EverHint – Volatility Squeeze – Top 12 Buy and Top 3 Sell Signals for Aug 03, 2026
Excerpt: 15 signals. Financial Services leads (5). price range $6-$481. 2 with insider selling.
What This Signal Is
Detects stocks where Bollinger Band width has reached a low percentile (compression), then price breaks out above the upper band with volume confirmation. Institutional accumulation often occurs during low-volatility consolidation; when the squeeze releases, strong directional moves follow.
Entry Criteria:
- BB Width Percentile ≤ 20 (squeeze detected)
- TTM Squeeze: Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels
- Breakout: Close above upper BB (long) or below lower BB (short)
- Volume thrust ≥ 1.5x ADV20
- Price above SMA50 (uptrend context for longs)
- Minimum ADV: $25M
- Earnings buffer: 7 days pre/post earnings
Holding period: 1-4 weeks | Risk level: Medium
Market Context
Broad market conditions on August 3rd, 2026 reflect a strongly risk-on environment, with all three major indices posting meaningful gains led by the Nasdaq's 2.13% advance. This broad-based rally suggests institutional participation across growth and value segments alike, providing a favorable backdrop for momentum-driven setups. The compression in the VIX to 15.76 — down over 1.4% on the session — signals that options markets are pricing in reduced near-term uncertainty, which historically supports directional follow-through rather than erratic intraday reversals.
For volatility squeeze strategies, a declining VIX environment is a double-edged dynamic. On one hand, the contraction in implied volatility is precisely the condition that precedes squeeze breakouts, as price coils tightly before releasing directional energy. On the other hand, with VIX already at relatively subdued levels, the magnitude of post-squeeze moves may be more measured compared to high-volatility regimes. Traders should be attentive to whether breakouts are confirmed by volume expansion, particularly given the broad tailwind from today's index strength.
The dominance of Financial Services among today's 15 signals aligns logically with the current macro tone. Rising equity markets and a stable volatility environment tend to benefit rate-sensitive and capital markets-oriented segments within financials, as risk appetite expands and credit spreads tighten. Sector rotation into financials during bullish tape conditions often reflects confidence in economic durability, suggesting these squeeze signals may have cyclical momentum reinforcing the technical setup rather than working against it.
🟢 Buy Signals (12 of 12 total)
Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze = higher quality setup)
| # | Ticker | Company | Sector | Price | Insider | MCap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | Financial Services | $89.78 | — | $3.2B |
| 2 | ARES | Ares Management Corpor... | Financial Services | $138.57 | — | $45.5B |
| 3 | BCC | Boise Cascade Company | Basic Materials | $83.03 | — | $2.9B |
| 4 | CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | Financial Services | $48.91 | — | $17.6B |
| 5 | FERG | Ferguson plc | Industrials | $250.08 | — | $48.5B |
| 6 | GTES | Gates Industrial Corpo... | Industrials | $29.38 | — | $7.5B |
| 7 | KSPI | Joint Stock Company Ka... | Technology | $92.00 | — | $17.5B |
| 8 | NWL | Newell Brands Inc. | Consumer Defensive | $6.36 | — | $2.7B |
| 9 | ROK | Rockwell Automation, Inc. | Industrials | $480.98 | — | $53.5B |
| 10 | SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | Technology | $307.53 | -$46,836,005 | $106.6B |
| 11 | STEP | StepStone Group Inc. | Financial Services | $46.59 | — | $6.0B |
| 12 | TPG | TPG Inc. | Financial Services | $46.32 | — | $17.8B |
🔴 Sell Signals (3 of 3 total)
Ranked by BB Width Percentile (lower = tighter squeeze)
| # | Ticker | Company | Sector | Price | Insider | MCap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COLM | Columbia Sportswear Co... | Consumer Cyclical | $58.65 | — | $3.0B |
| 2 | PRM | Perimeter Solutions, S.A. | Basic Materials | $30.50 | -$78,000,000 | $5.0B |
| 3 | SO | The Southern Company | Utilities | $92.94 | — | $106.9B |
Field Notes
Sector concentration: Financial Services (5), Industrials (3), Basic Materials (2)
Insider selling: SNOW (Snowflake Inc., -$46,836,005), PRM (Perimeter Solutions, S.A., -$78,000,000)
Data coverage: 33.3% insider, 13.3% congressional, 0.0% earnings, 13.3% news
Peer Analysis
SO (The Southern Company): Leads 5 peers: DUK ($124.28), NGG ($79.86), AEP ($128.32), D ($68.75), XEL ($77.69)
CG (The Carlyle Group Inc.): Leads 5 peers: APO ($129.42), BX ($134.68), BAM ($50.69), ARES ($138.57), KKR ($106.56)
SNOW (Snowflake Inc.): Leads 5 peers: MSTR ($94.82), CRWV ($85.76), CDNS ($336.15), SNPS ($392.07), ADSK ($234.71)
FERG (Ferguson plc): Leads 5 peers: GWW ($1371.25), FAST ($48.11), ROP ($392.57), AME ($243.77), CARR ($63.17)
PRM (Perimeter Solutions, S.A.): Leads 5 peers: CBT ($89.58), FUL ($57.01), SXT ($126.09), AVNT ($37.39), HWKN ($132.08)
Congressional Activity
FERG (Ferguson plc) 🟢 Bullish
- 1 purchase by 1 member
NWL (Newell Brands Inc.) 🟢 Bullish
- 1 purchase by 1 member
Recent Headlines
ARES (Ares Management Corporation)
- Ares Management Analysts Raise Their Forecasts After Q2 Earnings
- Aspida Life and Market Synergy Group Launch T. Rowe Price U.S. Equity 15 Index in Synergy Choice™ FIA Suite
- Ares Management Announces Second Quarter 2026 U.S. Direct Lending Origination Activity
- Ares Management Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
PRM (Perimeter Solutions, S.A.)
- Perimeter Solutions Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Why Perimeter Solutions Stock Is Crashing Today
- Perimeter Solutions, Inc. (PRM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Compared to Estimates, Perimeter Solutions, SA (PRM) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
- Perimeter Solutions, SA (PRM) Lags Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
- Perimeter Solutions Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Vlad's Take
Today's signals: Strong sector concentration in Financial Services (5 signals) suggests sector-specific rotation. 2 signals with congressional buying shows lawmaker confidence.
Trading tips for this strategy:
- Entry timing: Enter on next-day open after breakout confirmation, or on pullback to upper BB
- Position sizing: Start with 2-3% of portfolio per signal (swing trade size)
- Stop loss: 5% below entry for longs, 5% above entry for shorts
- Take profit: Target 1 at +8%, Target 2 at +15% (based on backtest optimization)
- Time stop: Exit if no follow-through within 20 trading days
Risk warning: Squeeze breakouts can produce false signals in choppy markets. TTM Squeeze requirement reduces but does not eliminate whipsaws.
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