Peer of: ALL ($207.81, +0.8%), CB ($330.12, +0.3%), COF ($180.77, +0.6%) and 3 more
ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company): Leads 8 peers: BLDP ($2.53, +5.9%), ULCC ($3.24, -3.9%), PRG ($28.35, +0.8%), CRAI ($155.34, +0.1%), GRC ($60.94, +5.6%) | Peer of: BLDP ($2.53, +5.9%), BV ($12.09, +2.4%), EVEX ($2.79, +1.1%) and 7 more
SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.): Leads 8 peers: DASH ($167.78, +4.0%), T ($27.75, +0.1%), VZ ($50.97, -0.8%), CMCSA ($30.34, +0.6%), NBIS ($129.85, +15.0%) | Peer of: DASH ($167.78, +4.0%), TBB ($21.96, -0.4%), VZ ($50.97, -0.8%)
MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporat): Leads 9 peers: TSN ($61.83, +2.5%), USFD ($91.74, -3.0%), HRL ($22.69, +0.2%), KOF ($97.72, +0.6%), BG ($123.62, -0.9%) | Peer of: BG ($123.62, -0.9%), CELH ($43.61, -2.1%), CLX ($112.09, +1.3%) and 9 more
Congressional Activity
FLEX (Flex Ltd.) 🔴 Bearish (1y)
- 1 sale by 1 member
- Top seller: Hou. Gilbert Cisneros (CA) - 1 transaction ($1,001 - $15,000)
Recent Headlines
ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.)
- Breakfast News: Nvidia Set To Reveal 2026 AI Plans (source)
- FORA Capital LLC Has $2.60 Million Position in Airbnb, Inc. $ABNB (source)
- Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note (source)
- Airbnb Drops 4% as $2.5B Bond Sale Announcement Rattles Investors (source)
- Airbnb Plans Bond Market Debut Ahead of Debt Maturity (source)
- Is Trending Stock Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) a Buy Now? (source)
- Had You Invested $1,000 in Airbnb or Uber 5 Years Ago, Here's What You'd Have Now (source)
ABVX (Abivax SA)
- Abivax: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' On Buyout Speculation And Obefazimod Advancement (source)
- Abivax spokesperson denies takeover rumors reported by French media (source)
- Eli Lilly Could Rejoin Abivax Bidding If AstraZeneca Misses Deadline (source)
AFG (American Financial Group, Inc.)
- Stewart Information Services (NYSE:STC) versus American Financial Group (NYSE:AFG) Financial Analysis (source)
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Acquires 110,872 Shares of American Financial Group, Inc. $AFG (source)
- American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Receives $141.25 Average Price Target from Brokerages (source)
ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company)
- Allegiant and Sun Country Announce Early Termination of Hart-Scott-Rodino Act Waiting Period for Allegiant's Proposed Acquisition of Sun Country (source)
- Here's Why Allegiant Travel (ALGT) is a Strong Value Stock (source)
AMRX (Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
- Amneal Pharmaceuticals: Flattish 2026 Revenue Growth Aside, Stock Still Looks A Buy (source)
AVY (Avery Dennison Corporation)
- Avery Dennison (NYSE:AVY) Director Sells $3,477,600.00 in Stock (source)
- Avery Dennison (NYSE:AVY) Director Sells $2,229,500.00 in Stock (source)
BF-B (Brown Forman Inc)
- Jack Daniel's maker names Whirlpool executive as new CFO (source)
- Brown-Forman Corporation Investigated by the Portnoy Law Firm (source)
- Brown-Forman Corporation Investigated by the Portnoy Law Firm (source)
PGR (Progressive Corporation (The))
- Progressive: Moderating Growth But Intact Fundamentals (source)
- Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd Sells 9,763 Shares of The Progressive Corporation $PGR (source)
- Heads, I Win - Tails, I Don't Lose - 2 Of My Favorite Dividend Buys Right Now (source)
- Progressive (PGR) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts (source)
- Progressive Announces Quarterly Common Share Dividend (source)
- Fieldview Capital Management LLC Raises Stock Position in The Progressive Corporation $PGR (source)
SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.)
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Raises Position in Champion Homes, Inc. $SKY (source)
- Primoris Services (NASDAQ:PRIM) Stock Unloaded Rep. Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. (source)
SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.)
- Spotify Technology $SPOT Holdings Raised by California Public Employees Retirement System (source)
- Spotify Technology $SPOT Holdings Increased by Anchor Investment Management LLC (source)
- Spotify Just Posted Its Best Year Ever; We Think It Should Get Better (source)
- Spotify Is A Buy Despite Stiff Competition (source)
- Benchmark Investment Advisors LLC Takes $2.57 Million Position in Spotify Technology $SPOT (source)
- Spotify: Substantial User Growth Ahead Of Price Increases (source)
- CreativeOne Wealth LLC Sells 1,026 Shares of Spotify Technology $SPOT (source)
- Spotify Technology $SPOT Holdings Decreased by Capital International Investors (source)
UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.)
- First Trust Advisors LP Lowers Stock Holdings in Universal Health Services, Inc. $UHS (source)
- Talkspace Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Talkspace, Inc. - TALK (source)
- Universal Health Services Investor Alert: Kehoe Law Firm, P.C. Investigating Potential Breach of Fiduciary Duty Claims - UHS (source)
- Universal Health Services, Inc. to Acquire Talkspace, Inc. (source)
ULTA (Ulta Beauty, Inc.)
- Ulta Beauty: Improving Growth, Record Low Margins (Rating Upgrade) (source)
- Ulta Stock: Down 24% in Just 1 Month, Is This a Buying Opportunity? (source)
- Stock Of The Day: Where Will Ulta Beauty Find A Bottom? (source)
- Why Ulta Beauty (ULTA) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term (source)
- Centene, Paramount Skydance, And Ulta Beauty Are Among Top 10 Large Cap Losers Last Week (March 9-March 13): Are the Others in Your Portfolio? (source)
- Ulta Beauty and an Ultimate Entry: Price Resets After Profit Miss (source)
- What Moved Markets This Week (source)
- Glenmede Investment Management LP Sells 6,020 Shares of Ulta Beauty Inc. $ULTA (source)
- Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Shares Gap Down Following Analyst Downgrade (source)
- US stocks close in red as S&P 500 dips on oil rally and geopolitics (source)
- Ulta Beauty: Strong Holiday Sales, And A Chance To Buy The Dip (source)
- Ulta Beauty stock's post-earnings sell-off is a gift for long-term investors (source)
- 3 Stocks Turning Heads After Hours (source)
- Ulta Beauty's Blistering Rally to Start the Year Just Lost Momentum. What Happened? (source)
- Stock Market Today: Major Indexes Are Mixed as Oil Prices Pare Losses; Investors Mull Inflation, Revised GDP Data (source)
- Ulta Beauty Price Prediction: Post-Earnings Selloff Creates Entry Opportunity (source)
- Ulta Beauty Q4 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Sales Up 11.8% Y/Y (source)
- Ulta Beauty Faces Investor Disappointment After Q4 Earnings Miss (source)
- Ulta Stock Tanks 10% After CEO Issues 'Global Uncertainty' Warning (source)
- Profit Miss, Dismal Forecast Trigger Ulta Beauty Stock Selloff (source)
- Ulta Beauty shares slide on disappointing guidance (source)
- Dow Futures Climb 200 Over Points as Oil Cools, Data Rolls In (source)
- Ulta Beauty slides as rising costs hit margins; focus on TikTok push under new CEO (source)
- 5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens (source)
- Ulta Beauty Tumbles 8% in Early Trading — Here's Why the Earnings Beat Isn't Enough (source)
- Breakfast News: Surprise CEO Exit Rocks Adobe (source)
- These Stocks Are Today's Movers: Adobe, Tesla, Ulta Beauty, SentinelOne, and More (source)
- Ulta Beauty AI Personalization Drives Double-Digit eCommerce Surge (source)
- Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Sales Growth and Strategic Expansions Amidst Competitive Challenges (source)
- Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript (source)
- Compared to Estimates, Ulta (ULTA) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics (source)
- Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Matches Q4 Earnings Estimates (source)
- Ulta Beauty says it's ‘increasingly mindful' of effects that global conflicts have on shoppers, as profit forecast sinks stock (source)
- Ulta Beauty forecasts annual profit below estimates as advertising costs rise (source)
- Ulta Stock Drops Despite Q4 Earnings Beat: What To Know (source)
- Ulta Beauty Expects Growth to Slow This Fiscal Year (source)
- Ulta Beauty stock drops as company reports mixed earnings, gives 2026 guidance (source)
- Ulta Beauty Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Results and Provides Fiscal 2026 Guidance (source)
- Weekly Jobless Claims Improve Marginally (source)
- Ulta Beauty Likely To Report Lower Q4 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call (source)
- Breakfast News: BBB Foods Puts Growth Over Margins (source)
- Is The Private Credit Party Over? (source)
UPS (United Parcel Service, Inc.)
- UPS Has Shed 18% in the Past Month as Its Amazon Breakup Enters the Final Stretch (source)
- Should You Buy United Parcel Service While It's Below $120? (source)
- 3 Monster Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years (source)
- 5 Things Every UPS Investor Needs to Know (source)
- FedEx Just Took UPS's Spot as the Biggest U.S. Parcel Firm. Which Stock is a Smarter Buy in 2026? (source)
- FORA Capital LLC Boosts Stock Position in United Parcel Service, Inc. $UPS (source)
- Here Are My Top 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy Now (source)
- FedEx Overtakes UPS as the New King of Delivery (source)
- Wall Street Roundup: War, Oil, Airlines, Energy, AI, Private Credit (source)
- United Parcel Service (UPS) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights (source)
- Is Trending Stock United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) a Buy Now? (source)
Market Context
Broad market indices are showing modest gains, with the S&P 500 up 0.38%, Nasdaq advancing 0.17%, and Dow Jones rising 0.47%, signaling a cautiously bullish trend direction. The VIX's sharp decline of 8.46% to 23.69 reflects easing volatility, fostering a more stable environment that supports risk appetite. For SMA20/SMA50 strategies, which rely on trend confirmation through moving average crossovers, this setup favors sustained upward momentum, reducing the likelihood of false signals amid the prevailing positive bias.
Lower volatility levels temper intraday swings, making SMA crossovers more reliable as price action is less prone to erratic reversals that could trigger whipsaws. With 52 total signals and Industrials leading as the top sector—aligned with the Dow's relative strength—this environment enhances the strategy's effectiveness in capturing rotational flows into cyclical areas, where smoother trends allow for cleaner entries and reduced noise.
Sector rotation toward Industrials amid broad upside suggests investors are leaning into economically sensitive areas, bolstering risk-on sentiment. SMA20/SMA50 signals in this context benefit from the alignment of shorter-term momentum with intermediate trends, though traders should monitor for any VIX rebound that could amplify swings and challenge signal persistence.
Vlad's Take (EverHint)
Today's signals: Strong sector concentration in Industrials (15 signals) suggests sector-specific rotation. 8 signals showing insider selling warrant caution. Average RSI of 30 indicates oversold conditions.
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