EverHint – Volatility Squeeze Breakout – Top 1 Buy and Top 10 Sell Signals for Mar 20, 2026

What This Signal Is (Quick)

This strategy detects volatility compression breakouts — stocks where Bollinger Bands have squeezed to historically narrow levels, then price breaks out with volume confirmation:

• Buy Signal (VOL_SQUEEZE_BREAKOUT_LONG): Price breaks above upper Bollinger Band after a squeeze

  • Bollinger Band width in the lowest 20th percentile of the past 120 days
  • TTM Squeeze confirmed (Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels = extreme compression)
  • Volume surge confirms institutional participation (≥1.5x ADV20)

• Sell Signal (VOL_SQUEEZE_BREAKOUT_SHORT): Price breaks below lower Bollinger Band after a squeeze

  • Same compression criteria as buy signals
  • Downside breakout with volume confirmation

Key Characteristics:

• Captures compression → expansion dynamics that other strategies miss
• Low correlation with trend crossover and mean reversion signals
• TTM Squeeze (BB inside KC) filters for the highest-quality compression setups
• Excludes Healthcare and Communication Services sectors (backtested underperformers)
• Backtested win rate: 54.5% with +1.74% average profit (tuned config)

Key Criteria:

• BB Width Percentile ≤ 20 (squeeze detected — lowest 20% of 120-day range)

• TTM Squeeze: Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels (extreme compression)

• Breakout: Close above upper BB (long) or below lower BB (short)

• Volume thrust ≥ 1.5x ADV20 (volume confirmation)

• Price above SMA50 (uptrend context for longs)

• Minimum ADV: $25M (liquidity filter)

• Earnings buffer: 7 days pre/post earnings

Holding Period: 1-4 weeks
Risk Level: Medium

How We Ranked Today

Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup)

📈 Buy-Side Signals (1 Total)

Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup):

📉 Sell-Side Signals (Top 10 of 12 total)

Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup):

Field Notes

Sector concentration: Real Estate (5), Industrials (2), Basic Materials (2)

Insider selling: PL (Planet Labs PBC, $-4.4M)

Near-term earnings: TMC (TMC the metals company Inc.) report within 7 days. Higher volatility risk.

Data coverage: 7.7% insider, 7.7% congressional (1 older/1y), 76.9% earnings, 100.0% analyst, 53.8% news

Peer Analysis

Understanding how these stocks relate to their industry peers:

WELL (Welltower Inc.): Leads 8 peers: PLD ($128.01, -2.4%), EQIX ($959.16, -1.6%), VTR ($82.50, -3.6%), AMT ($176.79, -3.3%), LTC ($36.54, -4.8%) | Peer of: PLD ($128.01, -2.4%)

BNL (Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.): Leads 7 peers: JOE ($63.62, -7.5%), VNO ($25.41, -4.0%), PSA ($265.78, -4.2%), ABR ($7.51, -4.1%), SKT ($34.06, -4.0%) | Peer of: IRT ($15.12, -2.7%), JOE ($63.62, -7.5%), NHI ($81.87, -3.5%) and 2 more

SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.): Leads 9 peers: NHI ($81.87, -3.5%), ABR ($7.51, -4.1%), PECO ($36.81, -1.8%), EPR ($50.46, -5.7%), MAC ($18.12, -3.6%) | Peer of: CTRE ($36.10, -8.0%), CUZ ($21.85, -5.2%), EPR ($50.46, -5.7%) and 7 more

BEKE (KE Holdings Inc.): Leads 10 peers: SBAC ($174.15, -4.5%), JLL ($293.80, -2.1%), INVH ($24.39, -2.4%), EQR ($57.98, -2.2%), WY ($22.47, -2.1%) | Peer of: CBRE ($131.99, -0.9%), SBAC ($174.15, -4.5%)

STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.): Leads 10 peers: ON ($59.26, -0.1%), UMC ($9.12, -1.5%), GFS ($43.08, -0.7%), JBL ($253.63, -4.4%), VRSN ($240.78, +0.5%) | Peer of: ADI ($309.43, -0.3%), ASTS ($89.93, -4.4%), GFS ($43.08, -0.7%) and 6 more

DTE (DTE Energy Company): Leads 8 peers: AEE ($106.06, -3.2%), FE ($48.54, -2.3%), ES ($66.67, -4.2%), FTS ($55.06, -2.0%), PPL ($36.55, -2.9%) | Peer of: AEE ($106.06, -3.2%), ATO ($180.49, -2.4%), AWK ($135.79, -1.0%) and 16 more

HUN (Huntsman Corporation): Leads 10 peers: BAK ($3.88, -15.7%), CC ($17.70, -6.5%), IPX ($23.29, -7.9%), ASPI ($4.21, -3.5%), SVM ($9.13, -3.7%) | Peer of: CRMLW ($3.29, -11.6%), FMC ($13.09, -6.0%), IPX ($23.29, -7.9%) and 7 more

TMC (TMC the metals company Inc.): Leads 8 peers: MTRN ($132.06, -2.5%), BCC ($68.30, -2.2%), SKE ($26.27, -2.0%), MEOH ($55.89, -1.0%), TGLS ($40.52, -5.2%) | Peer of: AUGO, BCC ($68.30, -2.2%), CE ($56.95, -5.6%) and 12 more

LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.): Leads 10 peers: UEC ($12.09, -9.0%), NXE ($11.26, -1.1%), NOV ($18.68, +0.5%), FRO ($32.17, -2.2%), WFRD ($86.14, -1.6%) | Peer of: NXE ($11.26, -1.1%), SUN ($64.73, -3.8%), UEC ($12.09, -9.0%)

FAST (Fastenal Company): Leads 10 peers: FERG ($217.56, -0.1%), GWW ($1041.95, -0.1%), AME ($209.37, -1.0%), ROP ($353.68, +0.1%), CARR ($58.07, -1.5%) | Peer of: AME ($209.37, -1.0%), CARR ($58.07, -1.5%), FER ($61.64, -2.9%) and 6 more

PL (Planet Labs PBC): Leads 9 peers: VSEC ($177.33, -3.0%), FLY, EOSE ($5.19, -6.0%), MRCY ($77.26, -0.7%), SKYW ($87.89, -1.6%) | Peer of: ACHR ($5.76, -4.2%), EOSE ($5.19, -6.0%), FLY and 4 more

Congressional Activity

DTE (DTE Energy Company) 🔴 Bearish (1y)

• 2 sales by 1 member
• Pattern: 1 full liquidation
• Top seller: Sen. John Boozman (AR) - 2 transactions ($2,002 - $30,000), 1 full liquidation

Recent Headlines

BEKE (KE Holdings Inc.)

• KE Holdings: In-Line Results Support A 'Hold' Rating (source)
• KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript (source)
• KE Holdings Inc. Announces a Final Cash Dividend of US$0.3 Billion in Aggregate (source)
• KE Holdings Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Unaudited Financial Results and a Final Cash Dividend (source)
• Boothbay Fund Management LLC Takes $5.89 Million Position in KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR $BEKE (source)
• Bamco Inc. NY Sells 33,056 Shares of KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR $BEKE (source)
• KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR $BEKE Stock Position Reduced by Alkeon Capital Management LLC (source)
• Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp KE Holdings Price Expectations Ahead Of Q4 Earnings (source)

PL (Planet Labs PBC)

• Planet Labs strong Q4 prompts price target raise from Wedbush (source)
• Planet Labs Stock: To The Moon And Back(log) (source)
• These Analysts Boost Their Forecasts On Planet Labs Following Q4 Results (source)
• Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Futures Down Ahead Of 'Triple Witching' As Iran Warns Of 'Zero Restraint'—FedEx, Super Micro Computer In Focus (source)
• Why is Planet Labs' stock soaring? (source)
• Cambria Investment Management L.P. Has $1.85 Million Position in Planet Labs PBC $PL (source)
• Planet Labs PBC (PL) Reports Break-Even Earnings for Q4 (source)
• Planet Labs' stock soars as the satellite company says AI will unlock more business (source)
• Planet Labs Stock Drives Higher After Q4 Beats Estimates (source)
• Planet Reports Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 (source)
• Planet Labs Stock Gains Ahead Of Q4 Earnings: What Investors Need To Know (source)
• Planet Labs (PL) Price Forecast: Breakout Watch Above Key Resistance (source)
• Planet to Build World's First GPU-Native AI Engine for Planetary Intelligence with NVIDIA (source)
• ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC Sells 340,000 Shares of Planet Labs PBC $PL (source)
• The New Doctrine Reshaping Global Markets (source)

SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.)

• Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. to Attend the 2026 NIC Spring Conference (source)

STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.)

• DigiKey Collaborates with STMicroelectronics and Ultra Librarian to Deliver Enhanced eDesignSuite Integration (source)
• STMicroelectronics expands 800 VDC AI datacenter power conversion portfolio with new 12V and 6V architectures in collaboration with NVIDIA (source)
• STMicroelectronics and Leopard Imaging accelerate robotics vision with NVIDIA Jetson-ready multi-sensor module (source)
• STMicroelectronics accelerates global adoption and market growth of Physical AI with NVIDIA (source)

TMC (TMC the metals company Inc.)

• The Metals Company Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Corporate Update Conference Call for Friday, March 27, 2026 (source)
• Clarios Connected Services introduces Battery Manager Pro at TMC 2026 (source)
• Wabash Highlights Durable, Digitally Connected Trailer Solutions at TMC 2026 (source)

Market Context

The broad market selloff, with the S&P 500 down 1.32%, Nasdaq declining 1.54%, and Dow Jones off 1.13%, underscores a risk-off environment amid rising uncertainty. The VIX's sharp 12.26% surge to 27.46 signals elevated volatility, amplifying intraday swings and creating fertile ground for volatility squeeze strategies. These setups thrive when prior low-volatility periods unwind into breakouts, but today's heightened VIX levels heighten the risk of whipsaws, demanding tight risk management on the 13 generated signals.

Downward trend momentum across major indices reflects diminished risk appetite, potentially pressuring squeeze signals toward short-side resolutions unless counter-trend rotations emerge. Traders should prioritize signals aligned with this bearish bias, as elevated volatility often exacerbates downside moves in overextended markets.

Real Estate's emergence as the top sector suggests subtle rotation toward defensive areas amid the equity pullback, offering potential stability for squeeze plays. However, persistent VIX expansion could disrupt even sector-specific breakouts, favoring selective entries with favorable volatility profiles.

⚠️ Extended Non-Trading Period Alert

Important: Saturday, March 21 through Sunday, March 22 are non-trading days (weekend/holiday).

What this means:

• Markets will not reopen until Monday, March 23
• News and events occurring over this extended non-trading period may significantly influence market sentiment
• Monitor news flow closely during this period
• Be prepared for potential gaps or increased volatility when markets reopen
• Earnings announcements, geopolitical events, or major news during this period can lead to significant price movements at the open
• Consider adjusting position sizes or using protective stops given the extended gap risk

Vlad's Take (EverHint)

Today's signals: Strong sector concentration in Real Estate (5 signals) suggests sector-specific rotation. Average RSI of 36 indicates oversold conditions.

Trading tips for this strategy:

• Entry timing: Enter on next-day open after breakout confirmation, or on pullback to upper BB
• Position sizing: Start with 2-3% of portfolio per signal (swing trade size)
• Stop loss: 5% below entry for longs, 5% above entry for shorts
• Take profit: Target 1 at +8%, Target 2 at +15% (based on backtest optimization)
• Time stop: Exit if no follow-through within 20 trading days (time stop)

Risk warning: Squeeze breakouts can produce false signals in choppy markets. TTM Squeeze requirement reduces but does not eliminate whipsaws. Volume confirmation is critical.

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