What This Signal Is (Quick)

This strategy detects volatility compression breakouts — stocks where Bollinger Bands have squeezed to historically narrow levels, then price breaks out with volume confirmation:

• Buy Signal (VOL_SQUEEZE_BREAKOUT_LONG): Price breaks above upper Bollinger Band after a squeeze

  • Bollinger Band width in the lowest 20th percentile of the past 120 days
  • TTM Squeeze confirmed (Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels = extreme compression)
  • Volume surge confirms institutional participation (≥1.5x ADV20)

• Sell Signal (VOL_SQUEEZE_BREAKOUT_SHORT): Price breaks below lower Bollinger Band after a squeeze

  • Same compression criteria as buy signals
  • Downside breakout with volume confirmation

Key Characteristics:

• Captures compression → expansion dynamics that other strategies miss
• Low correlation with trend crossover and mean reversion signals
• TTM Squeeze (BB inside KC) filters for the highest-quality compression setups
• Excludes Healthcare and Communication Services sectors (backtested underperformers)
• Backtested win rate: 54.5% with +1.74% average profit (tuned config)

Key Criteria:

• BB Width Percentile ≤ 20 (squeeze detected — lowest 20% of 120-day range)

• TTM Squeeze: Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels (extreme compression)

• Breakout: Close above upper BB (long) or below lower BB (short)

• Volume thrust ≥ 1.5x ADV20 (volume confirmation)

• Price above SMA50 (uptrend context for longs)

• Minimum ADV: $25M (liquidity filter)

• Earnings buffer: 7 days pre/post earnings

Holding Period: 1-4 weeks
Risk Level: Medium

How We Ranked Today

Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup)

📈 Buy-Side Signals (1 Total)

Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup):

📉 Sell-Side Signals (2 Total)

Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup):

Field Notes

Sector concentration: Energy (2), Consumer Cyclical (1)

Near-term earnings: ASO (Academy Sports and Outdoors, In) report within 7 days. Higher volatility risk.

Data coverage: 0.0% insider, 0.0% congressional, 66.7% earnings, 100.0% analyst, 66.7% news

Peer Analysis

Understanding how these stocks relate to their industry peers:

DVN (Devon Energy Corporation): Leads 8 peers: CTRA ($31.98, +2.0%), TPL ($528.97, +0.8%), EC ($13.95, +2.9%), VG ($12.77, +2.5%), TS ($53.51, -1.7%) | Peer of: CQP ($63.90, +0.3%), CTRA ($31.98, +2.0%), EC ($13.95, +2.9%) and 8 more

BKV (BKV Corporation): Leads 10 peers: CRGY ($11.74, -1.8%), NOG ($27.61, -3.4%), SM ($25.48, -0.6%), BTE ($4.02, -1.9%), GEL ($17.85, -0.1%) | Peer of: BTE ($4.02, -1.9%), CLMT ($28.74, -1.2%), CRGY ($11.74, -1.8%) and 6 more

ASO (Academy Sports and Outdoors, In): Leads 10 peers: RH ($131.35, -6.3%), AAP ($52.66, -1.3%), ANF ($84.08, -3.7%), MHO ($128.31, -1.2%), VC ($90.24, -0.5%) | Peer of: AAP ($52.66, -1.3%), ANF ($84.08, -3.7%), HOG ($17.97, -1.3%) and 8 more

Recent Headlines

ASO (Academy Sports and Outdoors, In)

• Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Q4 Earnings (source)
• Academy Sports + Outdoors Launches Five-Week Work Boot Campaign Championing Access to Trusted Brands and Strong Value (source)
• Academy Sports + Outdoors Increases Year-over-Year Donation to St. Jude Children's Research Hospital® to More Than $575,000 (source)
• Academy Sports + Outdoors Grows Retail Footprint with Two New Locations in Ohio and Oklahoma (source)
• Academy Sports + Outdoors Increases Quarterly Cash Dividend (source)
• Celebrate Academy Sports + Outdoors Run Month with Exclusive Deals, Promotions and Gifts for Runners of All Experience Levels (source)

BKV (BKV Corporation)

• BKV Corporation Announces Pricing of Public Offering of Common Stock (source)
• BKV Corporation Announces Launch of Public Offering of Common Stock (source)
• New Strong Sell Stocks for March 6th (source)
• BKV Corporation (NYSE:BKV) Given Average Recommendation of “Moderate Buy” by Analysts (source)

Market Context

Broad market indices declined today, with the S&P 500 down 1.02%, Nasdaq off 0.92%, and Dow Jones falling 1.15%, signaling a risk-off environment amid heightened uncertainty. The VIX surged 6.48% to 27.13, reflecting elevated volatility that amplifies intraday swings and creates fertile ground for volatility squeeze strategies. These setups thrive when compression gives way to expansion, and current VIX levels suggest the market is in an expansion phase, potentially boosting signal reliability by enabling sharper breakouts from tight ranges.

The bearish trend across major indices points to waning risk appetite, tempering aggressive long exposures in volatility squeeze plays and favoring short-side or neutral setups. Traders should prioritize signals with clear directional bias aligned to the downside momentum, using tighter stops to navigate the choppier price action driven by high VIX readings.

Energy emerging as the top sector implies rotation toward more resilient areas amid broad weakness, enhancing the appeal of squeeze signals in this group. Elevated volatility could exaggerate sector-specific moves, offering higher reward potential but demanding disciplined entry on confirmed breakouts to counter overall market headwinds.

EverHint Lens - Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) - Stock Analysis - March 13, 2026

Analysis Date: 2026-03-13
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Exchange: NYSE

Executive Summary

Devon Energy Corporation is currently trading at $46.19 (🟢 +1.83% today) with a market capitalization of $28.65B.

Devon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, primarily engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It operates approximately 5,134 gross wells. Devon Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Price & Valuation

Close Price: $46.19
Volume: 21.6M
Day Range: $45.26 - $46.41
52-Week Range: $25.89 - $46.41
P/E Ratio: 10.86

After-Hours Trading:

• Bid: $46.31
• Ask: $46.69
• Volume: 24,010,777
• Last Update: 7:57 PM ET

DCF Valuation: Undervalued

• Intrinsic Value (Unlevered DCF): $78.14
• Current Price: $46.19
• Discount/Premium: +69.2%

Levered DCF: $79.35 (+71.8%)

DCF analysis suggests the stock may be trading at a 69.2% discount to its intrinsic value.

DCF values calculated as of 2026-03-12. Underlying assumptions are not disclosed by the data provider. Levered vs unlevered can diverge materially for highly levered companies.

Market Context

Energy Sector: -1.44475% | Sector P/E: 23.77

Major Indices:

• S&P 500: $6671.81 (🔴 -1.53%)
• NASDAQ Composite: $22311.98 (🔴 -1.78%)
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: $46677.86 (🔴 -1.56%)

Peer Comparison

Peer comparison (11 companies):

• DVN - Devon Energy Corporation ($46.19, +1.8%, $28.65B) ← Current
• TPL - Texas Pacific Land Corporation ($528.97, +0.8%, $36.47B)
• VG - Venture Global, Inc. ($12.77, +2.5%, $31.38B)
• HAL - Halliburton Company ($34.84, -3.0%, $29.32B)
• TS - Tenaris S.A. ($53.51, -1.7%, $28.71B)
• EC - Ecopetrol S.A. ($13.95, +2.9%, $28.68B)
• EXE - Expand Energy Corporation ($107.83, -0.7%, $25.92B)
• PBA - Pembina Pipeline Corporation ($44.48, -0.1%, $25.85B)
• CTRA - Coterra Energy Inc. ($31.98, +2.0%, $24.28B)
• EXEEL - Expand Energy Corporation ($98.72, -0.0%, $23.43B)
• EXEEZ - Expand Energy Corporation ($95.28, +16.3%, $22.61B)

Financial Performance

Latest Quarter (2025-12-31):

• Revenue: $3.94B
• Net Income: $562.00M
• EPS: $0.91
• Revenue Growth (QoQ): -7.4%

Dividend Analysis

Dividend Status: Active dividend-paying stock

Latest Dividend:

• Amount: $0.24 per share
• Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-03-13
• Payment Date: 2026-03-31
  Annual Metrics:
• Annual Dividend (TTM): $0.96
• Dividend Yield: 2.08%
• Payment Frequency: Quarterly
• Payment History: 133 dividend payments tracked

Consistency: DVN has a consistent quarterly dividend payment history.

Stock Split History

DVN has executed 1 stock split(s) historically

• 2004-11-16: 2-for-1 split

Cumulative Split Factor: 2x (1 share in 1987 = 2 shares today)

Most recent split: 2-for-1 on 2004-11-16

Earnings Calendar

Next Earnings Report: 2026-05-05 (Before Market Open)

• EPS Estimate: $0.76
• Revenue Estimate: $3.34B

Most Recent Report: 2026-02-17

• EPS: $0.82 (Est: $0.81) ✓ Beat
• Revenue: $3.94B

Historical Data: 157 earnings events tracked

Analyst Outlook

Analyst Price Target Consensus:

• Target: $47.78 (+3.4% upside)
• Range: $42.00 - $52.00
• Median: $50.00

Next Quarter Estimates (2028-12-31):

• Revenue: $5.81B
• EPS: $1.63

Analyst Consensus

Overall Rating: Buy

Rating Distribution (840 total ratings):

• 🟢 Buy/Outperform: 529 (63.0%)
• ⚪ Hold/Neutral: 135 (16.1%)
• 🔴 Sell/Underperform: 7 (0.8%)

Recent Analyst Actions:

• UBS (2026-03-05): Maintained Buy
• Piper Sandler (2026-03-05): Maintained Overweight
• Scotiabank (2026-02-23): Maintained Sector Perform
• Barclays (2026-02-23): Maintained Overweight
• Wells Fargo (2026-02-20): Maintained Overweight

Consensus based on 840 analyst ratings from major financial institutions

Trading Signals

Our technical analysis identified 4 trading signal(s) in the last 60 days:

• 2026-03-12: Momentum Swing - breakout @ $46.19
• 2026-03-12: Volatility Squeeze - VOL_SQUEEZE_BREAKOUT_LONG @ $46.19
• 2026-01-21: Ema10 Price Macd - EMA10_Price_MACD_Buy @ $37.75
• 2026-01-13: Ema10 Ema30 - EMA10_x_EMA30_Buy @ $36.84

Insider Activity

Recent Transactions (Last 10):

• Buys: 2
• Sells: 8

Notable Transactions:

• 2026-02-10: Sherrer John Bennett - Buy (Award, 3,738 shares)
• 2026-02-10: Sherrer John Bennett - Sell (Tax Withholding, 164 shares @ $43.48)
• 2026-02-10: Sherrer John Bennett - Sell (Tax Withholding, 137 shares @ $43.48)

Congressional Trading Activity

Tracking recent stock transactions by U.S. Congress members

House of Representatives: 40 transactions tracked

Recent Activity:

• 🟢 Julia Letlow (): Purchase on 2025-12-08 @ $37.57, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🔴 Jefferson Shreve (IN06): Sale on 2025-04-07, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• 🟢 Rob Bresnahan (PA08): Purchase on 2025-04-08, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Marjorie Taylor Greene (GA14): Purchase on 2025-05-05 @ $36.43, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 Marjorie Taylor Greene (GA14): Purchase on 2025-04-09, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000

Notable: 1 large transactions ($250K+) in recent activity

U.S. Senate: 37 transactions tracked

Recent Activity:

• 🟢 David Perdue: Purchase (Joint) on 2020-02-28, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• 🟢 David Perdue: Purchase (Joint) on 2020-02-25, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000
• ⚪ David Perdue: Sale (Full) (Joint) on 2020-04-14, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• ⚪ David Perdue: Sale (Full) (Joint) on 2020-04-14, Amount: $15,001 - $50,000
• 🟢 David Perdue: Purchase (Joint) on 2020-02-25, Amount: $1,001 - $15,000

Congressional trading data sourced from official disclosure filings

News Sentiment Analysis

AI Analysis (based on 30 recent articles):

Overall sentiment for Devon Energy (DVN) is positive, fueled by strong Q4 2025 earnings beats, robust free cash flow, and production growth ahead of the Coterra merger. High oil prices from geopolitical tensions position DVN favorably, with analysts issuing buy ratings and institutional stake increases. Minor concerns like temporary oil rallies and profit slips are overshadowed by merger synergies and outperformance.

Key Themes:

• Earnings Strength and Cash Flow
• Coterra Merger Synergies
• Oil Price Rally Benefits

Sentiment: Positive (88% confidence)

Reddit Sentiment

Community Discussion (last 30 days from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks, r/investing):

Overall Sentiment: Strongly Bullish 📈📈 (Score: 0.764)

Post Analysis:

• Total posts: 2
• Bullish: 2 (100.0%)
• Bearish: 0 (0.0%)
• Neutral: 0 (0.0%)
• Total engagement: 31 (upvotes + comments)

Note: Sentiment score ranges from -1.0 (very bearish) to +1.0 (very bullish), weighted by post engagement.

Recent News

5 most recent articles covering DVN:

• Why the Market Dipped But Devon Energy (DVN) Gained Today (zacks.com, 2026-03-12) — Read more
• Cramer: natural gas shortage coming, Devon Energy positioned well (247wallst.com, 2026-03-12) — Read more
• Crude's Sudden Rally Raises the Stakes for These 2 Energy Stocks (fool.com, 2026-03-11) — Read more
• Prediction: Energy Stocks Outperform if Crude Holds Near $100 a Barrel (fool.com, 2026-03-11) — Read more
• Devon Energy: Not Priced For Oil Rally (seekingalpha.com, 2026-03-10) — Read more

Full news analysis based on 30 recent articles

Generated by Everhint Lens - Quantitative Stock Analysis
Last updated: 2026-03-12 08:20:09 PM PDT

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Carlo's Take (EverHint)

Today's signals: Average RSI of 40 indicates oversold conditions.

Trading tips for this strategy:

• Entry timing: Enter on next-day open after breakout confirmation, or on pullback to upper BB
• Position sizing: Start with 2-3% of portfolio per signal (swing trade size)
• Stop loss: 5% below entry for longs, 5% above entry for shorts
• Take profit: Target 1 at +8%, Target 2 at +15% (based on backtest optimization)
• Time stop: Exit if no follow-through within 20 trading days (time stop)

Risk warning: Squeeze breakouts can produce false signals in choppy markets. TTM Squeeze requirement reduces but does not eliminate whipsaws. Volume confirmation is critical.

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