iran-blockade

26
Apr

The stock market is buying the peace trade. The physical world is not selling

The stock market keeps buying every ceasefire headline. Physical commodity traders see something different: the seaborne oil buffer is gone, shale producers refuse to drill, fertilizer costs are spiking, and the financial system has far less margin of safety than it did in the 1970s.
2 min read
26
Apr

Is The Iran blockade working better than the stock market thinks?

The US blockade on Iran is working better than markets think. 37 ships redirected, tankers kettled in the Gulf of Oman, and Iran is pulling a 30-year-old dead tanker out of retirement for storage. When you run out of places to put oil, you cap wells. That is permanent damage.
1 min read