Signal — EMA10 × SMA50 Crossover (Experimental) - November 4, 2025
November 4, 2025
What this signal is (quick)
We’re testing a faster momentum crossover: the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA10) crosses above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA50). Because EMA reacts faster than SMA, this setup can flag early trend accelerations—but it’s also noisier than slower SMA/SMA systems.
Note: Today’s list uses data from November 4, 2025 (EOD). This scanner is experimental; we’ll keep refining as live data accrues.
How we ranked today (reader version)
- Trend posture: fresh EMA10 > SMA50 on the daily close.
- Overlays: insider net flows (last 90d), days to next earnings, and density of recent analyst-estimate updates (where available).
- Headlines: same-day or very recent news to validate or stress-test the setup.
Strategy note: Fast crossovers can “false start.” We prefer confirmation (holding above the crossover zone a few sessions, RSI>50) before sizing up.
Today’s Buy-Side Signals — EMA10 × SMA50
(ranked roughly by market cap; values are from today’s files)
| Rank | Ticker | Company | Sector | Last ($) | RSI(14) | Insider Net (USD) | Days to Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MKL | Markel Group Inc. | Financial Services | 1,981.81 | 54.0 | — | — |
| 2 | CTRA | Coterra Energy Inc. | Energy | 25.85 | 62.5 | — | — |
| 3 | EXPD | Expeditors International | Industrials | 135.73 | 79.8 | — | 0 |
| 4 | MDGL | Madrigal Pharmaceuticals | Healthcare | 444.64 | 58.2 | $799,001 | 0 |
| 5 | UGI | UGI Corporation | Utilities | 33.70 | 64.3 | — | 16 |
| 6 | COMM | CommScope Holding Co. | Technology | 15.93 | 59.9 | — | — |
| 7 | XMTR | Xometry, Inc. | Industrials | 62.62 | 69.4 | — | 0 |
| 8 | DAN | Dana Incorporated | Consumer Cyclical | 20.54 | 70.1 | $0 | — |
| 9 | LCII | LCI Industries | Consumer Cyclical | 106.84 | 87.6 | — | — |
Field notes
- Insider Net (USD) = open-market purchases minus sales (dollar-weighted) over the recent window; blank means no resolvable net value in today’s file.
- Days to Earnings is calculated from the next known date (blank if not resolved).
Same-day / recent headlines to watch (supports or challenges the tape)
- MKL — Markel Group: Q3 commentary highlights premium growth and combined-ratio improvement; multiple recaps this week noted the beat vs expectations. (Yahoo Finance)
- CTRA — Coterra Energy: Activist Kimmeridge called for a strategic overhaul and board changes; shares ticked higher on the letter. Monitor governance headlines. (Reuters)
- EXPD — Expeditors: Q3 beat on airfreight volumes and customs brokerage demand; stock rose on the print. Board also declared a $0.77 semi-annual dividend. (Reuters)
- MDGL — Madrigal: Q3 update shows Rezdiffra sales ramp ($287.3M), new Orange Book patent (US protection to 2045), and EU launch in Germany; strong commercial momentum. (Stock Titan)
- UGI — UGI Corp.: Earnings call slated for Nov 20, 2025 (after close); keep position sizes mindful into the print. (UgiCorp)
- COMM — CommScope: Earlier in the quarter, Amphenol agreed to buy a major CommScope unit for $10.5B—a de-levering story to watch as the deal progresses. (Reuters)
- XMTR — Xometry: Posted record Q3 results today and raised outlook; multiple summaries highlight revenue growth and buyer expansion. (Xometry Investors)
- DAN — Dana: Presented a strategic transformation at the 49th Annual Automotive Symposium (Nov 3); focusing portfolio and reinvestment path. (Investing.com)
- LCII — LCI Industries: Post-earnings upgrade flow and estimate chatter; checks show mixed takes (Neutral maintained by Roth; some upbeat notes on results). (Yahoo Finance)
On Watch (risk flags)
- Event-tight: EXPD, MDGL, XMTR are in or just past earnings—gap risk is elevated. UGI prints in ~2 weeks. (Reuters)
- Corporate actions: COMM remains a restructuring/de-leveraging story pending deal progress; price action can be headline-driven. (Reuters)
- Fast crossovers: EMA-led crosses can reverse; look for RSI>50 retention and closes above the crossover band for several sessions.
Signals summary (today’s set)
- Momentum posture: Most names sit in confirmed uptrends with RSI>50; EXPD, XMTR, MDGL also have fresh news catalysts supporting the move. (Reuters)
- Overlays: Insider flows notable for MDGL (net buys in the window). Earnings proximity flagged for EXPD/MDGL/XMTR/UGI via calendars. (Stock Titan)
Vlad’s Take (EverHint)
For fast crossovers, I prefer tiered entries: start partial, add only after 2–3 daily closes above the 10/50 zone and tight consolidations. For news-backed names (EXPD, XMTR, MDGL), a pullback to rising EMA10 with RSI holding >50 is ideal. Into earnings (or just after), keep sizes modest and use ATR-aware stops beneath the prior higher-low—not just the moving averages.
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